Utah State at Nevada - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 19th 2016 (4:00 PM EST)
Utah State -5 (56.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Nevada 38 - Utah State: 37 (Mountain West)

Aggies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 29 (19 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Storm Predicted
Wind: 27.7 MPH
NEV 2nd straight Home Game
USU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ USU -8.5)
Projected Score: USU: 29 - NEV: 32 (61)
USU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
USU Travel: 446 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wolf Pack (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 29 (31 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Utah State vs Weber State	-21.0
Sat 9/10	Utah State at USC	+14.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Fri 9/16	Utah State vs Arkansas State	-8.0	56.0	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Utah State vs Air Force	+3.0	53.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Utah State at Boise State	+19.5	60.5	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Utah State at Colorado State	-6.0	53.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Utah State vs Fresno State	-14.0	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Fri 10/28	Utah State vs San Diego State	+3.0	45.0	L 13 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Utah State at Wyoming	+4.0	55.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/12	Utah State vs New Mexico	-2.5	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Utah State at Nevada	-5.0	56.5	L 37 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Utah State at BYU	+17.0	51.5	L 10 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Nevada's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Nevada vs Cal Poly	-19.0
Sat 9/10	Nevada at Notre Dame	+26.0	62.0	L 10 - 39	U	N
Sat 9/17	Nevada vs Buffalo	-9.0	49.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Nevada at Purdue	+5.0	59.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/1	Nevada at Hawai'i	-3.5	55.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/8	Nevada vs Fresno State	-11.5	54.0	W 27 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/15	Nevada at San José State	+5.0	56.0	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Nevada vs Wyoming	+3.0	53.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Nevada at New Mexico	+11.0	58.5	L 26 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Nevada vs San Diego State	+20.5	50.5	L 16 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/19	Nevada vs Utah State	+5.0	56.5	W 38 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Nevada at UNLV	+7.0	59.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.15	40%	23.9	41%	2.88	171	37%	206	3.32	.16	44%	29.3	46%	37%	3.66	58	1.3	0.8
NEV	.18	44%	25.4	47%	3.18	174	39%	208	3.18	.24	48%	29	48%	46%	3.72	40.2	0.9	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3
NEV	#55 (.21)	45% (46)		47% (33)	3.06 (59)	164	42% (65)	213	3.88 (73)	#110 (.24)	46% (117)		49% (121)	43% (92)	4.33 (114)	73.1	1.2	1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	12	23.9	19.3	40.2%	3.32	1.3	19	377	171	206	5	49%	50%	41%	37%	21%	.15
NEV Defense	12	29	31.3	48.4%	3.72	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	67%	31%	48%	46%	13%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	12	29.3	35.8	43.6%	3.66	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	60%	38%	46%	37%	13%	.16
NEV Offense	12	25.4	30.5	44.3%	3.18	0.9	22	382	174	208	4.4	55%	44%	47%	39%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	12	26:44	18.9	39%	47%	7.1	58	1.3	0.8	5.6	1.8	1	28.4
Nevada	12	29:17	21.8	49%	62%	4.3	40.2	0.9	1.1	4.6	1.1	0	27.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	12	49%	41%	34.3	170.5	5	25	.16	2.88	75%	11%	1.24
NEV Defense	12	67%	48%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.19	68%	9%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	12	60%	46%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.98	75%	9%	0.87
NEV Offense	12	55%	47%	39.5	174	4.4	20	.14	3.18	82%	9%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	12	50%	37%	18.4	31.9	206.2	6.5	11.2	10	9	.15	1.6	37%	34%	.27	10%	1.8
NEV Defense	12	31%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.31	1.6	29%	43%	.39	4%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	12	38%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.26	1.7	32%	32%	.34	5%	1.8
NEV Offense	12	44%	39%	17.5	29.7	208.2	7	11.9	18	9	.27	1.6	30%	31%	.32	5%	1.8

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #86
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #96
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #59

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: Nevada: -4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -4.4 Nevada: -13.0

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -4 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2016 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #110
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.3
Defense: 29.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Utah State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Nevada 32
Utah State 29

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Nevada 33
Utah State 33

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Nevada 30
Utah State 26

Total Points: 56

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Nevada's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Utah State	51	Nevada	14	Utah State -10	Utah State	52.5	Over
2023	11/11	Utah State	41	Nevada	24	Utah State -14.5	Utah State	54.5	Over
2020	11/05	Nevada	34	Utah State	9	Nevada -17	Nevada	57.5	Under
2019	10/19	Utah State	36	Nevada	10	Utah State -21	Utah State	59.0	Under
2016	11/19	Nevada	38	Utah State	37	Utah State -5	Nevada	56.5	Over
2015	11/21	Utah State	31	Nevada	27	Utah State -14	Nevada	54.5	Over
2011	11/26	Utah State	21	Nevada	17
2010	10/30	Nevada	56	Utah State	42
2009	10/17	Utah State	32	Nevada	35
2008	10/18	Nevada	44	Utah State	17
2007	10/20	Utah State	28	Nevada	31
2006	11/11	Nevada	42	Utah State	0
2005	11/19	Utah State	24	Nevada	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	8	3	4 Overs
Utah State	5	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 3	5 - 1	4 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 10	1 - 5	0 - 1	1 - 4

(#) USU at (#) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#110
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#111	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions: Storm
Temp: 54° - Wind: 28 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Utah State 5.0 (56.5)
Nevada won vs Utah State this year (38-37)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Nevada in 2023 (41-24)

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD