San Diego State at Fresno State - 2016 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at Fresno State Bulldogs

Friday, October 14th 2016 (10:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -17.5 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
San Diego State 17 - Fresno State: 3 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -11.5 (SP+ SDSU -28.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 20 - FRES: 22 (42)
SDSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
SDSU Travel: 316 miles

Bulldogs (1 - 11) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
FRES Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	San Diego State vs New Hampshire	-34.0
Sat 9/10	San Diego State vs California	-7.0	59.5	W 45 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/17	San Diego State at Northern Illinois	-8.0	48.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	San Diego State at South Alabama	-17.5	49.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	San Diego State vs UNLV	-17.5	53.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/14	San Diego State at Fresno State	-17.5	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Fri 10/21	San Diego State vs San José State	-22.5	48.0	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/28	San Diego State at Utah State	-3.0	45.0	W 40 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/5	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-19.5	50.5	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 11/12	San Diego State at Nevada	-20.5	50.5	W 46 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/19	San Diego State at Wyoming	-7.5	54.5	L 33 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/26	San Diego State vs Colorado State	-12.5	53.5	L 31 - 63	O	N
Sat 12/3	San Diego State at Wyoming	-7.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/17	San Diego State vs Houston	+3.0	51.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Fresno State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Fresno State at Nebraska	+29.5	62.5	L 10 - 43	U	N
Sat 9/10	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-15
Sat 9/17	Fresno State at Toledo	+20.0	57.5	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/24	Fresno State vs Tulsa	+11.5	66.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Fresno State at UNLV	+11.5	56.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Fresno State at Nevada	+11.5	54.0	L 22 - 27	U	Y
Fri 10/14	Fresno State vs San Diego State	+17.5	51.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Fresno State at Utah State	+14.0	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N
Fri 10/28	Fresno State vs Air Force	+13.5	51.0	L 21 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Fresno State at Colorado State	+13.0	58.5	L 0 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	+2.5	54.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Fresno State vs San José State	+4.0	51.5	L 14 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.2	44%	26.4	44%	3.01	233	40%	142	3.78	.04	37%	15.4	37%	36%	2.39	58.1	0.9	2.4
FRES	.01	36%	25.8	40%	2.4	137	31%	178	3.21	.26	47%	18.8	48%	43%	3.75	39.3	1.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	14	26.4	18.2	44.1%	3.78	0.9	19	375	233	142	4.8	69%	29%	44%	40%	3%	.2
FRES Defense	12	18.8	15.3	46.6%	3.75	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	48%	43%	2%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	14	15.4	18.3	37.1%	2.39	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	37%	36%	5%	.04
FRES Offense	12	25.8	26.5	35.8%	3.21	1.9	17	315	137	178	3.9	46%	52%	40%	31%	4%	.01

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	14	32:41	18.6	42%	80%	6.4	58.1	0.9	2.4	0	0	8	32.9
Fresno State	12	27:19	17.3	37%	31%	4.9	39.3	1.9	1.7	0	0	1	31.1

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	14	69%	44%	48.2	233.3	4.8	32	.15	3.01	72%	0%	0.98
FRES Defense	12	59%	48%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.3	77%	0%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	57%	0%	0.88
FRES Offense	12	46%	40%	35.3	136.8	3.9	14	.07	2.4	63%	0%	1.13

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	14	29%	40%	10.1	18	142	7.9	14.1	17	3	.34	1.8	30%	34%	.4	3%	1.9
FRES Defense	12	40%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.6	29%	40%	.55	2%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	14	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	23	.12	1.7	34%	24%	.09	5%	1.9
FRES Offense	12	52%	31%	16.8	33.6	178.3	5.3	10.6	20	16	-.04	1.5	38%	30%	.14	4%	1.8

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2016 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #50
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #29

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Fresno State: -5.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 11.4 Fresno State: -16.9

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -5.95 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.9 #121
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #126
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 22
San Diego State 20

Projected Total Points: 42

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2016 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Fresno State	0	San Diego State	23	San Diego State -3	San Diego State	46.5	Under
2023	11/25	San Diego State	33	Fresno State	18	Fresno State -5.5	San Diego State	47.0	Over
2022	10/29	Fresno State	32	San Diego State	28	Fresno State -10	San Diego State	43.5	Over
2021	10/30	San Diego State	20	Fresno State	30	Fresno State -2	Fresno State	43.5	Over
2019	11/15	San Diego State	17	Fresno State	7	San Diego State -1	San Diego State	43.0	Under
2018	11/17	Fresno State	23	San Diego State	14	Fresno State -13	San Diego State	42.5	Under
2017	10/21	San Diego State	3	Fresno State	27	San Diego State -6.5	Fresno State	49.5	Under
2016	10/14	Fresno State	3	San Diego State	17	San Diego State -17.5	Fresno State	51.0	Under
2015	10/03	San Diego State	21	Fresno State	7	San Diego State -9.5	San Diego State	51.5	Under
2014	10/03	Fresno State	24	San Diego State	13	San Diego State -2	Fresno State	0
2013	10/26	San Diego State	28	Fresno State	35	Fresno State -9.5	San Diego State	0
2012	09/29	Fresno State	52	San Diego State	40
2011	12/03	San Diego State	35	Fresno State	28
2002	08/29	Fresno State	16	San Diego State	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	8	4	3 Overs
San Diego State	6	7	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	6 - 5	2 - 3	4 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	5 - 6	2 - 4	3 - 2

(#) SDSU at (#) FRES

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	FRES
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#121
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#74	#93
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

Fresno State Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	FRES Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
San Diego State 17.5 (51.0)
San Diego State won at Fresno State this year (17-3)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Fresno State last year (23-0)
San Diego State beat Fresno State in 2023 (33-18)

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD