Wisconsin at Michigan - 2016 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan Wolverines(#19)Michigan logo
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -10 (44.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 14 - Wisconsin: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (11 - 3) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 16 (25 - 11 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS 2nd straight Road Game
MICH is playing their 5th straight game
WIS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ MICH -8)
Projected Score: WIS: 22 - MICH: 28 (50)
MICH Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
WIS Travel: 293 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wolverines (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 14 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wisconsin's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.543.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 9/10 Wisconsin vs Akron-24.045.5W 54 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Wisconsin vs Georgia State-30.051.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 9/24 Wisconsin at Michigan State+6.042.5W 30 - 6UY
Sat 10/1 Wisconsin at Michigan+10.044.5L 7 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+9.546.0L 23 - 30OY
Sat 10/22 Wisconsin at Iowa-2.543.0W 17 - 9UY
Sat 10/29 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.544.0W 23 - 17UN
Sat 11/5 Wisconsin at Northwestern-6.541.5W 21 - 7UY
Sat 11/12 Wisconsin vs Illinois-26.542.0W 48 - 3OY
Sat 11/19 Wisconsin at Purdue-26.548.5W 49 - 20OY
Sat 11/26 Wisconsin vs Minnesota-14.042.5W 31 - 17ON
Sat 12/3 Wisconsin vs Penn State-1.047.0L 31 - 38ON
Mon 1/2 Wisconsin vs Western Michigan-6.554.0W 24 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Michigan's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Michigan vs Hawai'i-40.555.0W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/10 Michigan vs UCF-34.553.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 9/17 Michigan vs Colorado-20.055.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 9/24 Michigan vs Penn State-15.556.0W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/1 Michigan vs Wisconsin-10.044.5W 14 - 7UN
Sat 10/8 Michigan at Rutgers-26.552.5W 78 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Michigan vs Illinois-28.051.5W 41 - 8UY
Sat 10/29 Michigan at Michigan State-21.049.5W 32 - 23ON
Sat 11/5 Michigan vs Maryland-26.554.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/12 Michigan at Iowa-18.551.0L 13 - 14UN
Sat 11/19 Michigan vs Indiana-28.050.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/26 Michigan at Ohio State+7.044.5L 27 - 30OY
Fri 12/30 Michigan vs Florida State-6.551.0L 32 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS.1545%28.442%2.6720346%1793.77.0439%15.639%37%2.4132.51.12
MICH.1645%40.345%2.8121343%2124.36-31%14.134%26%245.60.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1428.424.844.7%3.771.1203822031794.362%36%42%46%13%.15
MICH Defense1314.110.431.2%21.5 - - - - - 52%47%34%26%24%-
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1415.611.238.9%2.412 - - - - - 45%53%39%37%20%.04
MICH Offense1340.342.845.1%4.360.9224252132124.855%43%45%43%16%.16

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1434:5820.344%50%3.432.51.125.32.4131.3
Michigan1333:0221.843%65%4.845.60.91.59.23.5534.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1462%42%47203.14.331.052.6778%10%0.88
MICH Defense1352%34% - - - - .031.9565%17%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1445%39% - - - - -.042.5569%10%0.73
MICH Offense1355%45%44.2212.94.841.112.8172%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1436%46%14.423.1179.17.812.41410.341.630%37%.34%1.9
MICH Defense1347%26% - - - - - - 13-.031.740%24%.18%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1453%37% - - - - - - 22.121.535%29%.189%1.7
MICH Offense1343%43%17.528.52127.512.1207.271.629%35%.335%1.8

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1  #16
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8  #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin:    Michigan: 14.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 16.1   Michigan: 24.4




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 14.7 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.4  #6
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #35
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.1  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.2

Wisconsin's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 28
Wisconsin 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 28
Wisconsin 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 28
Wisconsin 19

Total Points: 47
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.8
Defense: 14.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.4

Michigan's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Michigan24Wisconsin10Michigan -17.5Wisconsin42.5Under
202110/02Wisconsin17Michigan38Wisconsin -2Michigan43.5Over
202011/14Michigan11Wisconsin49Wisconsin -7.0Wisconsin51.5Over
201909/21Wisconsin35Michigan14Wisconsin -3Wisconsin46.0Over
201810/13Michigan38Wisconsin13Michigan -10Michigan47.5Over
201711/18Wisconsin24Michigan10Wisconsin -6.5Wisconsin40.5Under
201610/01Michigan14Wisconsin7Michigan -10Wisconsin44.5Under
201011/20Michigan28Wisconsin48
200911/14Wisconsin45Michigan24
200809/27Michigan27Wisconsin25
200711/10Wisconsin37Michigan21
200609/23Michigan27Wisconsin13
200509/24Wisconsin23Michigan20
200211/16Michigan21Wisconsin14
200111/17Wisconsin17Michigan20
200009/29Michigan13Wisconsin10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan924 Overs
Wisconsin753 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 43 - 43 - 30 - 1
Road Teams4 - 124 - 31 - 03 - 3

(#) WIS at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWISMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #6
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #37 #8
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCat
WIS OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffWIS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #7
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffWIS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffWIS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 67° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 5
Michigan -10.0 (44.5)
Michigan won vs Wisconsin this year (14-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WIS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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WIS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD