UAB at North Texas - 2026 Matchup Preview
UAB logo   UAB Blazers at North Texas Mean Green  North Texas logo
Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Apogee Stadium - Denton, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Blazers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Mortensen (2 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#86)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
UNT is playing their 6th straight game
UAB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -22  (SP+ UNT -30)
Projected Score: UAB: 23 - UNT: 45 (67)
UNT Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
UAB Travel: 598 miles
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
UAB's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UAB at Illinois+31
Sat 9/12 UAB vs UL Monroe-5
Sat 9/19 UAB at Louisiana+11.5
Fri 9/25 UAB vs Navy+13.5
Sat 10/3 UAB vs Samford-8
Sat 10/10 UAB at Memphis+24
Thu 10/15 UAB vs East Carolina+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 UAB at South Florida+25.5
Sat 11/7 UAB vs Charlotte-7.5
Sat 11/14 UAB at Temple+13
Sat 11/21 UAB vs UTSA+13.5
Sat 11/28 UAB at North Texas+22

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
North Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Texas at Indiana+28.5
Sat 9/12 North Texas vs UNLV-5
Sat 9/19 North Texas at Texas State-0.5
Sat 9/26 North Texas vs Houston Christian-27.5
Thu 10/1 North Texas at Tulsa-8
Sat 10/10 North Texas vs Charlotte-27.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 North Texas at Navy-1.5
Thu 10/29 North Texas vs Florida Atlantic-15
Sat 11/7 North Texas vs Rice-20.5
Sat 11/14 North Texas at UTSA-1.5
Sat 11/21 North Texas at Tulane-0
Sat 11/28 North Texas vs UAB-22

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#52 (.19)42% (65)26.444% (61)3.12 (36)13942% (61)2663.63 (76)#135 (.34)49% (132)38.350% (131)48% (125)4.71 (135)61.21.80.8
UNT#2 (.36)51% (3)45.153% (2)3.58 (1)19451% (8)3174.98 (4)#80 (.18)44% (94)26.548% (125)37% (26)4.03 (104)45.51.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense1226.424.742.4%3.631.8224041392664.245%53%44%42%15%.19
UNT Defense1426.52243.5%4.032 - - - - - 60%38%48%37%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense1238.338.848.9%4.710.8 - - - - - 61%38%50%48%12%.34
UNT Offense1445.145.751.5%4.981.4265111943175.348%51%53%51%12%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB1231:182246%47%7.461.21.80.84.11.4128.9
North Texas1428:2225.546%69%5.645.51.425.31.7033.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense1245% (109)44% (61)32.9138.84.220 (49).17 (42)3.12 (36)71% (79)9% (67)1.09 (24)
UNT Defense1460% (134)48% (125) - - - - .18 (111)3.19 (118)77% (111)9% (80)1.01 (92)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense1261% (136)50% (131) - - - - .22 (127)3.35 (131)83% (129)8% (115)0.91 (42)
UNT Offense1448% (84)53% (2)36.6194.15.349 (1).33 (3)3.58 (1)73% (58)7% (8)1.1 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense1253% (32)42% (61)23.936.5265.67.311.120 (42)16 (88).27 (59)1.5 (72)31% (66)33% (30).36 (48)6% (65)2.1 (39)
UNT Defense1438% (2)37% (26) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (55)1.7 (113)29% (116)28% (58).27 (62)4% (126)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense1238% (1)48% (125) - - - - - - 4 (100).52 (136)1.9 (135)27% (131)32% (93).41 (115)4% (130)2.1 (106)
UNT Offense1451% (50)51% (8)23.234.1317.39.313.735 (8)9 (20).43 (12)1.6 (63)26% (9)39% (6).44 (22)5% (25)2 (68)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -15.40  #126
UAB's Offense Rating: 6.71  #102
UAB's Defense Rating: 27.11  #135
2026 Talent Rating: 530.00  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #64
UAB's 2026 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
UAB's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8  #125
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.40   North Texas: 6.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.8   North Texas: 13.8




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 6.635  #89
North Texas's Offense Rating: 10.67  #85
North Texas's Defense Rating: 21.20  #107
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
North Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
North Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #1
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 45
UAB 23

Projected Total Points: 67
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15UAB24North Texas53North Texas -17.5North Texas69.5Over
202311/25North Texas45UAB42North Texas -3Push72.5Over
202211/12UAB41North Texas21UAB -6.5UAB58.0Over
202109/18North Texas6UAB40UAB -12.5UAB58.5Under
201911/30North Texas21UAB26UAB -3.5UAB50.0Under
201810/20UAB29North Texas21UAB -1.5UAB53.0Under
201709/23North Texas46UAB43North Texas -10UAB60.5Over
201410/11UAB56North Texas21UAB -3UAB0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas314 Overs
UAB563 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 43 - 10 - 3
Road Teams3 - 54 - 33 - 01 - 3

(#126) UAB at (#89) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUABUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #126 #89
SP+SP+ #125 #22
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #113 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #64 #87
UAB Notes
(2/24) New HC Mortensen a bad hire from LY bad staff
UAB Injury Report
North Texas Notes
(2/23) Vibes: Uneasy, lost HC & portals to Ok St
(2/23) New era under Brown, DC Powledge not great
(2/23) QB T Jackson (UCF) is interesting, depth is ?
(2/23) RB J White (WVU) over 1.7K but coming off inj
(2/23) WR a patchwork of portals, most exp'd from FCS
(2/23) OL looks rough, only 1 exp'd starter, many ?
(2/23) DL/LB could be OK, some good exp, mixed prod
(2/23) DBs huge ?, very little exp outside 1 FCS CB
North Texas Injury Report
UAB on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #65 #94
ExplosiveExp #29 #52
PPAPPA #52 #80
PowerPwr #102 #107
SP+SP+ #80 #78
Pts POPPO #76 #104
HavocHav #64 #108
UAB Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #61 #125
Run ExplRExp #24 #92
PPAExp #42 #111
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #36 #118
Stuff RateStuff #54 #125
TackleTak - NR
UAB Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #61 #26
Pass ExplPExl #72 #113
PPAExp #59 #55
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #67 #80
DB HavocDB #65 #126
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffUAB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #3 #132
ExplosiveExp #32 #91
PPAPPA #2 #135
PowerPwr #85 #135
SP+SP+ #1 #132
Pts POPPO #4 #135
HavocHav #9 #130
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffUAB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #131
Run ExplRExp #17 #42
PPAExp #3 #127
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #1 #131
Stuff RateStuff #7 #130
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffUAB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #125
Pass ExplPExl #63 #135
PPAExp #12 #136
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #8 #115
DB HavocDB #25 #130
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UAB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
North Texas beat UAB last year (53-24)
North Texas beat UAB in 2023 (45-42)

  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryder Burton629863%708757.2
Nate Rogers1250%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)12461435.074
Ja'Vin Simpkins (Tr)12559024.746
Nate Rogers138426.515
Roderick Robinson II (Tr)62203.710
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaleb Brown17255215.061
Antonio Ferguson10115011.521
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)158015.314
Ja'Vin Simpkins (Tr)177404.421

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Todd Grantham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Muaaz Byard (Tr)374112
Shaun Myers (Tr)375101
Darrell Sweeting (Tr)371100
Chris Burge325470
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Hall (Tr)115413
Chris Burge325470
J'Quan Mason91100
Kyle Mosley101110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Jordan (Tr)192106
Delvon Gulley191013
Eli Hall (Tr)115413

UNT's OC Neal Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tayven Jackson (Tr)20031564%21511086.8
Chaston Ditta (Tr)122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Osho (Tr)11968685.879
Jahiem White (Tr)2413335.532
Jayden Becks218724.116
Tayven Jackson (Tr)548531.625
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
James Tyre (Tr)688321112.242
Grayson O'Bara (Tr)44590213.471
Corri Milliner (Tr)24341314.249
Dalton Carnes780011.421

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Powledge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Alexander (Tr)923100
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Davion Rhodes (Tr)346011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Brayden Knox192100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Caden Jenkins (Tr)101003
Keshawn Davila (Tr)20002