Charlotte at North Texas - 2026 Matchup Preview
Charlotte logo   Charlotte 49ers at North Texas Mean Green  North Texas logo
Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Apogee Stadium - Denton, TX  (American Athletic)

 
49ers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1.8 - 10.2 (#90)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
UNT is playing their 6th straight game
CHAR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -27.5  (SP+ UNT -41)
Projected Score: CHAR: 16 - UNT: 43 (59)
UNT Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CHAR Travel: 948 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Charlotte's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Charlotte vs The Citadel-3
Sat 9/12 Charlotte at Ole Miss+45.5
Sat 9/19 Charlotte at App State+12.5
Sat 9/26 Charlotte vs Louisiana+11.5
Sat 10/3 Charlotte vs Memphis+24
Sat 10/10 Charlotte at North Texas+27.5
Sat 10/17 Charlotte at Temple+18.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 Charlotte vs Tulane+20
Sat 11/7 Charlotte at UAB+7.5
Sat 11/14 Charlotte vs East Carolina+21
Sat 11/21 Charlotte at Tulsa+17
Sat 11/28 Charlotte vs Navy+18.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
North Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Texas at Indiana+28.5
Sat 9/12 North Texas vs UNLV-5
Sat 9/19 North Texas at Texas State-0.5
Sat 9/26 North Texas vs Houston Christian-27.5
Thu 10/1 North Texas at Tulsa-8
Sat 10/10 North Texas vs Charlotte-27.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 North Texas at Navy-1.5
Thu 10/29 North Texas vs Florida Atlantic-15
Sat 11/7 North Texas vs Rice-20.5
Sat 11/14 North Texas at UTSA-1.5
Sat 11/21 North Texas at Tulane-0
Sat 11/28 North Texas vs UAB-22

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#136 (-.01)34% (133)14.334% (134)2.13 (135)8235% (123)2042.73 (131)#124 (.26)54% (136)36.355% (136)53% (135)4.16 (114)50.81.91.3
UNT#2 (.36)51% (3)45.153% (2)3.58 (1)19451% (8)3174.98 (4)#80 (.18)44% (94)26.548% (125)37% (26)4.03 (104)45.51.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense1214.311.634.2%2.731.916286822042.744%54%34%35%19%-.01
UNT Defense1426.52243.5%4.032 - - - - - 60%38%48%37%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense1236.337.653.9%4.161.3 - - - - - 51%47%55%53%11%.26
UNT Offense1445.145.751.5%4.981.4265111943175.348%51%53%51%12%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte1228:0615.635%46%6.150.81.91.341.2127.6
North Texas1428:2225.546%69%5.645.51.425.31.7033.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense1244% (114)34% (134)30.381.82.75 (122)-.15 (136)2.13 (135)61% (125)12% (121)0.66 (136)
UNT Defense1460% (134)48% (125) - - - - .18 (111)3.19 (118)77% (111)9% (80)1.01 (92)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense1251% (88)55% (136) - - - - .22 (129)3.33 (130)81% (124)7% (129)0.86 (20)
UNT Offense1448% (84)53% (2)36.6194.15.349 (1).33 (3)3.58 (1)73% (58)7% (8)1.1 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense1254% (24)35% (123)18.831.62046.510.914 (86)13 (108).13 (118)1.8 (10)35% (125)25% (122).12 (129)7% (99)1.9 (110)
UNT Defense1438% (2)37% (26) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (55)1.7 (113)29% (116)28% (58).27 (62)4% (126)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense1247% (59)53% (135) - - - - - - 7 (123).34 (112)1.3 (4)24% (136)35% (127).42 (119)4% (135)2 (74)
UNT Offense1451% (50)51% (8)23.234.1317.39.313.735 (8)9 (20).43 (12)1.6 (63)26% (9)39% (6).44 (22)5% (25)2 (68)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -14.80  #123
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.59  #103
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 26.39  #133
2026 Talent Rating: 574.00  #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Charlotte's 2026 Expected Record: 1.8 - 10.2
Charlotte's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.7  #134
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.5  #132
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -14.80   North Texas: 6.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -26.7   North Texas: 13.8




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 6.635  #89
North Texas's Offense Rating: 10.67  #85
North Texas's Defense Rating: 21.20  #107
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
North Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
North Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #1
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.6

Charlotte's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 43
Charlotte 16

Projected Total Points: 59
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/24Charlotte20North Texas54North Texas -25.5North Texas60.5Over
202010/10North Texas21Charlotte49Charlotte -3Charlotte66.0Over
201910/26Charlotte39North Texas38North Texas -4Charlotte64.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas113 Overs
Charlotte220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 01 - 2
Road Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0

(#123) CHAR at (#89) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCHARUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #123 #89
SP+SP+ #134 #22
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #98 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #87
Charlotte Notes
(2/26) Vibes: Albin good HC, but Def will be awful again
(2/26) QB Loftis/Harrell were meh. Gonzales was FCS hit
(2/26) RBs 3 portal adds should boost bad unit LY
(2/26) WR 4 portals, 3 very prod Barnes/Pedro/Collick
(2/26) OL 2 back, 4 portal adds. Bot 5 rush off LY
(2/26) Def did not add enough, was near worst in CFB
(2/26) Better learn how to score, bc Def will be toast
Charlotte Injury Report
North Texas Notes
(2/23) Vibes: Uneasy, lost HC & portals to Ok St
(2/23) New era under Brown, DC Powledge not great
(2/23) QB T Jackson (UCF) is interesting, depth is ?
(2/23) RB J White (WVU) over 1.7K but coming off inj
(2/23) WR a patchwork of portals, most exp'd from FCS
(2/23) OL looks rough, only 1 exp'd starter, many ?
(2/23) DL/LB could be OK, some good exp, mixed prod
(2/23) DBs huge ?, very little exp outside 1 FCS CB
North Texas Injury Report
Charlotte on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CHAR OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #133 #94
ExplosiveExp #49 #52
PPAPPA #136 #80
PowerPwr #103 #107
SP+SP+ #132 #78
Pts POPPO #131 #104
HavocHav #121 #108
Charlotte Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CHAR OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #134 #125
Run ExplRExp #136 #92
PPAExp #136 #111
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #135 #118
Stuff RateStuff #127 #125
TackleTak - NR
Charlotte Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CHAR OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #123 #26
Pass ExplPExl #10 #113
PPAExp #118 #55
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #121 #80
DB HavocDB #99 #126
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffCHAR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #3 #136
ExplosiveExp #32 #3
PPAPPA #2 #124
PowerPwr #85 #133
SP+SP+ #1 #132
Pts POPPO #4 #114
HavocHav #9 #134
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffCHAR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #136
Run ExplRExp #17 #20
PPAExp #3 #129
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #1 #130
Stuff RateStuff #7 #132
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #135
Pass ExplPExl #63 #4
PPAExp #12 #112
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #8 #129
DB HavocDB #25 #135
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Charlotte last year (54-20)

  
CHAR's OC Todd Fitch (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson Loftis12823255%1415886.1
Conner Harrell649667%737427.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameren Smith6222003.513
Jariel Cobb5119003.721
Conner Harrell286722.419
Khamani Alexander (Tr)125004.27
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Pedro (Tr)65814412.559
Zyheem Collick (Tr)35670419.172
Jaden Barnes (Tr)55608711.159
Sean Brown36508114.146

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Nate Faanes (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadin Schmitz651032
Gavin Willis554012
CJ Clinkscales490000
Collin Gill351011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Macyo Williams41100
Jaylon Johnson202130
Braden Mullen193121
Kadin Schmitz651032
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadin Schmitz651032
Gavin Willis554012
Collin Gill351011

UNT's OC Neal Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tayven Jackson (Tr)20031564%21511086.8
Chaston Ditta (Tr)122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Osho (Tr)11968685.879
Jahiem White (Tr)2413335.532
Jayden Becks218724.116
Tayven Jackson (Tr)548531.625
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
James Tyre (Tr)688321112.242
Grayson O'Bara (Tr)44590213.471
Corri Milliner (Tr)24341314.249
Dalton Carnes780011.421

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Powledge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Alexander (Tr)923100
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Davion Rhodes (Tr)346011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Brayden Knox192100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Caden Jenkins (Tr)101003
Keshawn Davila (Tr)20002