Kentucky at Missouri - 2016 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at Missouri Tigers(#15)

Saturday, October 29th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -4.5 (69.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Kentucky 35 - Missouri: 21 (SEC)

Wildcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (25 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
MIZ 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ MIZ -2)
Projected Score: UK: 25 - MIZ: 37 (62)
MIZ Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 428 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (41 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Southern Miss	-7.5	62.0	L 35 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+16.5	48.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-21.5	65.5	W 62 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-1.5	57.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Alabama	+32.5	54.5	L 6 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+1.5	54.5	W 40 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Missouri	+4.5	69.0	W 35 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Kentucky vs Georgia	+2.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	58.0	L 36 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Austin Peay	-43.0
Sat 11/26	Kentucky at Louisville	+26.0	70.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Georgia Tech	+5.0	61.0	L 18 - 33	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Missouri's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Missouri at West Virginia	+11.5	51.5	L 11 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/10	Missouri vs Eastern Michigan	-24.5	58.5	W 61 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Missouri vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Missouri vs Delaware State	-50.5
Sat 10/1	Missouri at LSU	+14.0	51.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Missouri at Florida	+13.0	51.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/22	Missouri vs Middle Tennessee	-4.0	72.0	L 45 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/29	Missouri vs Kentucky	-4.5	69.0	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/5	Missouri at South Carolina	+5.0	56.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-1.0	53.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Missouri at Tennessee	+14.5	69.5	L 37 - 63	O	N
Fri 11/25	Missouri vs Arkansas	+7.5	72.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.19	43%	30	46%	3.08	234	36%	186	3.68	.23	49%	31.3	53%	42%	3.52	45.8	2.2	1.6
MIZ	.18	44%	31.4	47%	2.97	205	41%	295	3.43	.2	45%	31.5	48%	41%	3.35	54.8	1.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	30	25	42.9%	3.68	2.2	20	420	234	186	5.4	59%	39%	46%	36%	16%	.19
MIZ Defense	12	31.5	25.1	45.3%	3.35	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	48%	41%	15%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	31.3	37.4	49.3%	3.52	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	53%	42%	14%	.23
MIZ Offense	12	31.4	41	44.4%	3.43	1.9	24	501	205	295	4.9	51%	49%	47%	41%	12%	.18

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	29:51	20	39%	75%	5	45.8	2.2	1.6	5.3	1.6	2	29.5
Missouri	12	23:27	24.3	43%	54%	6.7	54.8	1.9	1.7	6	2.3	3	26.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	59%	46%	43.1	234.2	5.4	31	.2	3.08	74%	11%	1.06
MIZ Defense	12	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.21	71%	8%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	59%	53%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.53	81%	9%	0.86
MIZ Offense	12	51%	47%	41.7	205.1	4.9	24	.13	2.97	76%	7%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	39%	36%	13.1	24	186.1	7.8	14.2	17	12	.19	1.9	33%	30%	.19	5%	1.8
MIZ Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.22	1.6	30%	36%	.37	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	39%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.7	30%	40%	.4	5%	1.7
MIZ Offense	12	49%	41%	20.8	37.3	295.4	7.9	14.2	25	10	.23	1.7	32%	30%	.17	6%	1.8

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #78
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #56
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #93

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Missouri: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: -2.6 Missouri: -1.0

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 2 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2016 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #70
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #53
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 37
Kentucky 25

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 39
Kentucky 21

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 35
Kentucky 28

Total Points: 63

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Missouri's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Kentucky	21	Missouri	38	Kentucky -1.5	Missouri	50.5	Over
2022	11/05	Missouri	17	Kentucky	21	Missouri -1	Kentucky	40.0	Under
2021	09/11	Kentucky	35	Missouri	28	Kentucky -5.5	Kentucky	56.5	Over
2020	10/24	Missouri	20	Kentucky	10	Kentucky -3.5	Missouri	47.0	Under
2019	10/26	Kentucky	29	Missouri	7	Missouri -10	Kentucky	43.5	Under
2018	10/27	Missouri	14	Kentucky	16	Missouri -7.5	Kentucky	54.5	Under
2017	10/07	Kentucky	40	Missouri	34	Kentucky -8.5	Missouri	59.5	Over
2016	10/29	Missouri	21	Kentucky	35	Missouri -4.5	Kentucky	69.0	Under
2015	09/26	Kentucky	21	Missouri	13	Kentucky -2.5	Kentucky	44.0	Under
2014	11/01	Missouri	20	Kentucky	10	Missouri -7	Missouri	0
2013	11/09	Kentucky	17	Missouri	48	Missouri -14	Missouri	0
2012	10/27	Missouri	33	Kentucky	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	5	5	3 Overs
Kentucky	7	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	5 - 6	3 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 7	6 - 5	1 - 2	5 - 3

(#) UK at (#) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#70
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#33	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 75° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Missouri -4.5 (69.0)
Kentucky won at Missouri this year (35-21)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Kentucky in 2023 (38-21)
Kentucky beat Missouri in 2022 (21-17)

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIZ's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD