Fresno State at UNLV - 2016 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo   Fresno State Bulldogs at UNLV Rebels  UNLV logo
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (10:30 PM EDT)
UNLV -11.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
UNLV 45 - Fresno State: 20  (Mountain West)

 
Bulldogs (1 - 11) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNLV 2nd straight Home Game
UNLV is playing their 5th straight game
FRES is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ UNLV -3)
Projected Score: FRES: 28 - UNLV: 29 (57)
UNLV Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
FRES Travel: 268 miles
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Fresno State at Nebraska+29.562.5L 10 - 43UN
Sat 9/10 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-15
Sat 9/17 Fresno State at Toledo+20.057.5L 17 - 52ON
Sat 9/24 Fresno State vs Tulsa+11.566.5L 41 - 48OY
Sat 10/1 Fresno State at UNLV+11.556.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Fresno State at Nevada+11.554.0L 22 - 27UY
Fri 10/14 Fresno State vs San Diego State+17.551.0L 3 - 17UY
Sat 10/22 Fresno State at Utah State+14.051.0L 20 - 38ON
Fri 10/28 Fresno State vs Air Force+13.551.0L 21 - 31OY
Sat 11/5 Fresno State at Colorado State+13.058.5L 0 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 Fresno State vs Hawai'i+2.554.5L 13 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 Fresno State vs San José State+4.051.5L 14 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
UNLV's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UNLV vs Jackson State-40.0
Sat 9/10 UNLV at UCLA+25.557.5L 21 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 UNLV at Central Michigan+14.055.0L 21 - 44ON
Sat 9/24 UNLV vs Idaho-13.061.5L 30 - 33ON
Sat 10/1 UNLV vs Fresno State-11.556.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/8 UNLV at San Diego State+17.553.5L 7 - 26UN
Sat 10/15 UNLV at Hawai'i+10.054.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 UNLV vs Colorado State-1.556.5L 23 - 42ON
Sat 10/29 UNLV at San José State-3.055.0L 24 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 UNLV vs Wyoming+9.061.0W 69 - 66OY
Fri 11/18 UNLV at Boise State+26.563.0L 25 - 42OY
Sat 11/26 UNLV vs Nevada-7.059.0L 10 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.0136%25.840%2.413731%1783.21.2647%18.848%43%3.7539.31.91.7
UNLV.1241%34.142%2.7419438%2113.43.2548%2852%43%4.0544.81.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1225.826.335.8%3.211.9173151371783.946%52%40%31%4%.01
UNLV Defense122829.747.9%4.051.8 - - - - - 50%49%52%43%2%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1218.824.846.6%3.751.7 - - - - - 59%40%48%43%2%.26
UNLV Offense1234.136.840.9%3.431.4214051942114.753%45%42%38%2%.12

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1227:1917.337%31%4.939.31.91.700131.1
UNLV1231:0521.236%26%4.844.81.41.800230.9
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1246%40%35.3136.83.914.072.463%0%1.13
UNLV Defense1250%52% - - - - .243.1969%0%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1259%48% - - - - .273.377%0%1.01
UNLV Offense1253%42%41.7193.74.720.062.7467%0%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1252%31%16.833.6178.35.310.62016-.041.538%30%.144%1.8
UNLV Defense1249%43% - - - - - - 13.281.530%34%.392%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1240%43% - - - - - - 9.261.629%40%.552%2
UNLV Offense1245%38%16.330.4211.4712.92113.21.834%34%.342%2

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.9  #121
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.4  #126
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State:    UNLV: -4.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -16.9   UNLV: -14.3




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -4.65 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2016 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #113
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #83
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.4  #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2016 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 29
Fresno State 28

Projected Total Points: 57
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28UNLV59Fresno State14UNLV -2.5UNLV51.0Over
202310/28Fresno State31UNLV24Fresno State -10.5UNLV56.0Under
202211/11UNLV30Fresno State37Fresno State -9UNLV61.5Over
202109/24Fresno State38UNLV30Fresno State -30UNLV59.0Over
202011/07UNLV27Fresno State40Fresno State -11Fresno State57.5Over
201910/18Fresno State56UNLV27Fresno State -14.5Fresno State52.0Over
201811/03UNLV3Fresno State48Fresno State -27Fresno State58.5Under
201710/28Fresno State16UNLV26Fresno State -21.5UNLV59.0Under
201610/01UNLV45Fresno State20UNLV -11.5UNLV56.5Over
201510/16Fresno State31UNLV28UNLV -5.5Fresno State49.0Over
201410/10UNLV30Fresno State27Fresno State -9UNLV0
201310/19Fresno State38UNLV14Fresno State -21Fresno State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV477 Overs
Fresno State853 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 47 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams4 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#) FRES at (#) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESUNLV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #113
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #93 #106
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCat
FRES OffUNLV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #126 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCatUNLV OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCatUNLV OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sam Boyd Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
UNLV -11.5 (56.5)
UNLV won vs Fresno State this year (45-20)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Fresno State in 2024 (59-14)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2023 (31-24)

  
FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNLV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD