Buffalo at Western Michigan - 2016 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Western Michigan Broncos  Western Michigan logo
Saturday, November 19th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Western Michigan -34 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 38 - Buffalo: 0  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -17.5  (SP+ WMU -30)
Projected Score: BUFF: 20 - WMU: 25 (45)
WMU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
BUFF Travel: 350 miles
Broncos (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Nevada+9.049.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/24 Buffalo vs Army+16.050.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/1 Buffalo at Boston College+20.040.0L 3 - 35UN
Sat 10/8 Buffalo vs Kent State-2.042.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 10/15 Buffalo vs Ball State+9.052.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/22 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+20.061.0L 7 - 44UN
Thu 10/27 Buffalo vs Akron+14.563.0W 41 - 20UY
Thu 11/3 Buffalo at Ohio+19.051.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 11/12 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)+12.050.5L 24 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Buffalo at Western Michigan+34.055.5L 0 - 38UN
Fri 11/25 Buffalo at Bowling Green+11.060.0L 19 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Western Michigan at Northwestern+6.553.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 Western Michigan vs North Carolina Central-29.5
Sat 9/17 Western Michigan at Illinois-1.556.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/24 Western Michigan vs Georgia Southern-4.055.5W 49 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 Western Michigan at Central Michigan-4.060.5W 49 - 10UY
Sat 10/8 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois-19.068.5W 45 - 30ON
Sat 10/15 Western Michigan at Akron-10.567.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 10/22 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.562.0W 45 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Western Michigan at Ball State-16.064.5W 52 - 20OY
Tue 11/8 Western Michigan at Kent State-18.555.0W 37 - 21ON
Sat 11/19 Western Michigan vs Buffalo-34.055.5W 38 - 0UY
Fri 11/25 Western Michigan vs Toledo-9.571.5W 55 - 35OY
Fri 12/2 Western Michigan vs Ohio-17.058.0W 29 - 23UN
Mon 1/2 Western Michigan vs Wisconsin+6.554.0L 16 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1543%2440%2.9613745%2503.3.143%23.544%41%3.19641.71.7
WMU.2847%24.947%3.2120446%2873.62.2443%17.442%43%3.8355.51.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.243.5%3.31.7213861372503.945%53%40%45%3%.15
WMU Defense1317.415.742.9%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%48%42%43%2%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.643.2%3.191.7 - - - - - 52%46%44%41%2%.1
WMU Offense1324.92947.3%3.621.324491204287549%48%47%46%1%.28

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1231:0420.536%65%7641.71.700628.5
Western Michigan1334:3123.846%64%6.255.51.31.400229.1
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1245%40%35.4136.93.917.062.9674%0%0.87
WMU Defense1350%42% - - - - .162.8266%0%1.21
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1252%44% - - - - .132.9268%0%1.03
WMU Offense1349%47%40.5203.7528.193.2175%0%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1253%45%23.637.9249.56.610.61616.251.434%33%.253%1.5
WMU Defense1348%43% - - - - - - 10.331.634%36%.472%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 13.091.631%33%.32%1.9
WMU Offense1348%46%2131.1287.19.213.7309.411.728%40%.591%2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8  #123
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8  #124
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #94

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Western Michigan: 8.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -18.8   Western Michigan: 11.5




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: 8.25 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5  #29
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #70

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 25
Buffalo 20

Projected Total Points: 45
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Western Michigan's 2016 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Buffalo41Western Michigan48Western Michigan -1Western Michigan49.5Over
202110/02Buffalo17Western Michigan24Western Michigan -7NA59.5Under
201710/07Buffalo68Western Michigan71Western Michigan -7Buffalo51.0Over
201611/19Western Michigan38Buffalo0Western Michigan -34Western Michigan55.5Under
201310/12Western Michigan0Buffalo33Buffalo -11Buffalo0
201211/10Buffalo29Western Michigan24
200910/24Western Michigan34Buffalo31
200810/11Buffalo28Western Michigan34
200510/01Western Michigan31Buffalo21
200210/05Buffalo17Western Michigan31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan822 Overs
Buffalo222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 62 - 21 - 01 - 2
Road Teams6 - 42 - 22 - 10 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #116 #81
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatWMU OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatWMU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Western Michigan -34.0 (55.5)
Western Michigan won vs Buffalo this year (38-0)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Buffalo in 2024 (48-41)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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WMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD