Arkansas at Missouri - 2016 Matchup Preview

Arkansas Razorbacks at Missouri Tigers(#22)

Friday, November 25th 2016 (2:30 PM EST)
Arkansas -7.5 (72.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Missouri 28 - Arkansas: 24 (SEC)

Razorbacks (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (32 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ is playing their 7th straight game
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ ARK -9)
Projected Score: ARK: 30 - MIZ: 35 (65)
ARK Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 222 miles

Tigers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (41 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARK Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	52.5	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	Arkansas at TCU	+6.0	57.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Arkansas vs Texas State	-32.5	59.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+3.0	52.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/1	Arkansas vs Alcorn State	-53.0
Sat 10/8	Arkansas vs Alabama	+13.0	48.5	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/15	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+6.5	65.0	W 34 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Arkansas at Auburn	+17.0	53.0	L 3 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Arkansas vs Florida	+3.5	44.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Arkansas vs LSU	+7.0	46.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/19	Arkansas at Mississippi State	+1.0	57.5	W 58 - 42	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Arkansas at Missouri	-7.5	72.0	L 24 - 28	U	N
Thu 12/29	Arkansas vs Virginia Tech	+6.0	61.0	L 24 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Missouri's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Missouri at West Virginia	+11.5	51.5	L 11 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/10	Missouri vs Eastern Michigan	-24.5	58.5	W 61 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Missouri vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Missouri vs Delaware State	-50.5
Sat 10/1	Missouri at LSU	+14.0	51.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Missouri at Florida	+13.0	51.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/22	Missouri vs Middle Tennessee	-4.0	72.0	L 45 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/29	Missouri vs Kentucky	-4.5	69.0	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/5	Missouri at South Carolina	+5.0	56.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-1.0	53.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Missouri at Tennessee	+14.5	69.5	L 37 - 63	O	N
Fri 11/25	Missouri vs Arkansas	+7.5	72.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	.19	44%	30.3	42%	2.59	164	45%	264	3.59	.21	45%	31.1	46%	44%	3.58	52.3	1.9	1.6
MIZ	.18	44%	31.4	47%	2.97	205	41%	295	3.43	.2	45%	31.5	48%	41%	3.35	54.8	1.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Offense	13	30.3	31.5	43.9%	3.59	1.9	22	428	164	264	4.1	51%	47%	42%	45%	18%	.19
MIZ Defense	12	31.5	25.1	45.3%	3.35	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	48%	41%	15%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Defense	13	31.1	41	45.4%	3.58	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	46%	44%	17%	.21
MIZ Offense	12	31.4	41	44.4%	3.43	1.9	24	501	205	295	4.9	51%	49%	47%	41%	12%	.18

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas	13	34:43	22.2	40%	56%	6.2	52.3	1.9	1.6	4.6	2	4	28.5
Missouri	12	23:27	24.3	43%	54%	6.7	54.8	1.9	1.7	6	2.3	3	26.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Offense	13	51%	42%	39.8	164.2	4.1	21	.03	2.59	56%	11%	0.89
MIZ Defense	12	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.21	71%	8%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Defense	13	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.02	73%	10%	1.28
MIZ Offense	12	51%	47%	41.7	205.1	4.9	24	.13	2.97	76%	7%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Offense	13	47%	45%	19	31.2	264.2	8.5	13.9	26	15	.38	1.8	32%	41%	.41	7%	1.8
MIZ Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.22	1.6	30%	36%	.37	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.16	1.4	31%	33%	.32	7%	2.1
MIZ Offense	12	49%	41%	20.8	37.3	295.4	7.9	14.2	25	10	.23	1.7	32%	30%	.17	6%	1.8

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #47
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #29
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #70

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: Missouri: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 7.9 Missouri: -1.0

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 2 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2016 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #70
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #53
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.5
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Arkansas's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 35
Arkansas 30

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 34
Arkansas 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 36
Arkansas 30

Total Points: 66

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Missouri's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Arkansas	17	Missouri	31	Missouri -4.5	Missouri	54.5	Under
2024	11/30	Missouri	28	Arkansas	21	Missouri -3.5	Missouri	51.5	Under
2023	11/24	Arkansas	14	Missouri	48	Missouri -9.5	Missouri	53.5	Over
2022	11/25	Missouri	29	Arkansas	27	Arkansas -3.0	Missouri	55.5	Over
2021	11/26	Arkansas	34	Missouri	17	Arkansas -14.5	Arkansas	63.0	Under
2020	12/05	Missouri	50	Arkansas	48	Missouri -2	Push	55.5	Over
2019	11/29	Arkansas	14	Missouri	24	Missouri -15	Arkansas	53.0	Under
2018	11/23	Missouri	38	Arkansas	0	Missouri -24	Missouri	59.0	Under
2017	11/24	Arkansas	45	Missouri	48	Missouri -9.5	Arkansas	68.5	Over
2016	11/25	Missouri	28	Arkansas	24	Arkansas -7.5	Missouri	72.0	Under
2015	11/27	Arkansas	28	Missouri	3	Arkansas -14	Arkansas	44.0	Under
2014	11/28	Missouri	21	Arkansas	14	Arkansas -1.5	Missouri	0
2007	01/01	Arkansas	7	Missouri	38
2003	12/31	Arkansas	27	Missouri	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	11	7	4 Overs
Arkansas	3	4	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	9 - 2	4 - 0	5 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	2 - 9	2 - 5	0 - 4

(#) ARK at (#) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARK	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#70
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#27	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#70
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 42° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Arkansas 7.5 (72.0)
Missouri won vs Arkansas this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Arkansas last year (28-21)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-14)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2022 (29-27)

ARK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIZ's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD