Akron at Buffalo - 2016 Matchup Preview

Thursday, October 27th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Akron -14.5 (63.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Buffalo 41 - Akron: 20 (Mid-American)

Zips (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 34 (27 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
AKR 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF is playing their 7th straight game
AKR is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ AKR -13)
Projected Score: AKR: 31 - BUFF: 24 (55)
AKR Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
AKR Travel: 193 miles

Bulls (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (24 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Akron vs VMI	-28.0
Sat 9/10	Akron at Wisconsin	+24.0	45.5	L 10 - 54	O	N
Sat 9/17	Akron at Marshall	+15.5	55.5	W 65 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Akron vs App State	+7.0	56.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Akron at Kent State	-5.0	51.5	W 31 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/8	Akron vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	54.0	W 35 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Akron vs Western Michigan	+10.5	67.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/22	Akron at Ball State	+2.0	62.5	W 35 - 25	U	Y
Thu 10/27	Akron at Buffalo	-14.5	63.0	L 20 - 41	U	N
Wed 11/2	Akron vs Toledo	+8.0	72.0	L 17 - 48	U	N
Wed 11/9	Akron vs Bowling Green	-11.5	73.0	L 28 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22	Akron at Ohio	+7.5	53.0	L 3 - 9	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Buffalo's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Buffalo vs UAlbany	-23.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Buffalo at Nevada	+9.0	49.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/24	Buffalo vs Army	+16.0	50.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Buffalo at Boston College	+20.0	40.0	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/8	Buffalo vs Kent State	-2.0	42.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/15	Buffalo vs Ball State	+9.0	52.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/22	Buffalo at Northern Illinois	+20.0	61.0	L 7 - 44	U	N
Thu 10/27	Buffalo vs Akron	+14.5	63.0	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Thu 11/3	Buffalo at Ohio	+19.0	51.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/12	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	+12.0	50.5	L 24 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Buffalo at Western Michigan	+34.0	55.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Fri 11/25	Buffalo at Bowling Green	+11.0	60.0	L 19 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	.14	40%	27.4	38%	2.59	132	41%	255	3.27	.2	47%	33.6	47%	44%	3.78	67.3	1.8	1.1
BUFF	.07	39%	16.5	39%	2.87	153	36%	201	2.43	.16	46%	32.3	47%	41%	3.38	43	1.6	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	27.4	27.3	40.2%	3.27	1.8	19	387	132	255	4.2	44%	54%	38%	41%	19%	.14
BUFF Defense	12	32.3	28.7	45.8%	3.38	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	64%	34%	47%	41%	13%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	33.6	32.3	46.5%	3.78	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	47%	44%	13%	.2
BUFF Offense	12	16.5	24.2	38.5%	2.43	1.6	18	354	153	201	4.3	48%	51%	39%	36%	16%	.07

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	25:58	19.3	38%	48%	7.6	67.3	1.8	1.1	5.1	1.3	4	30.7
Buffalo	12	26:58	18.3	36%	44%	5.3	43	1.6	1.1	5.1	1.8	0	30.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	44%	38%	31.7	132.2	4.2	13	.04	2.59	67%	11%	1.01
BUFF Defense	12	64%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.11	69%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.13	75%	7%	0.93
BUFF Offense	12	48%	39%	35.5	153.3	4.3	12	.04	2.87	73%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	54%	41%	18.1	33	255.3	7.7	14.1	25	14	.25	1.7	37%	34%	.31	8%	1.8
BUFF Defense	12	34%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.16	4%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.28	1.5	28%	41%	.39	5%	1.6
BUFF Offense	12	51%	36%	17.7	33.1	200.5	6.1	11.4	11	11	.1	1.5	35%	30%	.12	8%	1.6

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Akron's 2016 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.6 #90
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #108
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: Buffalo: -6.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -5.6 Buffalo: -18.8

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -6.9 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #123
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #124
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #94

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Akron Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Akron's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Akron 31
Buffalo 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Akron 34
Buffalo 21

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Akron 29
Buffalo 27

Total Points: 56

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Buffalo's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Buffalo	16	Akron	24	Buffalo -10	Akron	48.5	Under
2024	11/02	Akron	30	Buffalo	41	Akron -1	Buffalo	49.0	Over
2023	09/30	Akron	10	Buffalo	13	Akron -3	Buffalo	53.0	Under
2022	12/02	Buffalo	23	Akron	22	Buffalo -12.0	Akron	55.0	Under
2021	10/23	Akron	10	Buffalo	45	Buffalo -13.5	Buffalo	58.5	Under
2020	12/12	Buffalo	56	Akron	7	Buffalo -33.5	Buffalo	58.5	Over
2019	10/19	Akron	0	Buffalo	21	Buffalo -17.5	Buffalo	48.0	Under
2018	10/13	Buffalo	24	Akron	6	Buffalo -12	Buffalo	55.0	Under
2017	10/28	Akron	21	Buffalo	20	Buffalo -3	Akron	49.5	Under
2016	10/27	Buffalo	41	Akron	20	Akron -14.5	Buffalo	63.0	Under
2015	11/21	Akron	42	Buffalo	21	Akron -2.5	Akron	45.0	Over
2014	11/11	Buffalo	55	Akron	24	Akron -2.5	Buffalo	0
2011	11/19	Buffalo	51	Akron	10
2010	11/26	Akron	22	Buffalo	14
2009	10/17	Buffalo	21	Akron	17
2008	11/13	Akron	40	Buffalo	43
2007	10/27	Buffalo	26	Akron	10
2006	11/09	Akron	31	Buffalo	16
2005	10/08	Buffalo	7	Akron	13
2004	10/09	Akron	44	Buffalo	21
2003	09/27	Buffalo	21	Akron	38
2001	11/17	Buffalo	14	Akron	41
2000	11/10	Akron	49	Buffalo	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	13	8	3 Overs
Akron	10	4	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 9	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 14	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3

(#) AKR at (#) BUFF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	BUFF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#123
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#80	#116
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Akron Injury Report

Buffalo Injury Report

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 40° - Wind: 14 mph
Rain: 0.012

Rematch from Week 9
Akron 14.5 (63.0)
Buffalo won vs Akron this year (41-20)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Akron last year (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)
Akron beat Buffalo in 2022 (0-0)

AKR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BUFF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD