Sacramento State at Fresno State - 2016 Matchup Preview
 
Hornets (0 - 1) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 20 (17 - 20 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6  (SP+ FRES -17)
Projected Score: SAC: 17 - FRES: 23 (40)
SAC Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
SAC Travel: 151 miles
Bulldogs (1 - 11) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Sacramento State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/10 Sacramento State at Fresno State-6

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sacramento State's Schedule
Fresno State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Fresno State at Nebraska+29.562.5L 10 - 43UN
Sat 9/10 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-15
Sat 9/17 Fresno State at Toledo+20.057.5L 17 - 52ON
Sat 9/24 Fresno State vs Tulsa+11.566.5L 41 - 48OY
Sat 10/1 Fresno State at UNLV+11.556.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Fresno State at Nevada+11.554.0L 22 - 27UY
Fri 10/14 Fresno State vs San Diego State+17.551.0L 3 - 17UY
Sat 10/22 Fresno State at Utah State+14.051.0L 20 - 38ON
Fri 10/28 Fresno State vs Air Force+13.551.0L 21 - 31OY
Sat 11/5 Fresno State at Colorado State+13.058.5L 0 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 Fresno State vs Hawai'i+2.554.5L 13 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 Fresno State vs San José State+4.051.5L 14 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%170%000%000%200%0%0000
FRES.0136%25.840%2.413731%1783.21.2647%18.848%43%3.7539.31.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Offense117170%00000000%0%0%0%0%
FRES Defense1218.815.346.6%3.751.7 - - - - - 59%40%48%43%2%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Defense120200%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
FRES Offense1225.826.535.8%3.211.9173151371783.946%52%40%31%4%.01

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sacramento State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Fresno State1227:1917.337%31%4.939.31.91.700131.1
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Offense10%0%000000%0%0
FRES Defense1259%48% - - - - .273.377%0%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
FRES Offense1246%40%35.3136.83.914.072.463%0%1.13

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
FRES Defense1240%43% - - - - - - 9.261.629%40%.552%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
FRES Offense1252%31%16.833.6178.35.310.62016-.041.538%30%.144%1.8

Sacramento State's Power Ratings
Sacramento State's Power Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #178
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Sacramento State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Sacramento State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    Fresno State: -5.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    Fresno State: -16.9




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -5.95 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.9  #121
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.4  #126
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Sacramento State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Sacramento State's 2016 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 23
Sacramento State 17


Projected Total Points: 40
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2016 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Fresno State46Sacramento State30Fresno State -18.5Sacramento State55.5Over
201909/21Fresno State34Sacramento State20Fresno State -24.5Sacramento State54.5Under
201609/10Fresno State31Sacramento State3
200709/01Fresno State24Sacramento State3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State401 Overs
Sacramento State021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) SAC at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSACFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #121
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #178 #93
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Sacramento State on Offense
CategoryCat
SAC OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Sacramento State Run Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Sacramento State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffSAC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #126NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffSAC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffSAC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SAC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
()
Fresno State won vs Sacramento State this year (31-3)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Sacramento State in 2024 (46-30)

  
SAC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SAC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD