Cal Poly at Nevada - 2016 Matchup Preview
Cal Poly logo   Cal Poly Mustangs at Nevada Wolf Pack  Nevada logo
Friday, September 2nd 2016 (9:30 PM EDT)
Nevada -19 (0)  Open: 0.0
Nevada 30 - Cal Poly: 27

 
Mustangs (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 63 (9 - 63 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -4  (SP+ NEV -13)
NEV Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
Wolf Pack (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cal Poly's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Cal Poly at Nevada+19.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule
Nevada's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Nevada vs Cal Poly-19.0
Sat 9/10 Nevada at Notre Dame+26.062.0L 10 - 39UN
Sat 9/17 Nevada vs Buffalo-9.049.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/24 Nevada at Purdue+5.059.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Nevada at Hawai'i-3.555.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/8 Nevada vs Fresno State-11.554.0W 27 - 22UN
Sat 10/15 Nevada at San José State+5.056.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Nevada vs Wyoming+3.053.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Nevada at New Mexico+11.058.5L 26 - 35OY
Sat 11/12 Nevada vs San Diego State+20.550.5L 16 - 46ON
Sat 11/19 Nevada vs Utah State+5.056.5W 38 - 37OY
Sat 11/26 Nevada at UNLV+7.059.0W 45 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%90%000%000%630%0%0000
NEV.1643%17.642%2.9621142%1653.18.1846%27.544%45%3.1346.80.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Offense1990%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NEV Defense1327.525.245.5%3.131.6 - - - - - 52%46%44%45%3%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Defense163630%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NEV Offense1317.619.743%3.180.9203752111654.959%39%42%42%1%.16

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cal Poly10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Nevada1330:0019.739%45%5.246.80.91.600226.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NEV Defense1352%44% - - - - .143.0973%0%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NEV Offense1359%42%42.8210.64.924.122.9666%0%1

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NEV Defense1346%45% - - - - - - 13.231.331%35%.43%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NEV Offense1339%42%14.325.5164.56.511.5157.241.532%37%.371%1.7

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #149
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cal Poly's 2016 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Nevada: -4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Nevada: -13.0




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -4 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2016 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0  #110
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 63 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Cal Poly's 2016 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Nevada 41
Cal Poly 18

Projected Total Points: 59
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/02Nevada30Cal Poly27Nevada -19Cal Poly0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada100 Overs
Cal Poly010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) CP at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCPNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #110
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #149 #101
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cal Poly on Offense
CategoryCat
CP OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cal Poly Run Game
CategoryCat
CP OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cal Poly Pass Game
CategoryCat
CP OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffCP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffCP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffCP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Nevada -19.0 (0)
Nevada won vs Cal Poly this year (30-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cal Poly's Full Roster

CP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD