Wisconsin at Purdue - 2016 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers

Saturday, November 19th 2016 (12:00 PM EST)
Wisconsin -26.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 49 - Purdue: 20 (Big Ten)

Badgers (11 - 3) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 16 (25 - 11 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 21.9 MPH
PUR 2nd straight Home Game
PUR is playing their 9th straight game
WIS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ WIS -27)
Projected Score: WIS: 35 - PUR: 17 (52)
WIS Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
WIS Travel: 223 miles, 1 hrs behind

Boilermakers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 38 (26 - 40 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	43.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Wisconsin vs Akron	-24.0	45.5	W 54 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Wisconsin vs Georgia State	-30.0	51.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Wisconsin at Michigan State	+6.0	42.5	W 30 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Wisconsin at Michigan	+10.0	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+9.5	46.0	L 23 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Wisconsin at Iowa	-2.5	43.0	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	44.0	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/5	Wisconsin at Northwestern	-6.5	41.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Wisconsin vs Illinois	-26.5	42.0	W 48 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Wisconsin at Purdue	-26.5	48.5	W 49 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	-14.0	42.5	W 31 - 17	O	N
Sat 12/3	Wisconsin vs Penn State	-1.0	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Mon 1/2	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-6.5	54.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Purdue's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Purdue vs Eastern Kentucky	-15.0
Sat 9/10	Purdue vs Cincinnati	+7.0	57.5	L 20 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Purdue vs Nevada	-5.0	59.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Purdue at Maryland	+9.0	55.0	L 7 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/8	Purdue at Illinois	+9.0	49.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Purdue vs Iowa	+13.0	52.5	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/22	Purdue at Nebraska	+23.5	59.0	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Purdue vs Penn State	+10.5	58.5	L 24 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/5	Purdue at Minnesota	+16.5	54.0	L 31 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Purdue vs Northwestern	+10.5	58.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Purdue vs Wisconsin	+26.5	48.5	L 20 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/26	Purdue at Indiana	+16.0	66.5	L 24 - 26	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	.15	45%	28.4	42%	2.67	203	46%	179	3.77	.04	39%	15.6	39%	37%	2.41	32.5	1.1	2
PUR	.11	41%	24.6	43%	2.91	96	39%	295	2.93	.26	46%	38.3	45%	44%	4.39	37.3	2.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	14	28.4	24.8	44.7%	3.77	1.1	20	382	203	179	4.3	62%	36%	42%	46%	13%	.15
PUR Defense	12	38.3	40.1	45.7%	4.39	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	45%	44%	13%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	14	15.6	11.2	38.9%	2.41	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	39%	37%	20%	.04
PUR Offense	12	24.6	26.4	41.3%	2.93	2.8	21	391	96	295	3.2	38%	61%	43%	39%	16%	.11

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	14	34:58	20.3	44%	50%	3.4	32.5	1.1	2	5.3	2.4	1	31.3
Purdue	12	29:19	21.2	45%	45%	4.3	37.3	2.8	1.3	5.7	1.8	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	14	62%	42%	47	203.1	4.3	31	.05	2.67	78%	10%	0.88
PUR Defense	12	58%	45%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.06	74%	9%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	14	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.55	69%	10%	0.73
PUR Offense	12	38%	43%	30.1	96.2	3.2	12	.08	2.91	65%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	14	36%	46%	14.4	23.1	179.1	7.8	12.4	14	10	.34	1.6	30%	37%	.3	4%	1.9
PUR Defense	12	40%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.37	1.7	31%	36%	.41	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.12	1.5	35%	29%	.18	9%	1.7
PUR Offense	12	61%	39%	26	46.4	294.9	6.4	11.3	25	25	.14	1.6	34%	33%	.39	7%	2.1

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #16
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: Purdue: -3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 16.1 Purdue: -11.0

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -3 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2016 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0 #104
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #102

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.2

Wisconsin's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 35
Purdue 17

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Wisconsin 36
Purdue 15

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Wisconsin 33
Purdue 19

Total Points: 52

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 40.1

Purdue's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Wisconsin	52	Purdue	6	Wisconsin -12	Wisconsin	44.5	Over
2023	09/22	Purdue	17	Wisconsin	38	Wisconsin -5.5	Wisconsin	54.0	Over
2022	10/22	Wisconsin	35	Purdue	24	Wisconsin -1.5	Wisconsin	51.5	Over
2021	10/23	Purdue	13	Wisconsin	30	Wisconsin -3.5	Wisconsin	41.0	Over
2019	11/23	Wisconsin	45	Purdue	24	Wisconsin -24.5	Purdue	49.0	Over
2018	11/17	Purdue	44	Wisconsin	47	Purdue -3.5	Wisconsin	56.0	Over
2017	10/14	Wisconsin	17	Purdue	9	Wisconsin -17	Purdue	49.5	Under
2016	11/19	Purdue	20	Wisconsin	49	Wisconsin -26.5	Wisconsin	48.5	Over
2015	10/17	Wisconsin	24	Purdue	7	Wisconsin -20.5	Purdue	51.5	Under
2014	11/08	Purdue	16	Wisconsin	34	Wisconsin -15.5	Wisconsin	0
2013	09/21	Wisconsin	41	Purdue	10	Wisconsin -23	Wisconsin	0
2012	10/13	Purdue	14	Wisconsin	38
2011	11/05	Wisconsin	62	Purdue	17
2010	11/06	Purdue	13	Wisconsin	34
2009	10/31	Wisconsin	37	Purdue	0
2006	10/21	Purdue	3	Wisconsin	24
2005	10/22	Wisconsin	31	Purdue	20
2004	10/16	Purdue	17	Wisconsin	20
2003	10/18	Wisconsin	23	Purdue	26
2000	10/20	Wisconsin	24	Purdue	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	2	3	7 Overs
Wisconsin	18	8	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 11	3 - 8	3 - 4	0 - 4
Road Teams	11 - 9	8 - 3	4 - 0	4 - 3

(#) WIS at (#) PUR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	PUR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#104
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#37	#68
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wisconsin Injury Report

Purdue Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PUR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 36° - Wind: 22 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Wisconsin 26.5 (48.5)
Wisconsin won at Purdue this year (49-20)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Purdue last year (52-6)
Wisconsin beat Purdue in 2023 (38-17)
Wisconsin beat Purdue in 2022 (35-24)

WIS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PUR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD