Tulsa at Fresno State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Fresno State Bulldogs

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (4:30 PM EDT)
Tulsa -11.5 (66.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Tulsa 48 - Fresno State: 41

Golden Hurricane (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 30 (36 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES is playing their 4th straight game
TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ TLSA -24.5)
Projected Score: TLSA: 28 - FRES: 28 (56)
TLSA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
TLSA Travel: 1320 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (1 - 11) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 31 (21 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
FRES Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Tulsa vs San José State	-6.0	65.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Tulsa at Ohio State	+28.5	72.0	L 3 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/17	Tulsa vs North Carolina A&T	-25.0
Sat 9/24	Tulsa at Fresno State	-11.5	66.5	W 48 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7	Tulsa vs SMU	-11.0	68.0	W 43 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/15	Tulsa at Houston	+23.5	68.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Tulsa vs Tulane	-10.0	54.0	W 50 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Tulsa at Memphis	+7.5	74.5	W 59 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Tulsa vs East Carolina	-10.0	76.5	W 45 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Tulsa at Navy	+1.0	71.5	L 40 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/19	Tulsa at UCF	+1.5	64.0	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Tulsa vs Cincinnati	-18.5	63.0	W 40 - 37	O	N
Mon 12/19	Tulsa vs Central Michigan	-11.0	68.0	W 55 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Fresno State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Fresno State at Nebraska	+29.5	62.5	L 10 - 43	U	N
Sat 9/10	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-15
Sat 9/17	Fresno State at Toledo	+20.0	57.5	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/24	Fresno State vs Tulsa	+11.5	66.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Fresno State at UNLV	+11.5	56.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Fresno State at Nevada	+11.5	54.0	L 22 - 27	U	Y
Fri 10/14	Fresno State vs San Diego State	+17.5	51.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Fresno State at Utah State	+14.0	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N
Fri 10/28	Fresno State vs Air Force	+13.5	51.0	L 21 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Fresno State at Colorado State	+13.0	58.5	L 0 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	+2.5	54.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Fresno State vs San José State	+4.0	51.5	L 14 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	.24	47%	42.5	46%	3.2	262	47%	265	4.16	.09	37%	29.8	37%	35%	3.13	52.6	1.6	1.6
FRES	.06	36%	17.7	36%	2.37	116	35%	213	2.83	.2	48%	30.9	52%	39%	3.85	55.8	1.5	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)		35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)		38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	13	42.5	36	47.2%	4.16	1.6	29	526	262	265	5.1	56%	42%	46%	47%	13%	.24
FRES Defense	12	30.9	21.5	48.2%	3.85	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	66%	33%	52%	39%	12%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	13	29.8	36.5	37.2%	3.13	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	37%	35%	16%	.09
FRES Offense	12	17.7	20.5	36.3%	2.83	1.5	17	329	116	213	3.2	48%	50%	36%	35%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	13	29:41	28.7	46%	60%	6	52.6	1.6	1.6	6.2	2.4	3	30
Fresno State	12	28:48	17.2	38%	35%	6.3	55.8	1.5	0.7	4.6	1.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	13	56%	46%	51.3	262.3	5.1	33	.19	3.2	79%	7%	1.01
FRES Defense	12	66%	52%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.42	80%	8%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	13	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.84	70%	10%	1.05
FRES Offense	12	48%	36%	36.7	116.2	3.2	11	-.03	2.37	70%	11%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	13	42%	47%	20.5	34.5	265.3	7.7	12.9	33	12	.33	1.6	30%	38%	.3	6%	1.7
FRES Defense	12	33%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.27	1.6	27%	33%	.32	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	13	50%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.14	1.7	36%	29%	.23	6%	1.8
FRES Offense	12	50%	35%	17.5	33.8	213.1	6.3	12.2	13	13	.15	1.7	40%	31%	.22	7%	1.7

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2016 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #50
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #36
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: Fresno State: -5.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: 7.4 Fresno State: -16.9

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -5.95 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.9 #121
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #126
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #96

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 36
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Tulsa's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Tulsa 28
Fresno State 28

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 31
Tulsa 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Tulsa 33
Fresno State 26

Total Points: 59

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 17.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.5
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.5

Fresno State's 2016 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/24	Fresno State	41	Tulsa	48	Tulsa -11.5	Fresno State	66.5	Over
2012	09/22	Tulsa	27	Fresno State	26
2005	12/31	Tulsa	31	Fresno State	24
2002	11/09	Fresno State	31	Tulsa	12
2001	09/22	Tulsa	18	Fresno State	37
2000	10/27	Fresno State	34	Tulsa	12

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	3	1	1 Overs
Tulsa	3	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 4	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#) TLSA at (#) FRES

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TLSA	FRES
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#121
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#91	#93
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Tulsa Injury Report

Fresno State Injury Report

Tulsa on Offense


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	FRES Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#36	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tulsa Run Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Tulsa Pass Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	TLSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 82°

Rematch from Week 4
Tulsa 11.5 (66.5)
Tulsa won at Fresno State this year (48-41)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TLSA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD