Buffalo at Northern Illinois - 2016 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Northern Illinois Huskies  Northern Illinois logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -20 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northern Illinois 44 - Buffalo: 7  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NIU 2nd straight Home Game
NIU is playing their 8th straight game
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ NIU -16)
Projected Score: BUFF: 23 - NIU: 20 (43)
NIU Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
BUFF Travel: 515 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (18 - 21 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Nevada+9.049.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/24 Buffalo vs Army+16.050.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/1 Buffalo at Boston College+20.040.0L 3 - 35UN
Sat 10/8 Buffalo vs Kent State-2.042.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 10/15 Buffalo vs Ball State+9.052.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/22 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+20.061.0L 7 - 44UN
Thu 10/27 Buffalo vs Akron+14.563.0W 41 - 20UY
Thu 11/3 Buffalo at Ohio+19.051.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 11/12 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)+12.050.5L 24 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Buffalo at Western Michigan+34.055.5L 0 - 38UN
Fri 11/25 Buffalo at Bowling Green+11.060.0L 19 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Northern Illinois at Wyoming-10.554.0L 34 - 40ON
Sat 9/10 Northern Illinois at South Florida+11.555.0L 17 - 48ON
Sat 9/17 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State+8.048.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/24 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-7.0
Sat 10/1 Northern Illinois at Ball State+1.057.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/8 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan+19.068.5L 30 - 45OY
Sat 10/15 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan+4.060.0L 28 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-20.061.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green-17.072.0W 45 - 20UY
Wed 11/9 Northern Illinois vs Toledo+7.569.5L 24 - 31UY
Wed 11/16 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-4.063.0W 31 - 24UY
Fri 11/25 Northern Illinois at Kent State-5.045.5W 31 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1543%2440%2.9613745%2503.3.143%23.544%41%3.19641.71.7
NIU.1442%17.141%2.7319041%2083.54.0743%24.341%41%2.9349.61.92.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.243.5%3.31.7213861372503.945%53%40%45%3%.15
NIU Defense1424.320.842.7%2.932.1 - - - - - 50%48%41%41%3%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.643.2%3.191.7 - - - - - 52%46%44%41%2%.1
NIU Offense1417.117.841.8%3.541.9203991902084.158%41%41%41%2%.14

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1231:0420.536%65%7641.71.700628.5
Northern Illinois1426:2420.238%52%5.749.61.92.100431.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1245%40%35.4136.93.917.062.9674%0%0.87
NIU Defense1450%41% - - - - .012.9285%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1252%44% - - - - .132.9268%0%1.03
NIU Offense1458%41%45.9190.14.131.082.7372%0%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1253%45%23.637.9249.56.610.61616.251.434%33%.253%1.5
NIU Defense1448%41% - - - - - - 22.171.532%31%.183%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 13.091.631%33%.32%1.9
NIU Offense1441%41%17.128.9208.47.212.22210.241.631%31%.242%1.8

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8  #123
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8  #124
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #94

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Northern Illinois: 1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -18.8   Northern Illinois: -2.4




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: 1.3 NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northern Illinois's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4  #77
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #50
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 23
Northern Illinois 20

Projected Total Points: 43
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Northern Illinois's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Northern Illinois20Buffalo23Northern Illinois -13.0Buffalo42.5Over
202111/17Buffalo27Northern Illinois33Northern Illinois -2Northern Illinois59.5Over
202011/04Northern Illinois30Buffalo49Buffalo -14Buffalo53.0Over
201811/30Buffalo29Northern Illinois30Buffalo -3Northern Illinois51.0Over
201710/14Buffalo13Northern Illinois14Northern Illinois -8Buffalo50.0Under
201610/22Northern Illinois44Buffalo7Northern Illinois -20Northern Illinois61.0Under
201511/11Buffalo30Northern Illinois41Northern Illinois -5Northern Illinois55.5Over
201210/13Northern Illinois45Buffalo3
201110/22Buffalo30Northern Illinois31
201010/16Northern Illinois45Buffalo14
200609/16Northern Illinois31Buffalo13
200311/08Buffalo9Northern Illinois40
200010/27Northern Illinois73Buffalo10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1145 Overs
Buffalo232 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 82 - 51 - 21 - 3
Road Teams8 - 55 - 23 - 12 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) NIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFNIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #77
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #116 #94
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNIU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNIU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatNIU OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatNIU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Northern Illinois -20.0 (61.0)
Northern Illinois won vs Buffalo this year (44-7)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Northern Illinois in 2024 (23-20)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NIU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NIU's DC ()
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