SMU at Tulsa - 2016 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Friday, October 7th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -11 (68.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tulsa 43 - SMU: 40  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Road Game
TLSA coming off BYE
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ TLSA -18)
Projected Score: SMU: 30 - TLSA: 23 (53)
TLSA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 234 miles
Golden Hurricane (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 SMU at North Texas-12.068.0W 34 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 SMU at Baylor+28.572.0L 13 - 40UY
Sat 9/17 SMU vs Liberty-13.5
Fri 9/23 SMU vs TCU+24.068.0L 3 - 33UN
Sat 10/1 SMU at Temple+13.553.0L 20 - 45ON
Fri 10/7 SMU at Tulsa+11.068.0L 40 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 SMU vs Houston+24.060.0W 38 - 16UY
Sat 10/29 SMU at Tulane+1.048.0W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/5 SMU vs Memphis+6.565.0L 7 - 51UN
Sat 11/12 SMU at East Carolina+5.063.0W 55 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 SMU vs South Florida+12.573.0L 27 - 35UY
Sat 11/26 SMU vs Navy+8.065.5L 31 - 75ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Tulsa's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Tulsa vs San José State-6.065.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Tulsa at Ohio State+28.572.0L 3 - 48UN
Sat 9/17 Tulsa vs North Carolina A&T-25.0
Sat 9/24 Tulsa at Fresno State-11.566.5W 48 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7 Tulsa vs SMU-11.068.0W 43 - 40ON
Sat 10/15 Tulsa at Houston+23.568.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 Tulsa vs Tulane-10.054.0W 50 - 27OY
Sat 10/29 Tulsa at Memphis+7.574.5W 59 - 30OY
Sat 11/5 Tulsa vs East Carolina-10.076.5W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/12 Tulsa at Navy+1.071.5L 40 - 42ON
Sat 11/19 Tulsa at UCF+1.564.0W 35 - 20UY
Fri 11/25 Tulsa vs Cincinnati-18.563.0W 40 - 37ON
Mon 12/19 Tulsa vs Central Michigan-11.068.0W 55 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.1541%32.244%2.8616536%2184.08.3650%20.553%43%4.6750.32.11.3
TLSA.2343%23.244%3.0517441%3334.09.2448%28.948%46%3.8156.21.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.841.3%4.082.1213831652183.953%46%44%36%2%.15
TLSA Defense1328.927.247.6%3.811.8 - - - - - 53%46%48%46%2%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.249.9%4.671.3 - - - - - 60%39%53%43%2%.36
TLSA Offense1323.227.343.1%4.091.5265071743333.850%48%44%41%2%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1231:2620.539%35%5.450.32.11.300128.4
Tulsa1327:4425.544%54%756.21.51.800428.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1253%44%41.9164.53.923.122.8667%0%0.96
TLSA Defense1353%48% - - - - .153.0966%0%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1260%53% - - - - .313.477%0%1.1
TLSA Offense1350%44%45.5174.23.833.163.0571%0%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1246%36%16.930.5218.37.212.9198.191.835%35%.312%1.9
TLSA Defense1346%46% - - - - - - 10.341.731%38%.362%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1239%43% - - - - - - 10.51.928%34%.392%1.9
TLSA Offense1348%41%23.537.8333.28.814.2258.341.832%32%.382%1.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2016 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.8  #103
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #99
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #89

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Tulsa: 6.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: -10.8   Tulsa: 7.4




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 6.2 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2016 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #50
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #36
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 30
Tulsa 23

Projected Total Points: 53
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28SMU69Tulsa10SMU -20.5SMU55.0Over
202210/29Tulsa34SMU45SMU -1SMU63.5Over
202111/27SMU31Tulsa34SMU -6Tulsa63.0Over
202011/14Tulsa28SMU24SMU -2.0Tulsa64.0Under
201910/05SMU43Tulsa37SMU -12Tulsa63.5Over
201811/24Tulsa27SMU24SMU -2.5Tulsa52.5Under
201710/27SMU38Tulsa34SMU -11.5Tulsa76.5Under
201610/07Tulsa43SMU40Tulsa -11SMU68.0Over
201510/31SMU31Tulsa40Tulsa -1.5Tulsa75.5Under
201411/08Tulsa38SMU28Tulsa -9.5Tulsa0
201211/24SMU35Tulsa27
201110/29Tulsa38SMU7
201010/09SMU21Tulsa18
200910/31Tulsa13SMU27
200810/11SMU31Tulsa37
200710/27Tulsa29SMU23
200611/18SMU34Tulsa24
200510/22Tulsa20SMU13
200411/06SMU41Tulsa35
200310/25Tulsa35SMU16
200111/17Tulsa14SMU24
200011/10SMU24Tulsa20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa1175 Overs
SMU1134 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 64 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams6 - 166 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#) SMU at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #103 #50
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #75 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Tulsa -11.0 (68.0)
Tulsa won vs SMU this year (43-40)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Tulsa in 2023 (69-10)

  
SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD