Nevada at Hawai'i - 2016 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors  Hawai
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (11:59 PM EDT)
Nevada -3.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Hawai'i 38 - Nevada: 17  (Mountain West)

 
Wolf Pack (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV 2nd straight Road Game
HAW coming off BYE
NEV is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ HAW -3)
Projected Score: NEV: 19 - HAW: 29 (48)
NEV Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NEV Travel: 2567 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (7 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Nevada vs Cal Poly-19.0
Sat 9/10 Nevada at Notre Dame+26.062.0L 10 - 39UN
Sat 9/17 Nevada vs Buffalo-9.049.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/24 Nevada at Purdue+5.059.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Nevada at Hawai'i-3.555.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/8 Nevada vs Fresno State-11.554.0W 27 - 22UN
Sat 10/15 Nevada at San José State+5.056.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Nevada vs Wyoming+3.053.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Nevada at New Mexico+11.058.5L 26 - 35OY
Sat 11/12 Nevada vs San Diego State+20.550.5L 16 - 46ON
Sat 11/19 Nevada vs Utah State+5.056.5W 38 - 37OY
Sat 11/26 Nevada at UNLV+7.059.0W 45 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/26 Hawai'i vs California+23.066.0L 31 - 51OY
Sat 9/3 Hawai'i at Michigan+40.555.0L 3 - 63ON
Sat 9/10 Hawai'i vs UT Martin-18.5
Sat 9/17 Hawai'i at Arizona+23.063.0L 28 - 47OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Hawai'i vs Nevada+3.555.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Hawai'i at San José State+3.562.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 10/15 Hawai'i vs UNLV-10.054.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/22 Hawai'i at Air Force+17.558.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/29 Hawai'i vs New Mexico-3.065.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/5 Hawai'i at San Diego State+19.550.5L 0 - 55ON
Sat 11/12 Hawai'i vs Boise State+16.562.5L 16 - 52ON
Sat 11/19 Hawai'i at Fresno State-2.554.5W 14 - 13UN
Sat 11/26 Hawai'i vs Massachusetts-10.557.0W 46 - 40ON
Sat 12/24 Hawai'i vs Middle Tennessee+4.570.0W 52 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1643%17.642%2.9621142%1653.18.1846%27.544%45%3.1346.80.91.6
HAW.0737%2940%2.9412433%1923.25.2248%24.147%48%465.22.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1317.615.543%3.180.9203752111654.959%39%42%42%1%.16
HAW Defense1324.11747.6%40.8 - - - - - 61%37%47%48%1%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1327.529.845.5%3.131.6 - - - - - 52%46%44%45%3%.18
HAW Offense13293136.9%3.252.6163161241923.848%51%40%33%3%.07

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1330:0019.739%45%5.246.80.91.600226.3
Hawai'i1321:2615.630%33%7.565.22.60.800229.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1359%42%42.8210.64.924.122.9666%0%1
HAW Defense1361%47% - - - - .113.0368%0%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1352%44% - - - - .143.0973%0%1.01
HAW Offense1348%40%32.7123.93.815.082.9473%0%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1339%42%14.325.5164.56.511.5157.241.532%37%.371%1.7
HAW Defense1337%48% - - - - - - 3.431.727%39%.361%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1346%45% - - - - - - 13.231.331%35%.43%1.9
HAW Offense1351%33%15.532.5192.45.912.41221.041.635%26%.233%2.2

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2016 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0  #110
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Hawai'i: -2.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -13.0   Hawai'i: -10.1




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -2.55 NR
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: NR
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Hawai'i's 2016 Expected Record: -
Hawai'i's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1  #102
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #71
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8  #123

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 29
Nevada 19

Projected Total Points: 48
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Hawai'i34Nevada13Hawai'i -2.5Hawai'i42.0Over
202311/04Nevada14Hawai'i27Nevada -3.5Hawai'i50.5Under
202210/15Hawai'i31Nevada16Nevada -6.5Hawai'i51.5Under
202110/16Nevada34Hawai'i17Nevada -14Nevada61.5Under
202011/28Hawai'i24Nevada21Nevada -7Hawai'i61.5Under
201909/28Nevada3Hawai'i54Nevada -2Hawai'i64.0Under
201810/20Hawai'i22Nevada40Hawai'i -3Nevada67.0Under
201710/07Nevada35Hawai'i21Hawai'i -4.5Nevada62.5Under
201610/01Hawai'i38Nevada17Nevada -3.5Hawai'i55.5Under
201510/24Nevada30Hawai'i20Nevada -6.5Nevada54.0Under
201410/26Hawai'i18Nevada26Nevada -4Nevada0
201309/21Nevada31Hawai'i9Nevada -14Nevada0
201209/22Hawai'i24Nevada69
201111/12Nevada42Hawai'i28
201010/16Hawai'i27Nevada21
200910/31Nevada31Hawai'i21
200810/26Hawai'i38Nevada31
200711/16Nevada26Hawai'i28
200610/07Hawai'i41Nevada34
200511/05Nevada38Hawai'i28
200410/10Hawai'i48Nevada26
200311/15Nevada24Hawai'i14
200210/12Hawai'i59Nevada34
200109/22Nevada28Hawai'i20
200011/10Hawai'i37Nevada17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i1361 Overs
Nevada1269 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams19 - 68 - 44 - 34 - 1
Road Teams6 - 194 - 81 - 43 - 4

(#) NEV at (#) HAW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVHAW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #102
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #101 #105
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffHAW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #123
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffHAW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffHAW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Hawai'i on Offense
CategoryCatHAW OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Hawai'i Run Game
CategoryCat
HAW OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Hawai'i Pass Game
CategoryCatHAW OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aloha Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Nevada 3.5 (55.5)
Hawai'i won vs Nevada this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Nevada in 2024 (34-13)
Hawai'i beat Nevada in 2023 (27-14)

  
NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

HAW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD