Ohio State at Wisconsin - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -9.5 (46.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio State 30 - Wisconsin: 23 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 16 (35 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
WIS coming off BYE
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ OSU -6.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 28 - WIS: 25 (53)
OSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
OSU Travel: 393 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Badgers (11 - 3) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 16 (34 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ohio State vs Bowling Green	-27.0	64.0	W 77 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Ohio State vs Tulsa	-28.5	72.0	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Ohio State at Oklahoma	-2.5	58.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Ohio State vs Rutgers	-37.0	59.5	W 58 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Ohio State vs Indiana	-32.0	60.5	W 38 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Ohio State at Wisconsin	-9.5	46.0	W 30 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/22	Ohio State at Penn State	-20.0	55.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/29	Ohio State vs Northwestern	-24.0	53.5	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/5	Ohio State vs Nebraska	-15.5	53.5	W 62 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Ohio State at Maryland	-28.0	58.5	W 62 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Ohio State at Michigan State	-23.5	50.0	W 17 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/26	Ohio State vs Michigan	-7.0	44.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/31	Ohio State vs Clemson	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	43.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Wisconsin vs Akron	-24.0	45.5	W 54 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Wisconsin vs Georgia State	-30.0	51.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Wisconsin at Michigan State	+6.0	42.5	W 30 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Wisconsin at Michigan	+10.0	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+9.5	46.0	L 23 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Wisconsin at Iowa	-2.5	43.0	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	44.0	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/5	Wisconsin at Northwestern	-6.5	41.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Wisconsin vs Illinois	-26.5	42.0	W 48 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Wisconsin at Purdue	-26.5	48.5	W 49 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	-14.0	42.5	W 31 - 17	O	N
Sat 12/3	Wisconsin vs Penn State	-1.0	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Mon 1/2	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-6.5	54.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	.2	48%	39.4	53%	3.33	245	39%	214	4.04	-.01	37%	15.5	35%	36%	2.48	50.6	0.9	2.1
WIS	.15	45%	28.4	42%	2.67	203	46%	179	3.77	.04	39%	15.6	39%	37%	2.41	32.5	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	39.4	35	47.5%	4.04	0.9	24	459	245	214	5.5	55%	44%	53%	39%	14%	.2
WIS Defense	14	15.6	15.7	38.9%	2.41	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	39%	37%	20%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	15.5	18	36.7%	2.48	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	35%	36%	20%	-.01
WIS Offense	14	28.4	33.7	44.7%	3.77	1.1	20	382	203	179	4.3	62%	36%	42%	46%	13%	.15

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	33:11	24.1	47%	62%	6.3	50.6	0.9	2.1	6.8	2.2	7	31.4
Wisconsin	14	34:58	20.3	44%	50%	3.4	32.5	1.1	2	5.3	2.4	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	55%	53%	44.8	245.2	5.5	33	.24	3.33	90%	8%	0.92
WIS Defense	14	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.55	69%	10%	0.73

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	50%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.27	54%	12%	0.91
WIS Offense	14	62%	42%	47	203.1	4.3	31	.05	2.67	78%	10%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	44%	39%	19.6	31.5	213.9	6.8	10.9	26	7	.19	1.4	31%	35%	.32	6%	1.6
WIS Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.12	1.5	35%	29%	.18	9%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	48%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	21	.06	1.6	35%	31%	.22	8%	1.8
WIS Offense	14	36%	46%	14.4	23.1	179.1	7.8	12.4	14	10	.34	1.6	30%	37%	.3	4%	1.9

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.4 #10
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #32
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: Wisconsin: 10.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 22.4 Wisconsin: 16.1

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 10.55 NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wisconsin's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #16
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18

Ohio State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 28
Wisconsin 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 29
Wisconsin 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 27
Wisconsin 24

Total Points: 51

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Wisconsin's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Wisconsin	0	Ohio State	34	Ohio State -24.5	Ohio State	41.5	Under
2023	10/28	Wisconsin	10	Ohio State	24	Ohio State -14.5	Wisconsin	48.0	Under
2022	09/24	Ohio State	52	Wisconsin	21	Ohio State -19	Ohio State	56.5	Over
2019	12/07	Wisconsin	21	Ohio State	34	Ohio State -17	Wisconsin	58.0	Under
2019	10/26	Ohio State	38	Wisconsin	7	Ohio State -14.5	Ohio State	47.0	Under
2017	12/02	Wisconsin	21	Ohio State	27	Ohio State -3.5	Ohio State	51.5	Under
2016	10/15	Wisconsin	23	Ohio State	30	Ohio State -9.5	Wisconsin	46.0	Over
2014	12/06	Ohio State	59	Wisconsin	0	Wisconsin -3	Ohio State	0
2013	09/28	Ohio State	31	Wisconsin	24	Ohio State -7	Push	0
2012	11/17	Wisconsin	14	Ohio State	21
2011	10/29	Ohio State	33	Wisconsin	29
2010	10/16	Wisconsin	31	Ohio State	18
2009	10/10	Ohio State	31	Wisconsin	13
2008	10/04	Wisconsin	17	Ohio State	20
2007	11/03	Ohio State	38	Wisconsin	17
2004	10/09	Ohio State	13	Wisconsin	24
2003	10/11	Wisconsin	17	Ohio State	10
2002	10/19	Wisconsin	14	Ohio State	19
2001	10/13	Ohio State	17	Wisconsin	20
2000	10/06	Wisconsin	7	Ohio State	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	4	3	2 Overs
Ohio State	16	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 11	6 - 2	2 - 0	4 - 2
Road Teams	11 - 9	2 - 6	2 - 4	0 - 2

(#) OSU at (#) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	WIS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#10	#16
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#5	#37
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ohio State Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	WIS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	OSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

OSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 64°

Rematch from Week 7
Ohio State 9.5 (46.0)
Ohio State won at Wisconsin this year (30-23)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2022 (52-21)

OSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WIS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD