Buffalo at Nevada - 2016 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Nevada Wolf Pack  Nevada logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (9:00 PM EDT)
Nevada -9 (49.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Nevada 38 - Buffalo: 14

 
Bulls (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF coming off BYE
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ NEV -6)
Projected Score: BUFF: 25 - NEV: 21 (46)
NEV Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
BUFF Travel: 2123 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Nevada+9.049.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/24 Buffalo vs Army+16.050.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/1 Buffalo at Boston College+20.040.0L 3 - 35UN
Sat 10/8 Buffalo vs Kent State-2.042.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 10/15 Buffalo vs Ball State+9.052.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/22 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+20.061.0L 7 - 44UN
Thu 10/27 Buffalo vs Akron+14.563.0W 41 - 20UY
Thu 11/3 Buffalo at Ohio+19.051.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 11/12 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)+12.050.5L 24 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Buffalo at Western Michigan+34.055.5L 0 - 38UN
Fri 11/25 Buffalo at Bowling Green+11.060.0L 19 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Nevada's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Nevada vs Cal Poly-19.0
Sat 9/10 Nevada at Notre Dame+26.062.0L 10 - 39UN
Sat 9/17 Nevada vs Buffalo-9.049.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/24 Nevada at Purdue+5.059.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Nevada at Hawai'i-3.555.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/8 Nevada vs Fresno State-11.554.0W 27 - 22UN
Sat 10/15 Nevada at San José State+5.056.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Nevada vs Wyoming+3.053.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Nevada at New Mexico+11.058.5L 26 - 35OY
Sat 11/12 Nevada vs San Diego State+20.550.5L 16 - 46ON
Sat 11/19 Nevada vs Utah State+5.056.5W 38 - 37OY
Sat 11/26 Nevada at UNLV+7.059.0W 45 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1543%2440%2.9613745%2503.3.143%23.544%41%3.19641.71.7
NEV.1643%17.642%2.9621142%1653.18.1846%27.544%45%3.1346.80.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.243.5%3.31.7213861372503.945%53%40%45%3%.15
NEV Defense1327.525.245.5%3.131.6 - - - - - 52%46%44%45%3%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.643.2%3.191.7 - - - - - 52%46%44%41%2%.1
NEV Offense1317.619.743%3.180.9203752111654.959%39%42%42%1%.16

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1231:0420.536%65%7641.71.700628.5
Nevada1330:0019.739%45%5.246.80.91.600226.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1245%40%35.4136.93.917.062.9674%0%0.87
NEV Defense1352%44% - - - - .143.0973%0%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1252%44% - - - - .132.9268%0%1.03
NEV Offense1359%42%42.8210.64.924.122.9666%0%1

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1253%45%23.637.9249.56.610.61616.251.434%33%.253%1.5
NEV Defense1346%45% - - - - - - 13.231.331%35%.43%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 13.091.631%33%.32%1.9
NEV Offense1339%42%14.325.5164.56.511.5157.241.532%37%.371%1.7

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8  #123
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8  #124
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #94

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Nevada: -4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -18.8   Nevada: -13.0




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -4 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2016 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0  #110
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 25
Nevada 21

Projected Total Points: 46
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/17Nevada38Buffalo14Nevada -9Nevada49.5Over
201509/26Buffalo21Nevada24Buffalo -3Nevada53.5Under
200409/18Nevada38Buffalo13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada321 Overs
Buffalo001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #110
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #116 #101
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Nevada -9.0 (49.5)
Nevada won vs Buffalo this year (38-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BUFF's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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BUFF's DC ()
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NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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NEV's DC ()
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