Minnesota at Wisconsin - 2016 Matchup Preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, November 26th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Wisconsin -14 (42.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 31 - Minnesota: 17 (Big Ten)

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WIS is playing their 7th straight game
MINN is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ WIS -4)
Projected Score: MINN: 18 - WIS: 22 (40)
WIS Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MINN Travel: 231 miles

Badgers (11 - 3) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MINN Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Minnesota vs Oregon State	-7.5	56.0	W 30 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/10	Minnesota vs Indiana State	-44.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Minnesota vs Colorado State	-15.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/1	Minnesota at Penn State	+4.0	54.5	L 26 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Minnesota vs Iowa	+1.5	50.0	L 7 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/15	Minnesota at Maryland	+3.0	47.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Minnesota vs Rutgers	-21.0	45.0	W 34 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/29	Minnesota at Illinois	-10.0	46.5	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Minnesota vs Purdue	-16.5	54.0	W 44 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Minnesota at Nebraska	+8.0	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Minnesota vs Northwestern	-2.0	46.0	W 29 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Minnesota at Wisconsin	+14.0	42.5	L 17 - 31	O	Y
Tue 12/27	Minnesota vs Washington State	+5.5	61.0	W 17 - 12	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	43.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Wisconsin vs Akron	-24.0	45.5	W 54 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Wisconsin vs Georgia State	-30.0	51.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Wisconsin at Michigan State	+6.0	42.5	W 30 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Wisconsin at Michigan	+10.0	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+9.5	46.0	L 23 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Wisconsin at Iowa	-2.5	43.0	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	44.0	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/5	Wisconsin at Northwestern	-6.5	41.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Wisconsin vs Illinois	-26.5	42.0	W 48 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Wisconsin at Purdue	-26.5	48.5	W 49 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	-14.0	42.5	W 31 - 17	O	N
Sat 12/3	Wisconsin vs Penn State	-1.0	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Mon 1/2	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-6.5	54.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	.12	41%	23	38%	2.86	144	43%	215	3.3	.12	43%	22.9	45%	39%	3.4	45.5	1.7	1.4
WIS	.12	44%	12.8	39%	2.67	150	47%	228	3.83	.04	35%	21.6	35%	33%	2.06	53	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	13	23	8.3	41.1%	3.3	1.7	18	359	144	215	4.2	49%	49%	38%	43%	3%	.12
WIS Defense	13	21.6	18.3	34.6%	2.06	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	35%	33%	3%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	13	22.9	38	43.3%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	45%	39%	2%	.12
WIS Offense	13	12.8	15.6	44%	3.83	1.4	21	379	150	228	3.8	50%	47%	39%	47%	2%	.12

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	13	29:00	17.6	39%	35%	5.6	45.5	1.7	1.4	0	0	2	28.2
Wisconsin	13	33:51	21.1	41%	75%	5.8	53	1.4	1.6	0	0	1	35

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	13	49%	38%	34.3	144.1	4.2	17	-.01	2.86	67%	0%	0.8
WIS Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	2.68	65%	0%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	13	54%	45%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.1	74%	0%	0.84
WIS Offense	13	50%	39%	39.4	150.3	3.8	27	.02	2.67	82%	0%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	13	49%	43%	19.3	32.8	214.8	6.5	11.1	15	11	.25	1.5	34%	35%	.23	3%	1.5
WIS Defense	13	53%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.07	1.5	35%	24%	.12	3%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.16	1.5	31%	34%	.3	2%	1.7
WIS Offense	13	47%	47%	19.4	32.2	228.3	7.1	11.8	14	13	.23	1.4	31%	38%	.26	2%	1.5

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2016 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.6 #24
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: Wisconsin: 10.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 12.6 Wisconsin: 16.1

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 10.55 NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wisconsin's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #16
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 22
Minnesota 18

Projected Total Points: 40

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin	7	Wisconsin -2.5	Minnesota	38.5	Under
2024	11/29	Wisconsin	7	Minnesota	24	Minnesota -1.5	Minnesota	40.5	Under
2023	11/25	Minnesota	14	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -1.5	Wisconsin	42.0	Push
2022	11/26	Wisconsin	16	Minnesota	23	Wisconsin -3	Minnesota	37.0	Over
2021	11/27	Minnesota	23	Wisconsin	13	Wisconsin -7	Minnesota	39.0	Under
2020	12/19	Wisconsin	20	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin -10	Minnesota	47.0	Under
2019	11/30	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin	38	Wisconsin -3	Wisconsin	45.0	Over
2018	11/24	Wisconsin	15	Minnesota	37	Wisconsin -10.5	Minnesota	53.0	Under
2017	11/25	Minnesota	0	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -18.5	Wisconsin	43.5	Under
2016	11/26	Wisconsin	31	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin -14	Push	42.5	Over
2015	11/28	Minnesota	21	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -2.5	Wisconsin	44.5	Over
2014	11/29	Wisconsin	34	Minnesota	24	Wisconsin -12.5	Minnesota	0
2013	11/23	Minnesota	7	Wisconsin	20	Wisconsin -14.5	Minnesota	0
2012	10/20	Wisconsin	38	Minnesota	13
2011	11/12	Minnesota	13	Wisconsin	42
2010	10/09	Wisconsin	41	Minnesota	23
2009	10/03	Minnesota	28	Wisconsin	31
2008	11/15	Wisconsin	35	Minnesota	32
2007	11/17	Minnesota	34	Wisconsin	41
2006	10/14	Wisconsin	48	Minnesota	12
2005	10/15	Minnesota	34	Wisconsin	38
2004	11/06	Wisconsin	38	Minnesota	14
2003	11/08	Minnesota	37	Wisconsin	34
2001	11/24	Minnesota	42	Wisconsin	31
2000	11/03	Wisconsin	41	Minnesota	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	18	4	4 Overs
Minnesota	7	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	3 - 9	0 - 4	3 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 13	9 - 3	5 - 3	4 - 0

(#) MINN at (#) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MINN	WIS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#24	#16
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#59	#37
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Minnesota Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Wisconsin -14.0 (42.5)
Wisconsin won vs Minnesota this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Wisconsin last year (17-7)
Minnesota beat Wisconsin in 2024 (24-7)
Wisconsin beat Minnesota in 2023 (28-14)

MINN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WIS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD