Tulsa at UCF - 2016 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, November 19th 2016 (8:00 PM EST)
UCF -1.5 (64.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tulsa 35 - UCF: 20  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 30 (36 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA 2nd straight Road Game
UCF 3rd straight Home Game
UCF is playing their 6th straight game
TLSA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ TLSA -9.5)
Projected Score: TLSA: 30 - UCF: 31 (61)
UCF Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
TLSA Travel: 1004 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Tulsa vs San José State-6.065.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Tulsa at Ohio State+28.572.0L 3 - 48UN
Sat 9/17 Tulsa vs North Carolina A&T-25.0
Sat 9/24 Tulsa at Fresno State-11.566.5W 48 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7 Tulsa vs SMU-11.068.0W 43 - 40ON
Sat 10/15 Tulsa at Houston+23.568.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 Tulsa vs Tulane-10.054.0W 50 - 27OY
Sat 10/29 Tulsa at Memphis+7.574.5W 59 - 30OY
Sat 11/5 Tulsa vs East Carolina-10.076.5W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/12 Tulsa at Navy+1.071.5L 40 - 42ON
Sat 11/19 Tulsa at UCF+1.564.0W 35 - 20UY
Fri 11/25 Tulsa vs Cincinnati-18.563.0W 40 - 37ON
Mon 12/19 Tulsa vs Central Michigan-11.068.0W 55 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
UCF's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UCF vs South Carolina State-27.0
Sat 9/10 UCF at Michigan+34.553.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 9/17 UCF vs Maryland+9.056.0L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/24 UCF at Florida International-5.552.5W 53 - 14OY
Sat 10/1 UCF at East Carolina+5.561.0W 47 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 UCF vs Temple-1.051.5L 25 - 26UN
Sat 10/22 UCF at UConn-2.046.5W 24 - 16UY
Sat 10/29 UCF at Houston+12.559.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/5 UCF vs Tulane-16.547.0W 37 - 6UY
Sat 11/12 UCF vs Cincinnati-10.055.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Tulsa-1.564.0L 20 - 35UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida+9.566.0L 31 - 48ON
Sat 12/17 UCF vs Arkansas State+6.551.0L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.2447%42.546%3.226247%2654.16.0937%29.837%35%3.1352.61.61.6
UCF.0436%28.834%2.2314135%2103.14-.0436%24.639%32%2.4756.11.92
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1342.53647.2%4.161.6295262622655.156%42%46%47%13%.24
UCF Defense1324.618.736.3%2.472 - - - - - 52%46%39%32%21%-.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1329.836.537.2%3.131.6 - - - - - 48%50%37%35%16%.09
UCF Offense1328.825.935.8%3.141.9193511412103.549%49%34%35%19%.04

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1329:4128.746%60%652.61.61.66.22.4330
UCF1327:2819.229%43%756.11.927.82.8632.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1356%46%51.3262.35.133.193.279%7%1.01
UCF Defense1352%39% - - - - -.032.5667%13%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1348%37% - - - - .062.8470%10%1.05
UCF Offense1349%34%40.5141.53.525.052.2363%14%1.28

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1342%47%20.534.5265.37.712.93312.331.630%38%.36%1.7
UCF Defense1346%32% - - - - - - 15-.041.736%25%-.079%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1350%35% - - - - - - 10.141.736%29%.236%1.8
UCF Offense1349%35%18.834.5209.76.111.2149.041.438%26%.215%2.2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2016 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #50
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #36
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    UCF: 1.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: 7.4   UCF: -2.2




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 1.4 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2016 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2  #76
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #119
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #35

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 36
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Tulsa's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 31
Tulsa 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 31
Tulsa 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Tulsa 31
UCF 30

Total Points: 61
UCF Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

UCF's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202010/03UCF26Tulsa34UCF -19.5Tulsa70.0Under
201911/08Tulsa34UCF31UCF -17Tulsa68.5Under
201611/19UCF20Tulsa35UCF -1.5Tulsa64.0Under
201511/07Tulsa45UCF30Tulsa -11Tulsa61.5Over
201411/14UCF31Tulsa7UCF -18.5UCF0
201212/01Tulsa33UCF27
201211/17Tulsa23UCF21
201111/03UCF17Tulsa24
200810/26Tulsa49UCF19
200710/20UCF44Tulsa23
200712/01UCF44Tulsa25
200512/03UCF27Tulsa44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF311 Overs
Tulsa943 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams4 - 82 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#) TLSA at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #76
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #91 #69
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 12
UCF -1.5 (64.0)
Tulsa won at UCF this year (35-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD