Nevada at San José State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Nevada Wolf Pack at San José State Spartans

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (10:30 PM EDT)
San José State -5 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
San José State 14 - Nevada: 10 (Mountain West)

Wolf Pack (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU 2nd straight Home Game
SJSU is playing their 7th straight game
NEV is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ NEV -0.5)
Projected Score: NEV: 24 - SJSU: 26 (50)
SJSU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
NEV Travel: 190 miles

Spartans (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEV Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Nevada vs Cal Poly	-19.0
Sat 9/10	Nevada at Notre Dame	+26.0	62.0	L 10 - 39	U	N
Sat 9/17	Nevada vs Buffalo	-9.0	49.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Nevada at Purdue	+5.0	59.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/1	Nevada at Hawai'i	-3.5	55.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/8	Nevada vs Fresno State	-11.5	54.0	W 27 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/15	Nevada at San José State	+5.0	56.0	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Nevada vs Wyoming	+3.0	53.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Nevada at New Mexico	+11.0	58.5	L 26 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Nevada vs San Diego State	+20.5	50.5	L 16 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/19	Nevada vs Utah State	+5.0	56.5	W 38 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Nevada at UNLV	+7.0	59.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

San José State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	San José State at Tulsa	+6.0	65.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/10	San José State vs Portland State	-16.5
Sat 9/17	San José State vs Utah	+13.0	46.0	L 17 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/24	San José State at Iowa State	+6.0	52.0	L 10 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/1	San José State at New Mexico	+4.5	51.5	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/8	San José State vs Hawai'i	-3.5	62.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/15	San José State vs Nevada	-5.0	56.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Fri 10/21	San José State at San Diego State	+22.5	48.0	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/29	San José State vs UNLV	+3.0	55.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Fri 11/4	San José State at Boise State	+26.5	58.5	L 31 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	San José State vs Air Force	+11.0	54.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/26	San José State at Fresno State	-4.0	51.5	W 16 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	.16	43%	17.6	42%	2.96	211	42%	165	3.18	.18	46%	27.5	44%	45%	3.13	46.8	0.9	1.6
SJSU	.22	46%	21.4	45%	2.91	183	45%	222	3.25	.15	43%	32.5	45%	37%	4.03	35.7	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	13	17.6	15.5	43%	3.18	0.9	20	375	211	165	4.9	59%	39%	42%	42%	1%	.16
SJSU Defense	13	32.5	29.5	43%	4.03	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	45%	37%	2%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	13	27.5	29.8	45.5%	3.13	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	45%	3%	.18
SJSU Offense	13	21.4	25.8	45.8%	3.25	1.3	22	405	183	222	4.5	53%	46%	45%	45%	2%	.22

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	13	30:00	19.7	39%	45%	5.2	46.8	0.9	1.6	0	0	2	26.3
San José State	13	33:06	21.7	48%	43%	4.4	35.7	1.3	0.9	0	0	3	27.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	13	59%	42%	42.8	210.6	4.9	24	.12	2.96	66%	0%	1
SJSU Defense	13	59%	45%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.99	82%	0%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	13	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.09	73%	0%	1.01
SJSU Offense	13	53%	45%	40.8	182.9	4.5	24	.15	2.91	72%	0%	1

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	13	39%	42%	14.3	25.5	164.5	6.5	11.5	15	7	.24	1.5	32%	37%	.37	1%	1.7
SJSU Defense	13	40%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.14	1.6	32%	32%	.25	2%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	13	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.3	31%	35%	.4	3%	1.9
SJSU Offense	13	46%	45%	20.3	30.1	221.7	7.4	10.9	21	12	.32	1.6	30%	39%	.54	2%	2

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2016 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #110
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: San José State: -4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -13.0 San José State: -13.6

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.3 NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San José State's 2016 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #111
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #107
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #108

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 26
Nevada 24

Projected Total Points: 50

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Nevada	55	San José State	10	San José State -10	Nevada	49.5	Over
2024	10/05	San José State	35	Nevada	31	San José State -7	Nevada	51.5	Over
2022	10/29	San José State	35	Nevada	28	San José State -24.5	Nevada	44.5	Over
2021	11/06	Nevada	27	San José State	24	Nevada -11.5	San José State	55.5	Under
2020	12/11	San José State	30	Nevada	20	Nevada -1.5	San José State	60.5	Under
2019	10/12	Nevada	41	San José State	38	Nevada -3	Push	60.5	Over
2018	11/17	San José State	12	Nevada	21	Nevada -14.5	San José State	59.5	Under
2017	11/11	Nevada	59	San José State	14	Nevada -17.5	Nevada	67.5	Over
2016	10/15	San José State	14	Nevada	10	San José State -5	Nevada	56.0	Under
2015	11/14	Nevada	37	San José State	34	Nevada -1	Nevada	52.5	Over
2014	09/27	San José State	10	Nevada	21	Nevada -3	Nevada	0
2013	11/16	Nevada	38	San José State	16	San José State -7	Nevada	0
2011	09/17	San José State	14	Nevada	17
2010	10/09	Nevada	35	San José State	13
2009	11/08	San José State	7	Nevada	62
2008	11/15	Nevada	41	San José State	17
2007	11/24	San José State	27	Nevada	24
2006	10/21	Nevada	23	San José State	7
2005	10/01	San José State	23	Nevada	30
2004	11/06	Nevada	42	San José State	24
2003	09/18	San José State	30	Nevada	42
2002	10/19	Nevada	52	San José State	24
2001	11/10	San José State	64	Nevada	45
2000	10/20	Nevada	30	San José State	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	7	3	6 Overs
Nevada	17	8	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 7	6 - 5	2 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 17	5 - 6	1 - 4	4 - 2

(#) NEV at (#) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEV	SJSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#111
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#101	#84
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Nevada Injury Report

San José State Injury Report

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SJSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#108
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NEV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
San José State -5.0 (56.0)
San José State won vs Nevada this year (14-10)

Previous Matchups
Nevada beat San José State last year (55-10)
San José State beat Nevada in 2024 (35-31)

NEV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SJSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD