Nevada at UNLV - 2016 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at UNLV Rebels  UNLV logo
Saturday, November 26th 2016 (4:00 PM EST)
UNLV -7 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Nevada 45 - UNLV: 10  (Mountain West)

 
Wolf Pack (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ NEV -1.5)
Projected Score: NEV: 23 - UNLV: 32 (55)
UNLV Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NEV Travel: 355 miles
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Nevada vs Cal Poly-19.0
Sat 9/10 Nevada at Notre Dame+26.062.0L 10 - 39UN
Sat 9/17 Nevada vs Buffalo-9.049.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/24 Nevada at Purdue+5.059.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Nevada at Hawai'i-3.555.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/8 Nevada vs Fresno State-11.554.0W 27 - 22UN
Sat 10/15 Nevada at San José State+5.056.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Nevada vs Wyoming+3.053.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Nevada at New Mexico+11.058.5L 26 - 35OY
Sat 11/12 Nevada vs San Diego State+20.550.5L 16 - 46ON
Sat 11/19 Nevada vs Utah State+5.056.5W 38 - 37OY
Sat 11/26 Nevada at UNLV+7.059.0W 45 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
UNLV's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UNLV vs Jackson State-40.0
Sat 9/10 UNLV at UCLA+25.557.5L 21 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 UNLV at Central Michigan+14.055.0L 21 - 44ON
Sat 9/24 UNLV vs Idaho-13.061.5L 30 - 33ON
Sat 10/1 UNLV vs Fresno State-11.556.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/8 UNLV at San Diego State+17.553.5L 7 - 26UN
Sat 10/15 UNLV at Hawai'i+10.054.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 UNLV vs Colorado State-1.556.5L 23 - 42ON
Sat 10/29 UNLV at San José State-3.055.0L 24 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 UNLV vs Wyoming+9.061.0W 69 - 66OY
Fri 11/18 UNLV at Boise State+26.563.0L 25 - 42OY
Sat 11/26 UNLV vs Nevada-7.059.0L 10 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1643%17.642%2.9621142%1653.18.1846%27.544%45%3.1346.80.91.6
UNLV.1241%34.142%2.7419438%2113.43.2548%2852%43%4.0544.81.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1317.615.543%3.180.9203752111654.959%39%42%42%1%.16
UNLV Defense122829.747.9%4.051.8 - - - - - 50%49%52%43%2%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1327.529.845.5%3.131.6 - - - - - 52%46%44%45%3%.18
UNLV Offense1234.136.840.9%3.431.4214051942114.753%45%42%38%2%.12

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1330:0019.739%45%5.246.80.91.600226.3
UNLV1231:0521.236%26%4.844.81.41.800230.9
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1359%42%42.8210.64.924.122.9666%0%1
UNLV Defense1250%52% - - - - .243.1969%0%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1352%44% - - - - .143.0973%0%1.01
UNLV Offense1253%42%41.7193.74.720.062.7467%0%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1339%42%14.325.5164.56.511.5157.241.532%37%.371%1.7
UNLV Defense1249%43% - - - - - - 13.281.530%34%.392%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1346%45% - - - - - - 13.231.331%35%.43%1.9
UNLV Offense1245%38%16.330.4211.4712.92113.21.834%34%.342%2

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2016 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0  #110
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    UNLV: -4.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -13.0   UNLV: -14.3




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -4.65 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2016 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #113
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #83
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.4  #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 32
Nevada 23

Projected Total Points: 55
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Nevada17UNLV42UNLV -7.5UNLV53.0Over
202411/30UNLV38Nevada14UNLV -17.5UNLV54.5Under
202310/14Nevada27UNLV45UNLV -7.5UNLV51.5Over
202211/26UNLV27Nevada22UNLV -12.5Nevada49.0Push
202110/29Nevada51UNLV20Nevada -19Nevada58.0Over
202010/31UNLV19Nevada37Nevada -10.5Nevada0
201911/30Nevada30UNLV33Nevada -6.5UNLV52.0Over
201811/24UNLV34Nevada29Nevada -14UNLV60.5Over
201711/25Nevada23UNLV16Nevada -3Nevada70.0Under
201611/26UNLV10Nevada45UNLV -7Nevada59.0Under
201510/03Nevada17UNLV23Nevada -11.5UNLV57.0Under
201411/29UNLV27Nevada49Nevada -10Nevada0
201310/26Nevada22UNLV27Nevada -3.5UNLV0
201210/13UNLV37Nevada42
201110/08Nevada37UNLV0
201010/02UNLV26Nevada44
200910/03Nevada63UNLV28
200809/27UNLV27Nevada49
200709/29Nevada27UNLV20
200609/30UNLV3Nevada31
200509/17Nevada22UNLV14
200410/02UNLV48Nevada13
200310/04Nevada12UNLV16
200210/05UNLV21Nevada17
200110/06Nevada12UNLV27
200010/06UNLV38Nevada7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV1375 Overs
Nevada1364 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 144 - 93 - 51 - 4
Road Teams14 - 129 - 44 - 15 - 3

(#) NEV at (#) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVUNLV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #113
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #101 #106
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNLV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCatUNLV OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCatUNLV OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sam Boyd Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
UNLV -7.0 (59.0)
Nevada won at UNLV this year (45-10)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Nevada last year (42-17)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2024 (38-14)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2023 (45-27)

  
NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNLV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNLV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD