Fresno State at Colorado State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Colorado State -13 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Colorado State 37 - Fresno State: 0 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (1 - 11) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CSU coming off BYE
FRES is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -11.5 (SP+ CSU -18)
Projected Score: FRES: 27 - CSU: 21 (48)
CSU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
FRES Travel: 829 miles, 1 hrs behind

Rams (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Fresno State at Nebraska	+29.5	62.5	L 10 - 43	U	N
Sat 9/10	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-15
Sat 9/17	Fresno State at Toledo	+20.0	57.5	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/24	Fresno State vs Tulsa	+11.5	66.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Fresno State at UNLV	+11.5	56.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Fresno State at Nevada	+11.5	54.0	L 22 - 27	U	Y
Fri 10/14	Fresno State vs San Diego State	+17.5	51.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Fresno State at Utah State	+14.0	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N
Fri 10/28	Fresno State vs Air Force	+13.5	51.0	L 21 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Fresno State at Colorado State	+13.0	58.5	L 0 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	+2.5	54.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Fresno State vs San José State	+4.0	51.5	L 14 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Colorado State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Colorado State vs Colorado	+10.0	56.0	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Colorado State vs UTSA	-10.0	51.5	W 23 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/17	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-22.0
Sat 9/24	Colorado State at Minnesota	+15.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Colorado State vs Wyoming	-5.5	53.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/8	Colorado State vs Utah State	+6.0	53.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Colorado State at Boise State	+25.5	59.5	L 23 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Colorado State at UNLV	+1.5	56.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Colorado State vs Fresno State	-13.0	58.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Colorado State at Air Force	+6.0	54.0	L 46 - 49	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Colorado State vs New Mexico	-5.0	61.5	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Colorado State at San Diego State	+12.5	53.5	W 63 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/22	Colorado State vs Idaho	-13.0	65.0	L 50 - 61	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.01	36%	25.8	40%	2.4	137	31%	178	3.21	.26	47%	18.8	48%	43%	3.75	39.3	1.9	1.7
CSU	.17	47%	18.5	46%	3.19	198	46%	228	3.57	.18	43%	30.8	43%	39%	3.33	69.1	2.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	12	25.8	26.3	35.8%	3.21	1.9	17	315	137	178	3.9	46%	52%	40%	31%	4%	.01
CSU Defense	13	30.8	27.1	42.6%	3.33	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	43%	39%	1%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	12	18.8	24.8	46.6%	3.75	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	48%	43%	2%	.26
CSU Offense	13	18.5	19.9	47.2%	3.57	2.1	23	426	198	228	4.8	56%	43%	46%	46%	2%	.17

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	12	27:19	17.3	37%	31%	4.9	39.3	1.9	1.7	0	0	1	31.1
Colorado State	13	30:16	23.2	46%	59%	7.5	69.1	2.1	1.2	0	0	3	30.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	12	46%	40%	35.3	136.8	3.9	14	.07	2.4	63%	0%	1.13
CSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.89	69%	0%	1.2

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	12	59%	48%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.3	77%	0%	1.01
CSU Offense	13	56%	46%	41.1	197.8	4.8	20	.12	3.19	75%	0%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	12	52%	31%	16.8	33.6	178.3	5.3	10.6	20	16	-.04	1.5	38%	30%	.14	4%	1.8
CSU Defense	13	40%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.16	1.6	33%	38%	.39	1%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	12	40%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.6	29%	40%	.55	2%	2
CSU Offense	13	43%	46%	17.9	30.2	228.1	7.6	12.7	24	15	.28	1.5	30%	37%	.3	2%	1.7

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.9 #121
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #126
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: Colorado State: 2.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -16.9 Colorado State: 0.8

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: 2.9 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8 #64
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #44
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2016 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 27
Colorado State 21

Projected Total Points: 48

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/10	Colorado State	49	Fresno State	21	Fresno State -5.5	Colorado State	47.5	Over
2024	11/23	Fresno State	28	Colorado State	22	Fresno State -3.5	Fresno State	43.5	Over
2020	10/29	Fresno State	38	Colorado State	17	Colorado State -2.5	Fresno State	58.0	Under
2019	10/26	Fresno State	31	Colorado State	41	Fresno State -13.5	Colorado State	57.0	Over
2016	11/05	Colorado State	37	Fresno State	0	Colorado State -13	Colorado State	58.5	Under
2015	11/28	Fresno State	31	Colorado State	34	Colorado State -8.5	Fresno State	60.5	Over
2012	10/06	Colorado State	7	Fresno State	28
2008	12/20	Fresno State	35	Colorado State	40
2006	09/30	Fresno State	23	Colorado State	35
2003	10/04	Colorado State	34	Fresno State	10
2002	10/04	Fresno State	32	Colorado State	30
2001	10/13	Colorado State	22	Fresno State	25

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	7	3	4 Overs
Fresno State	5	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	5 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 6	1 - 5	0 - 3	1 - 2

(#) FRES at (#) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#64
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#93	#90
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

Colorado State Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Colorado State -13.0 (58.5)
Colorado State won vs Fresno State this year (37-0)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Fresno State last year (49-21)
Fresno State beat Colorado State in 2024 (28-22)

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD