Nevada at New Mexico - 2016 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo Nevada Wolf Pack at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (10:15 PM EDT)
New Mexico -11 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico 35 - Nevada: 26  (Mountain West)

 
Wolf Pack (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 29 (20 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 16.1 MPH
NEV coming off BYE
UNM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ UNM -8)
Projected Score: NEV: 26 - UNM: 34 (60)
UNM Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
NEV Travel: 787 miles, 1 hrs behind
Lobos (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (45 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Nevada vs Cal Poly-19.0
Sat 9/10 Nevada at Notre Dame+26.062.0L 10 - 39UN
Sat 9/17 Nevada vs Buffalo-9.049.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/24 Nevada at Purdue+5.059.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Nevada at Hawai'i-3.555.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/8 Nevada vs Fresno State-11.554.0W 27 - 22UN
Sat 10/15 Nevada at San José State+5.056.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Nevada vs Wyoming+3.053.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Nevada at New Mexico+11.058.5L 26 - 35OY
Sat 11/12 Nevada vs San Diego State+20.550.5L 16 - 46ON
Sat 11/19 Nevada vs Utah State+5.056.5W 38 - 37OY
Sat 11/26 Nevada at UNLV+7.059.0W 45 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
New Mexico's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 New Mexico vs South Dakota-11.0
Sat 9/10 New Mexico at New Mexico State-11.562.0L 31 - 32ON
Sat 9/17 New Mexico at Rutgers+3.556.0L 28 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 New Mexico vs San José State-4.551.5W 48 - 41OY
Fri 10/7 New Mexico vs Boise State+16.561.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 10/15 New Mexico vs Air Force+15.053.5W 45 - 40OY
Sat 10/22 New Mexico vs UL Monroe-14.559.0W 59 - 17OY
Sat 10/29 New Mexico at Hawai'i+3.065.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 New Mexico vs Nevada-11.058.5W 35 - 26ON
Sat 11/12 New Mexico at Utah State+2.557.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 11/19 New Mexico at Colorado State+5.061.5L 31 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 New Mexico vs Wyoming+2.065.0W 56 - 35OY
Sat 12/17 New Mexico vs UTSA-7.554.0W 23 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1844%25.447%3.1817439%2083.18.2448%2948%46%3.7240.20.91.1
UNM.3246%36.748%3.2335037%1074.26.2544%31.542%44%4.0756.71.10.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV#55 (.21)45% (46)47% (33)3.06 (59)16442% (65)2133.88 (73)#110 (.24)46% (117)49% (121)43% (92)4.33 (114)73.11.21
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1225.420.344.3%3.180.9223821742084.455%44%47%39%14%.18
UNM Defense1331.531.543.8%4.070.9 - - - - - 54%45%42%44%17%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense122926.748.4%3.721.1 - - - - - 67%31%48%46%13%.24
UNM Offense1336.744.546.2%4.261.1214573501076.676%23%48%37%13%.32

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1229:1721.849%62%4.340.20.91.14.61.1027.8
New Mexico1333:5420.846%73%6.356.71.10.95.62.1328.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1255%47%39.51744.420.143.1882%9%0.89
UNM Defense1354%42% - - - - .192.8872%10%1.2
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1267%48% - - - - .233.1968%9%1.08
UNM Offense1376%48%52.93506.648.323.2377%10%1.23

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1244%39%17.529.7208.2711.9189.271.630%31%.325%1.8
UNM Defense1345%44% - - - - - - 8.331.733%38%.486%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1231%46% - - - - - - 5.311.629%43%.394%1.7
UNM Offense1323%37%7.413.8106.87.814.5116.34230%35%.454%2

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2016 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0  #110
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    New Mexico: -0.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -13.0   New Mexico: -5.1




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -0.05 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2016 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #89
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #47
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6  #118

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.7

Nevada's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 34
Nevada 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico 33
Nevada 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico 34
Nevada 27

Total Points: 61
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.5
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.5

New Mexico's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18New Mexico24Nevada22New Mexico -14Nevada49.5Under
202310/28Nevada34New Mexico24New Mexico -1.0Nevada50.0Over
202011/14New Mexico20Nevada27Nevada -17.5New Mexico62.5Under
201911/02Nevada21New Mexico10Nevada -3.5Nevada58.0Under
201611/05New Mexico35Nevada26New Mexico -11Nevada58.5Over
201510/10Nevada35New Mexico17Nevada -6Nevada53.5Under
201211/17New Mexico24Nevada31
201110/15Nevada49New Mexico7
200712/22New Mexico23Nevada0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico312 Overs
Nevada654 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 24 - 22 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 72 - 40 - 22 - 2

(#) NEV at (#) UNM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVUNM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #89
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #101 #104
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCatUNM OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCatUNM OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 56° - Wind: 16 mph
Rematch from Week 10
New Mexico -11.0 (58.5)
New Mexico won vs Nevada this year (35-26)

Previous Matchups
Nevada beat New Mexico in 2023 (34-24)

  
NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD