Vanderbilt at Missouri - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#16)Vanderbilt Commodores at Missouri Tigers(#22)

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Missouri -1 (53.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Missouri 26 - Vanderbilt: 17 (SEC)

Commodores (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (17 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ MIZ -0)
Projected Score: VAN: 27 - MIZ: 28 (55)
MIZ Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
VAN Travel: 359 miles

Tigers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (41 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+4.0	40.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Vanderbilt vs Middle Tennessee	-5.0	51.0	W 47 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Vanderbilt at Georgia Tech	+7.5	45.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/24	Vanderbilt at Western Kentucky	+7.5	49.0	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Vanderbilt vs Florida	+8.5	40.5	L 6 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/15	Vanderbilt at Georgia	+14.5	42.5	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee State	-27.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+26.0	47.0	L 16 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+1.0	53.0	L 17 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/19	Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss	+9.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+10.0	50.0	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Mon 12/26	Vanderbilt vs NC State	+4.0	47.0	L 17 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Missouri's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Missouri at West Virginia	+11.5	51.5	L 11 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/10	Missouri vs Eastern Michigan	-24.5	58.5	W 61 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Missouri vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Missouri vs Delaware State	-50.5
Sat 10/1	Missouri at LSU	+14.0	51.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Missouri at Florida	+13.0	51.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/22	Missouri vs Middle Tennessee	-4.0	72.0	L 45 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/29	Missouri vs Kentucky	-4.5	69.0	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/5	Missouri at South Carolina	+5.0	56.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-1.0	53.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Missouri at Tennessee	+14.5	69.5	L 37 - 63	O	N
Fri 11/25	Missouri vs Arkansas	+7.5	72.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	.11	42%	23	44%	3.03	164	37%	191	3.59	.13	44%	24	43%	42%	2.59	44.2	1.2	1.5
MIZ	.18	44%	31.4	47%	2.97	205	41%	295	3.43	.2	45%	31.5	48%	41%	3.35	54.8	1.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)		42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)		46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	13	23	16.8	41.6%	3.59	1.2	19	356	164	191	4.3	52%	46%	44%	37%	18%	.11
MIZ Defense	12	31.5	25.1	45.3%	3.35	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	48%	41%	15%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	13	24	25.5	43.5%	2.59	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	43%	42%	17%	.13
MIZ Offense	12	31.4	41	44.4%	3.43	1.9	24	501	205	295	4.9	51%	49%	47%	41%	12%	.18

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	13	31:48	19.5	36%	33%	5.2	44.2	1.2	1.5	5.3	1.2	0	28.8
Missouri	12	23:27	24.3	43%	54%	6.7	54.8	1.9	1.7	6	2.3	3	26.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	13	52%	44%	38.2	164.5	4.3	26	.13	3.03	65%	10%	0.95
MIZ Defense	12	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.21	71%	8%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	13	48%	43%	-	-	-	-		2.99	63%	10%	0.87
MIZ Offense	12	51%	47%	41.7	205.1	4.9	24	.13	2.97	76%	7%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	13	46%	37%	16.2	30.3	191.2	6.3	11.8	9	11	.12	1.5	34%	30%	.16	7%	1.7
MIZ Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.22	1.6	30%	36%	.37	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	13	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.26	1.5	33%	34%	.35	7%	1.8
MIZ Offense	12	49%	41%	20.8	37.3	295.4	7.9	14.2	25	10	.23	1.7	32%	30%	.17	6%	1.8

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2016 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #71
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #89
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Missouri: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -1.2 Missouri: -1.0

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 2 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2016 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #70
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #53
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Vanderbilt's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 28
Vanderbilt 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Vanderbilt 29
Missouri 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 31
Vanderbilt 24

Total Points: 55

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Missouri's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	10	Vanderbilt -3	Vanderbilt	52.5	Under
2024	09/21	Missouri	30	Vanderbilt	27	Missouri -17.5	Vanderbilt	52.0	Over
2023	09/30	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	38	Missouri -14	Missouri	53.5	Over
2022	10/22	Missouri	17	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri -14	Vanderbilt	49.0	Under
2021	10/30	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	37	Missouri -16	Vanderbilt	62.5	Over
2020	11/28	Missouri	41	Vanderbilt	0	Vanderbilt -2	Missouri	52.5	Under
2019	10/19	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	14	Missouri -21	Vanderbilt	56.5	Under
2018	11/10	Missouri	33	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri -13.5	Vanderbilt	65.0	Under
2017	11/18	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	45	Missouri -8.5	Missouri	65.0	Under
2016	11/12	Missouri	26	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri -1	Missouri	53.0	Under
2015	10/24	Vanderbilt	10	Missouri	3	Missouri -2	Vanderbilt	34.0	Under
2014	10/25	Missouri	24	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri -24	Vanderbilt	0
2013	10/05	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	51	Vanderbilt -2.5	Missouri	0
2012	10/06	Missouri	15	Vanderbilt	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	10	5	3 Overs
Vanderbilt	4	8	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	6 - 7	2 - 5	4 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	7 - 6	2 - 4	5 - 2

(#) VAN at (#) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#70
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#41	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 54°

Rematch from Week 11
Missouri -1.0 (53.0)
Missouri won vs Vanderbilt this year (26-17)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Vanderbilt last year (30-27)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-21)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (17-14)

VAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIZ's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD