Florida Atlantic at North Texas - 2026 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo   Florida Atlantic Owls at North Texas Mean Green  North Texas logo
Thursday, October 29th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Apogee Stadium - Denton, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#73)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
Our Line: North Texas -15  (SP+ UNT -23)
Projected Score: FAU: 26 - UNT: 41 (66)
UNT Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
FAU Travel: 1124 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Florida Atlantic at Florida+20.5
Sat 9/12 Florida Atlantic vs Navy+6
Sat 9/19 Florida Atlantic vs Florida International-3
Sat 9/26 Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe-7.5
Sat 10/3 Florida Atlantic vs Texas Southern-15.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Florida Atlantic at Army+8.5
Sat 10/24 Florida Atlantic vs Rice-8
Thu 10/29 Florida Atlantic at North Texas+15
Thu 11/5 Florida Atlantic vs UTSA+6
Sat 11/14 Florida Atlantic at Tulsa+4.5
Sat 11/21 Florida Atlantic vs South Florida+13.5
Fri 11/27 Florida Atlantic at East Carolina+13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
North Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Texas at Indiana+28.5
Sat 9/12 North Texas vs UNLV-5
Sat 9/19 North Texas at Texas State-0.5
Sat 9/26 North Texas vs Houston Christian-27.5
Thu 10/1 North Texas at Tulsa-8
Sat 10/10 North Texas vs Charlotte-27.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 North Texas at Navy-1.5
Thu 10/29 North Texas vs Florida Atlantic-15
Sat 11/7 North Texas vs Rice-20.5
Sat 11/14 North Texas at UTSA-1.5
Sat 11/21 North Texas at Tulane-0
Sat 11/28 North Texas vs UAB-22

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#43 (.21)42% (80)29.540% (97)2.76 (104)10543% (55)3413.49 (93)#123 (.26)45% (121)36.349% (127)42% (76)4.58 (132)562.40.7
UNT#2 (.36)51% (3)45.153% (2)3.58 (1)19451% (8)3174.98 (4)#80 (.18)44% (94)26.548% (125)37% (26)4.03 (104)45.51.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense1229.521.841.7%3.492.4254461053413.636%62%40%43%18%.21
UNT Defense1426.52243.5%4.032 - - - - - 60%38%48%37%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense1236.337.245.5%4.580.7 - - - - - 54%45%49%42%14%.26
UNT Offense1445.145.751.5%4.981.4265111943175.348%51%53%51%12%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic1228:3224.837%66%6.6562.40.75.41.8230.5
North Texas1428:2225.546%69%5.645.51.425.31.7033.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense1236% (135)40% (97)29.5105.23.613 (99).04 (108)2.76 (104)77% (30)10% (91)1.04 (40)
UNT Defense1460% (134)48% (125) - - - - .18 (111)3.19 (118)77% (111)9% (80)1.01 (92)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense1254% (111)49% (127) - - - - .25 (133)3.07 (103)86% (133)9% (89)1.09 (122)
UNT Offense1448% (84)53% (2)36.6194.15.349 (1).33 (3)3.58 (1)73% (58)7% (8)1.1 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense1262% (4)43% (55)3248.4340.5710.628 (22)20 (134).33 (42)1.6 (49)34% (111)31% (64).39 (33)8% (125)2.1 (25)
UNT Defense1438% (2)37% (26) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (55)1.7 (113)29% (116)28% (58).27 (62)4% (126)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense1245% (26)42% (76) - - - - - - 3.31 (96)1.6 (80)29% (114)29% (59).38 (108)5% (110)2.2 (117)
UNT Offense1451% (50)51% (8)23.234.1317.39.313.735 (8)9 (20).43 (12)1.6 (63)26% (9)39% (6).44 (22)5% (25)2 (68)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -7.60  #100
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 8.81  #92
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 21.41  #110
2026 Talent Rating: 606.00  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #87
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #98
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #64
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -7.60   North Texas: 6.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -8.7   North Texas: 13.8




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 6.635  #89
North Texas's Offense Rating: 10.67  #85
North Texas's Defense Rating: 21.20  #107
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
North Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
North Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #1
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 41
Florida Atlantic 26

Projected Total Points: 66
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Florida Atlantic37North Texas41North Texas -5.5Florida Atlantic58.5Over
202210/01North Texas45Florida Atlantic28Florida Atlantic -3North Texas67.5Over
201811/15North Texas41Florida Atlantic38North Texas -4.5Florida Atlantic63.5Over
201712/02Florida Atlantic41North Texas17Florida Atlantic -12Florida Atlantic71.5Under
201710/21Florida Atlantic69North Texas31Florida Atlantic -3.5Florida Atlantic66.5Over
201411/08North Texas31Florida Atlantic10Florida Atlantic -3.5North Texas0
201209/29Florida Atlantic14North Texas20
201110/08North Texas31Florida Atlantic17
201009/25Florida Atlantic17North Texas21
200910/17North Texas40Florida Atlantic44
200811/08Florida Atlantic46North Texas13
200709/22North Texas20Florida Atlantic30
200611/18North Texas16Florida Atlantic17
200511/12Florida Atlantic26North Texas23
200409/11North Texas13Florida Atlantic20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas724 Overs
Florida Atlantic841 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 75 - 12 - 13 - 0
Road Teams7 - 81 - 50 - 31 - 2

(#100) FAU at (#89) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFAUUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #100 #89
SP+SP+ #98 #22
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #93 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #87 #87
North Texas Notes
(2/23) Vibes: Uneasy, lost HC & portals to Ok St
(2/23) New era under Brown, DC Powledge not great
(2/23) QB T Jackson (UCF) is interesting, depth is ?
(2/23) RB J White (WVU) over 1.7K but coming off inj
(2/23) WR a patchwork of portals, most exp'd from FCS
(2/23) OL looks rough, only 1 exp'd starter, many ?
(2/23) DL/LB could be OK, some good exp, mixed prod
(2/23) DBs huge ?, very little exp outside 1 FCS CB
North Texas Injury Report
Florida Atlantic on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #80 #94
ExplosiveExp #7 #52
PPAPPA #43 #80
PowerPwr #92 #107
SP+SP+ #64 #78
Pts POPPO #93 #104
HavocHav #111 #108
Florida Atlantic Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #97 #125
Run ExplRExp #40 #92
PPAExp #108 #111
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #104 #118
Stuff RateStuff #52 #125
TackleTak - NR
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #55 #26
Pass ExplPExl #49 #113
PPAExp #42 #55
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #91 #80
DB HavocDB #125 #126
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffFAU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #3 #121
ExplosiveExp #32 #100
PPAPPA #2 #123
PowerPwr #85 #110
SP+SP+ #1 #131
Pts POPPO #4 #132
HavocHav #9 #106
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffFAU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #127
Run ExplRExp #17 #122
PPAExp #3 #133
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #1 #103
Stuff RateStuff #7 #122
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffFAU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #76
Pass ExplPExl #63 #80
PPAExp #12 #96
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #8 #89
DB HavocDB #25 #110
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Florida Atlantic in 2024 (41-37)

  
FAU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp34551467%365224177.1
Drew Devillier (Tr)102148%123105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaden Shields-Dutton8346065.550
RJ Garcia II (Tr)261030.538
Easton Messer351117.039
Caden Veltkamp814540.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer1001029610.355
Dom Henry40575414.490
RJ Garcia II (Tr)27283010.528
Antonio Johnson (Tr)20231511.630

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leon Hart Jr.835201
Khmari Johnson413020
Jayden Sweeney412034
Gavench Marcelin321111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable (Tr)288644
Deshaun Batiste234430
Josh Roberts225320
Wilky Denaud295300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Sweeney412034
Damarius McGhee300004
Jay Crable (Tr)288644

UNT's OC Neal Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tayven Jackson (Tr)20031564%21511086.8
Chaston Ditta (Tr)122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Osho (Tr)11968685.879
Jahiem White (Tr)2413335.532
Jayden Becks218724.116
Tayven Jackson (Tr)548531.625
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
James Tyre (Tr)688321112.242
Grayson O'Bara (Tr)44590213.471
Corri Milliner (Tr)24341314.249
Dalton Carnes780011.421

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Powledge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Alexander (Tr)923100
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Davion Rhodes (Tr)346011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Brayden Knox192100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Caden Jenkins (Tr)101003
Keshawn Davila (Tr)20002