Northwestern at Purdue - 2016 Matchup Preview
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Northwestern Wildcats at Purdue Boilermakers

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Saturday, November 12th 2016 (12:00 PM EST)
Northwestern -10.5 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northwestern 45 - Purdue: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (15 - 26 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR is playing their 8th straight game
NW is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ NW -14)

Projected Score: NW: 25 - PUR: 21 (46)
NW Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NW Travel: 120 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Northwestern vs Western Michigan-6.553.5L 21 - 22UN
Sat 9/10 Northwestern vs Illinois State-12.5
Sat 9/17 Northwestern vs Duke-4.044.0W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/24 Northwestern vs Nebraska+6.548.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Northwestern at Iowa+12.044.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Northwestern at Michigan State+6.541.0W 54 - 40OY
Sat 10/22 Northwestern vs Indiana-2.554.0W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/29 Northwestern at Ohio State+24.053.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+6.541.5L 7 - 21UN
Sat 11/12 Northwestern at Purdue-10.558.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 Northwestern at Minnesota+2.046.0L 12 - 29UN
Sat 11/26 Northwestern vs Illinois-15.048.5W 42 - 21OY
Wed 12/28 Northwestern vs Pittsburgh+3.063.0W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Purdue's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Purdue vs Eastern Kentucky-15.0
Sat 9/10 Purdue vs Cincinnati+7.057.5L 20 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Purdue vs Nevada-5.059.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Purdue at Maryland+9.055.0L 7 - 50ON
Sat 10/8 Purdue at Illinois+9.049.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/15 Purdue vs Iowa+13.052.5L 35 - 49ON
Sat 10/22 Purdue at Nebraska+23.559.0L 14 - 27UY
Sat 10/29 Purdue vs Penn State+10.558.5L 24 - 62ON
Sat 11/5 Purdue at Minnesota+16.554.0L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/12 Purdue vs Northwestern+10.558.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 11/19 Purdue vs Wisconsin+26.548.5L 20 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 Purdue at Indiana+16.066.5L 24 - 26UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.0536%23.436%2.718933%1392.67-.0137%19.839%33%2.3739.71.51.6
PUR.0840%18.843%2.7913137%2373.73.2146%31.844%46%3.8253.92.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1323.415.236%2.671.5183271891394.160%38%36%33%2%.05
PUR Defense1231.83046%3.821.8 - - - - - 53%46%44%46%2%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1319.82636.8%2.371.6 - - - - - 45%53%39%33%1%-.01
PUR Offense1218.820.940.4%3.732.2203691312373.844%55%43%37%3%.08

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1329:4817.741%45%4.539.71.51.600427.4
Purdue1227:4119.835%55%5.453.92.21.800028.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1360%36%46.2188.54.116.062.761%0%1.02
PUR Defense1253%44% - - - - .122.6172%0%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1345%39% - - - - .022.6675%0%0.97
PUR Offense1244%43%34.8131.33.822.082.7977%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1338%33%13.427.1138.55.110.4813.061.635%29%.182%1.7
PUR Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 12.321.531%36%.332%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1353%33% - - - - - - 12-.031.437%25%.081%1.8
PUR Offense1255%37%24.242237.35.79.81816.091.434%27%.213%2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9  #61
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #75
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Purdue: -3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 2.9   Purdue: -11.0




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -3 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2016 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0  #104
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #102

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Northwestern's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 25
Purdue 21


Projected Total Points: 46
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Northwestern19Purdue0Northwestern -3Northwestern47.5Under
202411/02Purdue20Northwestern26Purdue -3Northwestern44.5Over
202311/18Northwestern23Purdue15Northwestern -2.5Northwestern47.5Under
202211/19Purdue17Northwestern9Purdue -17.5Northwestern44.5Under
202111/20Northwestern14Purdue32Purdue -11Purdue47.5Under
202011/14Purdue20Northwestern27Northwestern -3.5Northwestern48.5Under
201911/09Northwestern22Purdue24Purdue -0.0Purdue38.5Over
201808/30Purdue27Northwestern31Purdue -1Northwestern52.5Over
201711/11Northwestern23Purdue13Northwestern -6Northwestern49.5Under
201611/12Purdue17Northwestern45Northwestern -10.5Northwestern58.0Over
201511/14Northwestern21Purdue14Northwestern -13Purdue48.0Under
201411/22Purdue14Northwestern38Northwestern -2Northwestern0
201010/09Northwestern17Purdue20
200910/03Purdue21Northwestern27
200810/18Northwestern48Purdue26
200710/27Purdue35Northwestern17
200610/14Northwestern10Purdue31
200510/15Purdue29Northwestern34
200410/30Northwestern13Purdue10
200311/01Purdue34Northwestern14
200210/26Northwestern13Purdue42
200110/27Purdue32Northwestern27
200010/13Northwestern28Purdue41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1034 Overs
Northwestern1397 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 93 - 50 - 4
Road Teams13 - 109 - 34 - 05 - 3

(#) NW at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #104
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #45 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Northwestern 10.5 (58.0)
Northwestern won at Purdue this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Purdue last year (19-0)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2024 (26-20)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2023 (23-15)

  
NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD