Miami (OH) at Buffalo - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (1:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -12 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 35 - Buffalo: 24 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (26 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 15 MPH
BUFF is playing their 9th straight game
M-OH is playing their 11th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ M-OH -12.5)
Projected Score: M-OH: 29 - BUFF: 23 (52)
M-OH Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
M-OH Travel: 392 miles

Bulls (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (24 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami (OH) at Iowa	+32.0	52.5	L 21 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Miami (OH) vs Eastern Illinois	-10.0
Sat 9/17	Miami (OH) vs Western Kentucky	+15.0	64.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+19.5	55.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	+3.5	50.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/8	Miami (OH) at Akron	+7.5	54.0	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/15	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	+2.0	43.0	W 18 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	+3.5	52.0	W 40 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	50.0	W 28 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/4	Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan	+6.0	46.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	-12.0	50.5	W 35 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-6.0	55.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Mon 12/26	Miami (OH) vs Mississippi State	+11.5	58.0	L 16 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Buffalo's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Buffalo vs UAlbany	-23.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Buffalo at Nevada	+9.0	49.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/24	Buffalo vs Army	+16.0	50.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Buffalo at Boston College	+20.0	40.0	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/8	Buffalo vs Kent State	-2.0	42.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/15	Buffalo vs Ball State	+9.0	52.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/22	Buffalo at Northern Illinois	+20.0	61.0	L 7 - 44	U	N
Thu 10/27	Buffalo vs Akron	+14.5	63.0	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Thu 11/3	Buffalo at Ohio	+19.0	51.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/12	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	+12.0	50.5	L 24 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Buffalo at Western Michigan	+34.0	55.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Fri 11/25	Buffalo at Bowling Green	+11.0	60.0	L 19 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	.16	43%	22.8	38%	2.72	136	46%	231	3.01	.08	43%	23.8	45%	39%	3.03	55.4	1.5	1.5
BUFF	.07	39%	16.5	39%	2.87	153	36%	201	2.43	.16	46%	32.3	47%	41%	3.38	43	1.6	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)		38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)		46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	13	22.8	26.2	42.8%	3.01	1.5	20	367	136	231	3.7	52%	47%	38%	46%	16%	.16
BUFF Defense	12	32.3	28.7	45.8%	3.38	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	64%	34%	47%	41%	13%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	13	23.8	28.7	42.6%	3.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	45%	39%	17%	.08
BUFF Offense	12	16.5	24.2	38.5%	2.43	1.6	18	354	153	201	4.3	48%	51%	39%	36%	16%	.07

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	13	32:24	19.5	38%	47%	6.8	55.4	1.5	1.5	5.4	1.8	1	28.7
Buffalo	12	26:58	18.3	36%	44%	5.3	43	1.6	1.1	5.1	1.8	0	30.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	13	52%	38%	37.2	136.3	3.7	9	.05	2.72	71%	11%	0.93
BUFF Defense	12	64%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.11	69%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	13	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.83	77%	10%	0.87
BUFF Offense	12	48%	39%	35.5	153.3	4.3	12	.04	2.87	73%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	13	47%	46%	16.3	27.5	230.6	8.4	14.1	27	7	.31	1.6	34%	32%	.28	5%	1.9
BUFF Defense	12	34%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.16	4%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.13	1.5	32%	31%	.12	7%	1.6
BUFF Offense	12	51%	36%	17.7	33.1	200.5	6.1	11.4	11	11	.1	1.5	35%	30%	.12	8%	1.6

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #91
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #72

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): Buffalo: -6.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -6.1 Buffalo: -18.8

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -6.9 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #123
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #124
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #94

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.2
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 29
Buffalo 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami (OH) 31
Buffalo 22

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 28
Buffalo 23

Total Points: 51

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Buffalo's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/19	Buffalo	20	Miami (OH)	37	Miami (OH) -2.5	Miami (OH)	38.5	Over
2023	11/15	Miami (OH)	23	Buffalo	10	Miami (OH) -7.5	Miami (OH)	36.5	Under
2022	10/01	Buffalo	24	Miami (OH)	20	Buffalo -3	Buffalo	50.0	Under
2021	11/09	Miami (OH)	45	Buffalo	18	Miami (OH) -7	Miami (OH)	58.0	Over
2020	11/10	Buffalo	42	Miami (OH)	10	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	55.0	Under
2019	09/28	Miami (OH)	34	Buffalo	20	Buffalo -2.5	Miami (OH)	47.5	Over
2018	10/30	Buffalo	51	Miami (OH)	42	Buffalo -7	Buffalo	53.0	Over
2017	10/21	Miami (OH)	24	Buffalo	14	Miami (OH) -3	Miami (OH)	47.0	Under
2016	11/12	Buffalo	24	Miami (OH)	35	Miami (OH) -12	Buffalo	50.5	Over
2015	10/29	Miami (OH)	24	Buffalo	29	Buffalo -9.5	Miami (OH)	50.0	Over
2014	09/27	Buffalo	35	Miami (OH)	27	Buffalo -6.5	Buffalo	0
2013	11/19	Miami (OH)	7	Buffalo	44	Buffalo -24	Buffalo	0
2012	11/03	Buffalo	27	Miami (OH)	24
2011	10/29	Miami (OH)	41	Buffalo	13
2010	10/30	Buffalo	9	Miami (OH)	21
2009	11/18	Miami (OH)	17	Buffalo	42
2008	11/04	Buffalo	37	Miami (OH)	17
2007	11/03	Miami (OH)	31	Buffalo	28
2006	10/14	Buffalo	31	Miami (OH)	38
2005	11/05	Miami (OH)	54	Buffalo	13
2004	10/16	Buffalo	7	Miami (OH)	25
2003	10/11	Miami (OH)	59	Buffalo	3
2002	10/19	Buffalo	0	Miami (OH)	49
2001	10/06	Miami (OH)	31	Buffalo	14
2000	11/17	Buffalo	16	Miami (OH)	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	9	6	6 Overs
Miami (OH)	16	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	10 - 2	7 - 0	3 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 15	2 - 10	2 - 3	0 - 7

(#) M-OH at (#) BUFF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	BUFF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#123
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#89	#116
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Buffalo Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BUFF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	M-OH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#72
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 45° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Miami (OH) 12.0 (50.5)
Miami (OH) won at Buffalo this year (35-24)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Buffalo in 2023 (23-10)
Buffalo beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (24-20)

M-OH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BUFF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD