San Diego State at Nevada - 2016 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at Nevada Wolf Pack

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (10:30 PM EST)
San Diego State -20.5 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
San Diego State 46 - Nevada: 16 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ SDSU -24.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 24 - NEV: 18 (42)
SDSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
SDSU Travel: 491 miles

Wolf Pack (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	San Diego State vs New Hampshire	-34.0
Sat 9/10	San Diego State vs California	-7.0	59.5	W 45 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/17	San Diego State at Northern Illinois	-8.0	48.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	San Diego State at South Alabama	-17.5	49.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	San Diego State vs UNLV	-17.5	53.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/14	San Diego State at Fresno State	-17.5	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Fri 10/21	San Diego State vs San José State	-22.5	48.0	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/28	San Diego State at Utah State	-3.0	45.0	W 40 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/5	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-19.5	50.5	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 11/12	San Diego State at Nevada	-20.5	50.5	W 46 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/19	San Diego State at Wyoming	-7.5	54.5	L 33 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/26	San Diego State vs Colorado State	-12.5	53.5	L 31 - 63	O	N
Sat 12/3	San Diego State at Wyoming	-7.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/17	San Diego State vs Houston	+3.0	51.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Nevada's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Nevada vs Cal Poly	-19.0
Sat 9/10	Nevada at Notre Dame	+26.0	62.0	L 10 - 39	U	N
Sat 9/17	Nevada vs Buffalo	-9.0	49.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Nevada at Purdue	+5.0	59.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/1	Nevada at Hawai'i	-3.5	55.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/8	Nevada vs Fresno State	-11.5	54.0	W 27 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/15	Nevada at San José State	+5.0	56.0	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Nevada vs Wyoming	+3.0	53.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Nevada at New Mexico	+11.0	58.5	L 26 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Nevada vs San Diego State	+20.5	50.5	L 16 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/19	Nevada vs Utah State	+5.0	56.5	W 38 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Nevada at UNLV	+7.0	59.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.2	44%	26.4	44%	3.01	233	40%	142	3.78	.04	37%	15.4	37%	36%	2.39	58.1	0.9	2.4
NEV	.16	43%	17.6	42%	2.96	211	42%	165	3.18	.18	46%	27.5	44%	45%	3.13	46.8	0.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	14	26.4	18.2	44.1%	3.78	0.9	19	375	233	142	4.8	69%	29%	44%	40%	3%	.2
NEV Defense	13	27.5	25.2	45.5%	3.13	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	45%	3%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	14	15.4	18.3	37.1%	2.39	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	37%	36%	5%	.04
NEV Offense	13	17.6	19.7	43%	3.18	0.9	20	375	211	165	4.9	59%	39%	42%	42%	1%	.16

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	14	32:41	18.6	42%	80%	6.4	58.1	0.9	2.4	0	0	8	32.9
Nevada	13	30:00	19.7	39%	45%	5.2	46.8	0.9	1.6	0	0	2	26.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	14	69%	44%	48.2	233.3	4.8	32	.15	3.01	72%	0%	0.98
NEV Defense	13	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.09	73%	0%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	57%	0%	0.88
NEV Offense	13	59%	42%	42.8	210.6	4.9	24	.12	2.96	66%	0%	1

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	14	29%	40%	10.1	18	142	7.9	14.1	17	3	.34	1.8	30%	34%	.4	3%	1.9
NEV Defense	13	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.3	31%	35%	.4	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	14	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	23	.12	1.7	34%	24%	.09	5%	1.9
NEV Offense	13	39%	42%	14.3	25.5	164.5	6.5	11.5	15	7	.24	1.5	32%	37%	.37	1%	1.7

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2016 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #50
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #29

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Nevada: -4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 11.4 Nevada: -13.0

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -4 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2016 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #110
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 24
Nevada 18

Projected Total Points: 42

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Nevada	10	San Diego State	44	San Diego State -6.5	San Diego State	42.5	Over
2023	10/21	San Diego State	0	Nevada	6	San Diego State -11	Nevada	48.5	Under
2022	10/22	Nevada	7	San Diego State	23	San Diego State -7.5	San Diego State	36.0	Under
2021	11/13	San Diego State	23	Nevada	21	San Diego State -2.5	Nevada	45.0	Under
2020	11/21	Nevada	26	San Diego State	21	San Diego State -1.5	Nevada	46.5	Over
2019	11/09	San Diego State	13	Nevada	17	San Diego State -17	Nevada	39.5	Under
2018	10/27	Nevada	28	San Diego State	24	Nevada -1	Nevada	45.5	Over
2017	11/18	San Diego State	42	Nevada	23	San Diego State -17.5	San Diego State	56.0	Over
2016	11/12	Nevada	16	San Diego State	46	San Diego State -20.5	San Diego State	50.5	Over
2015	11/28	San Diego State	31	Nevada	14	San Diego State -14	San Diego State	48.5	Under
2014	11/01	Nevada	30	San Diego State	14	Nevada -6	Nevada	0
2013	10/04	San Diego State	51	Nevada	44	San Diego State -5.5	San Diego State	0
2012	10/20	Nevada	38	San Diego State	39
2004	09/25	San Diego State	27	Nevada	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	5	6	5 Overs
San Diego State	9	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	6 - 6	5 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 8	6 - 6	3 - 1	3 - 5

(#) SDSU at (#) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#110
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#74	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
San Diego State 20.5 (50.5)
San Diego State won at Nevada this year (46-16)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Nevada last year (44-10)
Nevada beat San Diego State in 2023 (6-0)

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD