Tulsa at Navy - 2016 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, November 12th 2016 (12:00 PM EST)
Navy -1 (71.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 42 - Tulsa: 40  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 30 (36 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ TLSA -0.5)
Projected Score: TLSA: 38 - NAVY: 36 (74)
NAVY Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TLSA Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 31 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Tulsa vs San José State-6.065.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Tulsa at Ohio State+28.572.0L 3 - 48UN
Sat 9/17 Tulsa vs North Carolina A&T-25.0
Sat 9/24 Tulsa at Fresno State-11.566.5W 48 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7 Tulsa vs SMU-11.068.0W 43 - 40ON
Sat 10/15 Tulsa at Houston+23.568.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 Tulsa vs Tulane-10.054.0W 50 - 27OY
Sat 10/29 Tulsa at Memphis+7.574.5W 59 - 30OY
Sat 11/5 Tulsa vs East Carolina-10.076.5W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/12 Tulsa at Navy+1.071.5L 40 - 42ON
Sat 11/19 Tulsa at UCF+1.564.0W 35 - 20UY
Fri 11/25 Tulsa vs Cincinnati-18.563.0W 40 - 37ON
Mon 12/19 Tulsa vs Central Michigan-11.068.0W 55 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Navy's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Navy vs Fordham-24.0
Sat 9/10 Navy vs UConn-7.543.5W 28 - 24ON
Sat 9/17 Navy at Tulane-10.542.0W 21 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Navy at Air Force+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 10/8 Navy vs Houston+17.052.0W 46 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Navy vs Memphis+2.057.0W 42 - 28OY
Fri 10/28 Navy at South Florida+9.066.0L 45 - 52OY
Sat 11/5 Navy vs Notre Dame-4.563.0W 28 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Navy vs Tulsa-1.071.5W 42 - 40OY
Sat 11/19 Navy at East Carolina-8.064.0W 66 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Navy at SMU-8.065.5W 75 - 31OY
Sat 12/3 Navy vs Temple-1.559.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 12/10 Navy vs Army-11.546.5L 17 - 21UN
Fri 12/23 Navy vs Louisiana Tech-1.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.2447%42.546%3.226247%2654.16.0937%29.837%35%3.1352.61.61.6
NAVY.3352%37.954%3.4631044%1284.57.2848%3145%49%4.0924.41.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1342.53647.2%4.161.6295262622655.156%42%46%47%13%.24
NAVY Defense143130.347.8%4.091.3 - - - - - 54%44%45%49%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1329.836.537.2%3.131.6 - - - - - 48%50%37%35%16%.09
NAVY Offense1437.936.752.1%4.571.1214383101285.978%21%54%44%11%.33

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1329:4128.746%60%652.61.61.66.22.4330
Navy1431:1121.154%61%2.824.41.11.34.11.4231.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1356%46%51.3262.35.133.193.279%7%1.01
NAVY Defense1454%45% - - - - .163.1879%8%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1348%37% - - - - .062.8470%10%1.05
NAVY Offense1478%54%53310.15.961.323.4682%9%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1342%47%20.534.5265.37.712.93312.331.630%38%.36%1.7
NAVY Defense1444%49% - - - - - - 7.461.730%41%.516%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1350%35% - - - - - - 10.141.736%29%.236%1.8
NAVY Offense1421%44%6.611.3128.111.419.397.41.924%38%.512%1.9

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2016 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #50
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #36
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    Navy: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: 7.4   Navy: 6.8




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2016 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #52
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #16
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 36
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Tulsa's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tulsa 38
Navy 36

Total Points: 74

Based on Last 4 Games
Tulsa 41
Navy 37

Total Points: 78

Based on Entire Season
Tulsa 35
Navy 35

Total Points: 70
Navy Scoring
Offense: 37.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Navy's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tulsa23Navy42Navy -14Navy52.5Over
202210/08Navy53Tulsa21Tulsa -4.5Navy45.5Over
202110/29Tulsa17Navy20Tulsa -11Navy46.0Under
202012/05Navy6Tulsa19Tulsa -12Tulsa46.0Under
201910/12Tulsa17Navy45Tulsa -1Navy52.0Over
201811/17Navy37Tulsa29Navy -5Navy50.5Over
201709/30Tulsa21Navy31Navy -7.5Navy70.5Under
201611/12Navy42Tulsa40Navy -1Navy71.5Over
201511/21Tulsa21Navy44Navy -9.5Navy64.5Over
200609/23Navy23Tulsa24
200409/18Tulsa0Navy29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy986 Overs
Tulsa213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 83 - 62 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 36 - 34 - 12 - 2

(#) TLSA at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSANAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #52
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #91 #117
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Navy -1.0 (71.5)
Navy won vs Tulsa this year (42-40)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Tulsa in 2022 (53-21)

  
TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD