Nevada at New Mexico - 2016 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at New Mexico Lobos  New Mexico logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (10:15 PM EDT)
New Mexico -11 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico 35 - Nevada: 26  (Mountain West)

 
Wolf Pack (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV coming off BYE
UNM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ UNM -8)
Projected Score: NEV: 19 - UNM: 28 (47)
UNM Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
NEV Travel: 787 miles, 1 hrs behind
Lobos (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Nevada vs Cal Poly-19.0
Sat 9/10 Nevada at Notre Dame+26.062.0L 10 - 39UN
Sat 9/17 Nevada vs Buffalo-9.049.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/24 Nevada at Purdue+5.059.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Nevada at Hawai'i-3.555.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/8 Nevada vs Fresno State-11.554.0W 27 - 22UN
Sat 10/15 Nevada at San José State+5.056.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Nevada vs Wyoming+3.053.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Nevada at New Mexico+11.058.5L 26 - 35OY
Sat 11/12 Nevada vs San Diego State+20.550.5L 16 - 46ON
Sat 11/19 Nevada vs Utah State+5.056.5W 38 - 37OY
Sat 11/26 Nevada at UNLV+7.059.0W 45 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
New Mexico's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 New Mexico vs South Dakota-11.0
Sat 9/10 New Mexico at New Mexico State-11.562.0L 31 - 32ON
Sat 9/17 New Mexico at Rutgers+3.556.0L 28 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 New Mexico vs San José State-4.551.5W 48 - 41OY
Fri 10/7 New Mexico vs Boise State+16.561.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 10/15 New Mexico vs Air Force+15.053.5W 45 - 40OY
Sat 10/22 New Mexico vs UL Monroe-14.559.0W 59 - 17OY
Sat 10/29 New Mexico at Hawai'i+3.065.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 New Mexico vs Nevada-11.058.5W 35 - 26ON
Sat 11/12 New Mexico at Utah State+2.557.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 11/19 New Mexico at Colorado State+5.061.5L 31 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 New Mexico vs Wyoming+2.065.0W 56 - 35OY
Sat 12/17 New Mexico vs UTSA-7.554.0W 23 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1643%17.642%2.9621142%1653.18.1846%27.544%45%3.1346.80.91.6
UNM.1639%27.140%2.5925233%1363.26.244%22.342%43%3.0964.61.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1317.615.543%3.180.9203752111654.959%39%42%42%1%.16
UNM Defense1322.318.743.7%3.091.9 - - - - - 55%43%42%43%3%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1327.529.845.5%3.131.6 - - - - - 52%46%44%45%3%.18
UNM Offense1327.128.338.9%3.261.6183882521365.172%27%40%33%2%.16

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1330:0019.739%45%5.246.80.91.600226.3
New Mexico1331:0818.138%73%6.864.61.61.900230.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1359%42%42.8210.64.924.122.9666%0%1
UNM Defense1355%42% - - - - .082.9364%0%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1352%44% - - - - .143.0973%0%1.01
UNM Offense1372%40%49.1252.25.142.162.5974%0%1.18

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1339%42%14.325.5164.56.511.5157.241.532%37%.371%1.7
UNM Defense1343%43% - - - - - - 14.381.831%34%.43%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1346%45% - - - - - - 13.231.331%35%.43%1.9
UNM Offense1327%33%9.117.71367.715614.191.934%25%.232%2

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2016 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0  #110
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    New Mexico: -0.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -13.0   New Mexico: -5.1




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -0.05 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2016 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #89
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #47
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6  #118

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 28
Nevada 19

Projected Total Points: 47
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18New Mexico24Nevada22New Mexico -14Nevada49.5Under
202310/28Nevada34New Mexico24New Mexico -1.0Nevada50.0Over
202011/14New Mexico20Nevada27Nevada -17.5New Mexico62.5Under
201911/02Nevada21New Mexico10Nevada -3.5Nevada58.0Under
201611/05New Mexico35Nevada26New Mexico -11Nevada58.5Over
201510/10Nevada35New Mexico17Nevada -6Nevada53.5Under
201211/17New Mexico24Nevada31
201110/15Nevada49New Mexico7
200712/22New Mexico23Nevada0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico312 Overs
Nevada654 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 24 - 22 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 72 - 40 - 22 - 2

(#) NEV at (#) UNM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVUNM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #89
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #101 #104
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCatUNM OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCatUNM OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
New Mexico -11.0 (58.5)
New Mexico won vs Nevada this year (35-26)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Nevada last year (24-22)
Nevada beat New Mexico in 2023 (34-24)

  
NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD