Hawai'i at Fresno State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Fresno State Bulldogs

Saturday, November 19th 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
Hawai'i -2.5 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Hawai'i 14 - Fresno State: 13 (Mountain West)

Rainbow Warriors (7 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 37 (19 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES coming off BYE
HAW is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ HAW -7)
Projected Score: HAW: 24 - FRES: 27 (51)
HAW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
HAW Travel: 2515 miles, 2 hrs behind

Bulldogs (1 - 11) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 31 (21 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HAW Players
FRES Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Hawai'i's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/26	Hawai'i vs California	+23.0	66.0	L 31 - 51	O	Y
Sat 9/3	Hawai'i at Michigan	+40.5	55.0	L 3 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/10	Hawai'i vs UT Martin	-18.5
Sat 9/17	Hawai'i at Arizona	+23.0	63.0	L 28 - 47	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Hawai'i vs Nevada	+3.5	55.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Hawai'i at San José State	+3.5	62.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Hawai'i vs UNLV	-10.0	54.0	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/22	Hawai'i at Air Force	+17.5	58.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Hawai'i vs New Mexico	-3.0	65.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/5	Hawai'i at San Diego State	+19.5	50.5	L 0 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/12	Hawai'i vs Boise State	+16.5	62.5	L 16 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/19	Hawai'i at Fresno State	-2.5	54.5	W 14 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/26	Hawai'i vs Massachusetts	-10.5	57.0	W 46 - 40	O	N
Sat 12/24	Hawai'i vs Middle Tennessee	+4.5	70.0	W 52 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

Fresno State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Fresno State at Nebraska	+29.5	62.5	L 10 - 43	U	N
Sat 9/10	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-15
Sat 9/17	Fresno State at Toledo	+20.0	57.5	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/24	Fresno State vs Tulsa	+11.5	66.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Fresno State at UNLV	+11.5	56.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Fresno State at Nevada	+11.5	54.0	L 22 - 27	U	Y
Fri 10/14	Fresno State vs San Diego State	+17.5	51.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Fresno State at Utah State	+14.0	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N
Fri 10/28	Fresno State vs Air Force	+13.5	51.0	L 21 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Fresno State at Colorado State	+13.0	58.5	L 0 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	+2.5	54.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Fresno State vs San José State	+4.0	51.5	L 14 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW	.21	43%	28.3	42%	2.69	164	42%	228	4	.23	46%	37.3	47%	43%	4.1	71.6	1.8	1.2
FRES	.06	36%	17.7	36%	2.37	116	35%	213	2.83	.2	48%	30.9	52%	39%	3.85	55.8	1.5	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW	#82 (.17)	44% (52)		46% (45)	3.29 (26)	99	44% (50)	268	3.81 (81)	#81 (.19)	42% (71)		45% (85)	40% (58)	4.15 (103)	70.3	1.6	0.9
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Offense	14	28.3	18.8	42.9%	4	1.8	19	391	164	228	4.8	49%	50%	42%	42%	18%	.21
FRES Defense	12	30.9	21.5	48.2%	3.85	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	66%	33%	52%	39%	12%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Defense	14	37.3	37	46.4%	4.1	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	47%	43%	14%	.23
FRES Offense	12	17.7	20.5	36.3%	2.83	1.5	17	329	116	213	3.2	48%	50%	36%	35%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Hawai'i	14	29:33	18.8	35%	60%	8.3	71.6	1.8	1.2	6.6	2.3	1	28.7
Fresno State	12	28:48	17.2	38%	35%	6.3	55.8	1.5	0.7	4.6	1.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Offense	14	49%	42%	34.1	163.8	4.8	25	.17	2.69	69%	9%	1.11
FRES Defense	12	66%	52%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.42	80%	8%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Defense	14	56%	47%	-	-	-	-	.23	2.89	77%	10%	1.05
FRES Offense	12	48%	36%	36.7	116.2	3.2	11	-.03	2.37	70%	11%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Offense	14	50%	42%	18.4	31.3	227.5	7.3	12.4	25	15	.27	1.6	30%	30%	.26	9%	1.8
FRES Defense	12	33%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.27	1.6	27%	33%	.32	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Defense	14	42%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.6	32%	38%	.3	4%	1.6
FRES Offense	12	50%	35%	17.5	33.8	213.1	6.3	12.2	13	13	.15	1.7	40%	31%	.22	7%	1.7

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: NR
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: NR
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Hawai'i's 2016 Expected Record: -
Hawai'i's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #71
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #123

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: Fresno State: -5.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.1 Fresno State: -16.9

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -5.95 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.9 #121
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #126
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #96

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Hawai'i's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 27
Hawai'i 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 26
Hawai'i 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 28
Hawai'i 25

Total Points: 53

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 17.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.5
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.5

Fresno State's 2016 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State	23	Fresno State -2.5	Hawai'i	47.5	Under
2024	11/02	Fresno State	20	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State -12	Hawai'i	45.5	Under
2022	11/05	Fresno State	55	Hawai'i	13	Fresno State -27	Fresno State	62.0	Over
2021	10/02	Hawai'i	27	Fresno State	24	Fresno State -10.5	Hawai'i	64.5	Under
2020	10/24	Fresno State	19	Hawai'i	34	Fresno State -2.5	Hawai'i	64.5	Under
2019	11/02	Hawai'i	38	Fresno State	41	Hawai'i -2	Fresno State	69.5	Over
2018	10/27	Fresno State	50	Hawai'i	20	Fresno State -24.5	Fresno State	59.5	Over
2017	11/11	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State	31	Fresno State -10	NA	53.0	Under
2016	11/19	Fresno State	13	Hawai'i	14	Hawai'i -2.5	Fresno State	54.5	Under
2015	11/14	Hawai'i	14	Fresno State	42	Hawai'i -4	Fresno State	53.0	Over
2014	11/29	Fresno State	28	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State -12	Hawai'i	0
2013	09/29	Hawai'i	37	Fresno State	42	Fresno State -18.5	Hawai'i	0
2012	11/03	Fresno State	45	Hawai'i	10
2011	11/19	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State	24
2010	10/09	Fresno State	27	Hawai'i	49
2009	10/10	Hawai'i	17	Fresno State	42
2008	10/04	Fresno State	29	Hawai'i	32
2007	11/10	Hawai'i	37	Fresno State	30
2006	10/14	Fresno State	37	Hawai'i	68
2005	10/29	Hawai'i	13	Fresno State	27
2004	11/12	Fresno State	70	Hawai'i	14
2003	10/12	Hawai'i	55	Fresno State	28
2002	10/25	Fresno State	21	Hawai'i	31
2001	10/26	Hawai'i	38	Fresno State	34
2000	11/03	Fresno State	45	Hawai'i	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	14	5	4 Overs
Hawai'i	11	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 15	6 - 5	2 - 5	4 - 0
Road Teams	15 - 10	5 - 6	0 - 4	5 - 2

(#) HAW at (#) FRES

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HAW	FRES
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#121
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#105	#93
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Hawai'i Injury Report

Fresno State Injury Report

Hawai'i on Offense


CategoryCat	HAW Off	FRES Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Hawai'i Run Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Hawai'i Pass Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	HAW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Hawai'i 2.5 (54.5)
Hawai'i won at Fresno State this year (14-13)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Fresno State last year (21-20)
Fresno State beat Hawai'i in 2022 (55-13)

HAW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD