Virginia at Wake Forest - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#15)Virginia Cavaliers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (3:00 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -2.5 (45.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Wake Forest 27 - Virginia: 20 (ACC)

Cavaliers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (20 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WAKE 2nd straight Home Game
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ WAKE -3)
Projected Score: UVA: 22 - WAKE: 24 (46)
WAKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 163 miles

Demon Deacons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 22 (20 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UVA Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Virginia vs Richmond	-14.0
Sat 9/10	Virginia at Oregon	+20.5	71.5	L 26 - 44	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Virginia at UConn	+6.5	47.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Virginia vs Central Michigan	+2.0	51.5	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Virginia at Duke	+5.0	60.5	W 34 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Virginia vs Pittsburgh	+5.0	60.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/22	Virginia vs North Carolina	+9.0	68.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/29	Virginia vs Louisville	+27.0	69.5	L 25 - 32	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Virginia at Wake Forest	+2.5	45.0	L 20 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/12	Virginia vs Miami	+11.0	55.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia at Georgia Tech	+10.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	Virginia at Virginia Tech	+18.5	53.5	L 10 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Wake Forest vs Tulane	-16.0	43.0	W 7 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/10	Wake Forest at Duke	+8.5	45.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Wake Forest vs Delaware	-24.0
Sat 9/24	Wake Forest at Indiana	+5.5	47.5	W 33 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Wake Forest at NC State	+9.0	48.0	L 16 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/8	Wake Forest vs Syracuse	-3.0	53.5	W 28 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Wake Forest at Florida State	+25.5	51.0	L 6 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Wake Forest vs Army	-8.0	42.0	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	Wake Forest vs Virginia	-2.5	45.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Wake Forest at Louisville	+33.0	56.5	L 12 - 44	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Wake Forest vs Clemson	+23.5	47.5	L 13 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wake Forest vs Boston College	-2.0	34.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Tue 12/27	Wake Forest vs Temple	+12.5	42.0	W 34 - 26	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	.04	41%	22.5	43%	2.75	114	38%	239	3.21	.23	45%	33.8	40%	48%	3.45	57.9	2.2	1.1
WAKE	.03	37%	20.4	35%	2.72	146	35%	166	3.07	.09	41%	22.2	41%	41%	2.44	38.5	1.5	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)		43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)		44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3
WAKE	#104 (.13)	42% (81)		43% (79)	3 (79)	131	41% (75)	240	3.2 (121)	#118 (.27)	51% (134)		48% (110)	53% (133)	4.12 (99)	45.9	1.8	1.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Offense	12	22.5	19.5	40.6%	3.21	2.2	20	353	114	239	3.6	40%	60%	43%	38%	17%	.04
WAKE Defense	13	22.2	18	41.3%	2.44	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	41%	19%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Defense	12	33.8	31.2	44.8%	3.45	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	40%	48%	16%	.23
WAKE Offense	13	20.4	20	36.9%	3.07	1.5	17	311	146	166	3.6	54%	43%	35%	35%	17%	.03

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia	12	29:00	19.8	34%	52%	6.3	57.9	2.2	1.1	5.5	2	0	31.2
Wake Forest	13	30:49	17.3	35%	41%	4.7	38.5	1.5	2.1	7.2	3.2	2	32

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Offense	12	40%	43%	32	113.6	3.6	13	.06	2.75	68%	10%	0.93
WAKE Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.91	69%	13%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Defense	12	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.86	73%	10%	0.96
WAKE Offense	13	54%	35%	41	145.8	3.6	17	.05	2.72	65%	10%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Offense	12	60%	38%	22.2	40.6	239.3	5.9	10.8	23	16	.03	1.4	34%	26%	.05	7%	1.8
WAKE Defense	13	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.5	34%	29%	.19	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.44	1.7	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.2
WAKE Offense	13	43%	35%	14.6	27.2	165.7	6.1	11.3	9	13	.03	1.4	36%	28%	.12	7%	1.6

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2016 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #83
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #88
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #67

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: Wake Forest: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -3.8 Wake Forest: -0.6

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6 #67
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #113
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Virginia's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Wake Forest 24
Virginia 22

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 24
Wake Forest 22

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Wake Forest 26
Virginia 20

Total Points: 46

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Wake Forest's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Virginia	9	Wake Forest	16	Virginia -7	Wake Forest	48.5	Under
2024	09/07	Wake Forest	30	Virginia	31	Virginia -1.5	Wake Forest	55.5	Over
2021	09/24	Virginia	17	Wake Forest	37	Virginia -3.5	Wake Forest	71.0	Under
2020	10/17	Wake Forest	40	Virginia	23	Wake Forest -2.5	Wake Forest	57.5	Over
2016	11/05	Wake Forest	27	Virginia	20	Wake Forest -2.5	Wake Forest	45.0	Over
2012	10/20	Virginia	10	Wake Forest	16
2008	11/08	Wake Forest	28	Virginia	17
2007	11/03	Virginia	17	Wake Forest	16
2003	09/27	Virginia	27	Wake Forest	24
2002	09/28	Wake Forest	34	Virginia	38
2001	11/03	Virginia	30	Wake Forest	34
2000	09/29	Wake Forest	10	Virginia	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	7	5	3 Overs
Virginia	5	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 7	3 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 5	2 - 3	0 - 1	2 - 2

(#) UVA at (#) WAKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UVA	WAKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#67
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#42	#67
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Injury Report

Wake Forest Injury Report

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	WAKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	UVA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#67
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 64°

Rematch from Week 10
Wake Forest -2.5 (45.0)
Wake Forest won vs Virginia this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Wake Forest last year (31-30)

UVA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WAKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD