East Carolina at Tulsa - 2016 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -10 (76.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tulsa 45 - East Carolina: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (18 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ TLSA -16)
Projected Score: ECU: 27 - TLSA: 40 (67)
TLSA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
ECU Travel: 1039 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 30 (47 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 East Carolina vs Western Carolina-17.0
Sat 9/10 East Carolina vs NC State+3.559.0W 33 - 30OY
Sat 9/17 East Carolina at South Carolina+6.051.5L 15 - 20UY
Sat 9/24 East Carolina at Virginia Tech+9.557.0L 17 - 54ON
Sat 10/1 East Carolina vs UCF-5.561.0L 29 - 47ON
Sat 10/8 East Carolina at South Florida+20.068.5L 22 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 East Carolina at Cincinnati+2.063.0L 19 - 31UN
Sat 10/29 East Carolina vs UConn-7.554.0W 41 - 3UY
Sat 11/5 East Carolina at Tulsa+10.076.5L 24 - 45UN
Sat 11/12 East Carolina vs SMU-5.063.0L 31 - 55ON
Sat 11/19 East Carolina vs Navy+8.064.0L 31 - 66ON
Sat 11/26 East Carolina at Temple+19.058.5L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Tulsa's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Tulsa vs San José State-6.065.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Tulsa at Ohio State+28.572.0L 3 - 48UN
Sat 9/17 Tulsa vs North Carolina A&T-25.0
Sat 9/24 Tulsa at Fresno State-11.566.5W 48 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7 Tulsa vs SMU-11.068.0W 43 - 40ON
Sat 10/15 Tulsa at Houston+23.568.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 Tulsa vs Tulane-10.054.0W 50 - 27OY
Sat 10/29 Tulsa at Memphis+7.574.5W 59 - 30OY
Sat 11/5 Tulsa vs East Carolina-10.076.5W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/12 Tulsa at Navy+1.071.5L 40 - 42ON
Sat 11/19 Tulsa at UCF+1.564.0W 35 - 20UY
Fri 11/25 Tulsa vs Cincinnati-18.563.0W 40 - 37ON
Mon 12/19 Tulsa vs Central Michigan-11.068.0W 55 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1643%2743%3.0613242%3353.27.2746%36.146%44%3.7743.420.7
TLSA.2447%42.546%3.226247%2654.16.0937%29.837%35%3.1352.61.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense122717.843.1%3.272244671323353.937%61%43%42%17%.16
TLSA Defense1329.826.537.2%3.131.6 - - - - - 48%50%37%35%16%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1236.137.546.3%3.770.7 - - - - - 57%41%46%44%12%.27
TLSA Offense1342.546.847.2%4.161.6295262622655.156%42%46%47%13%.24

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1230:0823.839%60%543.420.74.50.7026.7
Tulsa1329:4128.746%60%652.61.61.66.22.4330
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1237%43%33.7132.43.913.073.0676%12%0.79
TLSA Defense1348%37% - - - - .062.8470%10%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1257%46% - - - - .233.4274%7%1.08
TLSA Offense1356%46%51.3262.35.133.193.279%7%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1261%42%29.946.2334.77.311.22612.231.635%35%.326%1.8
TLSA Defense1350%35% - - - - - - 10.141.736%29%.236%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 5.351.729%34%.315%1.8
TLSA Offense1342%47%20.534.5265.37.712.93312.331.630%38%.36%1.7

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0  #99
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #100

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Tulsa: 6.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -9.0   Tulsa: 7.4




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 6.2 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2016 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #50
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #36
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 36.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

East Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Tulsa 40
East Carolina 27

Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
Tulsa 39
East Carolina 29

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Tulsa 41
East Carolina 25

Total Points: 66
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.8
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.5

Tulsa's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/16East Carolina41Tulsa27East Carolina -16.5Tulsa54.5Over
202411/14Tulsa31East Carolina38East Carolina -16Tulsa63.5Over
202311/25East Carolina27Tulsa29East Carolina -4.5Tulsa44.5Over
202010/30Tulsa34East Carolina30Tulsa -17East Carolina59.5Over
201911/30East Carolina24Tulsa49Tulsa -7Tulsa64.0Over
201611/05Tulsa45East Carolina24Tulsa -10Tulsa76.5Under
201510/17East Carolina30Tulsa17East Carolina -11East Carolina77.0Under
201411/28Tulsa32East Carolina49East Carolina -17.5Tulsa0
201311/09East Carolina58Tulsa24East Carolina -14East Carolina0
201009/05East Carolina51Tulsa49
200911/15Tulsa17East Carolina44
200812/06Tulsa24East Carolina27
200610/14East Carolina10Tulsa31
200511/12Tulsa45East Carolina13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa665 Overs
East Carolina832 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 75 - 43 - 32 - 1
Road Teams7 - 74 - 51 - 23 - 3

(#) ECU at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #50
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #82 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #100
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59°
Rematch from Week 10
Tulsa -10.0 (76.5)
Tulsa won vs East Carolina this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Tulsa last year (38-31)
Tulsa beat East Carolina in 2023 (29-27)

  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD