Rice at North Texas - 2026 Matchup Preview
Rice logo   Rice Owls at North Texas Mean Green  North Texas logo
Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Apogee Stadium - Denton, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (5 - 8)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (14 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#88)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
UNT 2nd straight Home Game
RICE coming off BYE
Our Line: North Texas -20.5  (SP+ UNT -29)
Projected Score: RICE: 20 - UNT: 40 (60)
UNT Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
RICE Travel: 262 miles
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Rice's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Rice vs Houston Christian-9.5
Sat 9/12 Rice at Notre Dame+43
Sat 9/19 Rice vs Western Michigan+6
Sat 9/26 Rice at Fresno State+13.5
Sat 10/3 Rice vs UTSA+11.5
Sat 10/10 Rice at East Carolina+19.5
Sat 10/17 Rice vs Tulsa+5
Sat 10/24 Rice at Florida Atlantic+8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Rice at North Texas+20.5
Sat 11/14 Rice vs Tulane+13
Thu 11/19 Rice at Temple+11.5
Sat 11/28 Rice vs Army+9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
North Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Texas at Indiana+28.5
Sat 9/12 North Texas vs UNLV-5
Sat 9/19 North Texas at Texas State-0.5
Sat 9/26 North Texas vs Houston Christian-27.5
Thu 10/1 North Texas at Tulsa-8
Sat 10/10 North Texas vs Charlotte-27.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 North Texas at Navy-1.5
Thu 10/29 North Texas vs Florida Atlantic-15
Sat 11/7 North Texas vs Rice-20.5
Sat 11/14 North Texas at UTSA-1.5
Sat 11/21 North Texas at Tulane-0
Sat 11/28 North Texas vs UAB-22

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#122 (.06)37% (122)19.138% (114)2.69 (114)20533% (132)983.21 (114)#120 (.25)40% (49)32.941% (55)39% (46)3.71 (73)49.50.80.5
UNT#2 (.36)51% (3)45.153% (2)3.58 (1)19451% (8)3174.98 (4)#80 (.18)44% (94)26.548% (125)37% (26)4.03 (104)45.51.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense1319.114.236.8%3.210.817302205984.170%28%38%33%18%.06
UNT Defense1426.52243.5%4.032 - - - - - 60%38%48%37%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense1332.932.640%3.710.5 - - - - - 49%50%41%39%14%.25
UNT Offense1445.145.751.5%4.981.4265111943175.348%51%53%51%12%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice1332:4317.134%55%4.849.50.80.551.9027
North Texas1428:2225.546%69%5.645.51.425.31.7033.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense1370% (4)38% (114)49.8204.84.120 (60).05 (102)2.69 (114)73% (61)14% (134)1 (53)
UNT Defense1460% (134)48% (125) - - - - .18 (111)3.19 (118)77% (111)9% (80)1.01 (92)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense1349% (52)41% (55) - - - - .16 (103)3.02 (98)64% (23)9% (106)1.17 (132)
UNT Offense1448% (84)53% (2)36.6194.15.349 (1).33 (3)3.58 (1)73% (58)7% (8)1.1 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense1328% (133)33% (132)11.417.297.65.78.611 (121)4 (7).12 (122)1.7 (28)32% (81)20% (135).02 (133)3% (7)2.1 (41)
UNT Defense1438% (2)37% (26) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (55)1.7 (113)29% (116)28% (58).27 (62)4% (126)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense1350% (88)39% (46) - - - - - - 3 (100).36 (117)1.9 (134)32% (55)31% (84).43 (123)5% (102)2.5 (135)
UNT Offense1451% (50)51% (8)23.234.1317.39.313.735 (8)9 (20).43 (12)1.6 (63)26% (9)39% (6).44 (22)5% (25)2 (68)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -12.86  #117
Rice's Offense Rating: 3.46  #120
Rice's Defense Rating: 21.32  #109
2026 Talent Rating: 570.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #87
Rice's 2026 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Rice's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8  #120
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #119
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -12.86   North Texas: 6.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -14.8   North Texas: 13.8




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 6.635  #89
North Texas's Offense Rating: 10.67  #85
North Texas's Defense Rating: 21.20  #107
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
North Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
North Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #1
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.6

Rice's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 40
Rice 20

Projected Total Points: 60
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Rice24North Texas56North Texas -18.5North Texas57.0Over
202211/26North Texas21Rice17North Texas -14.5Rice57.0Under
202110/30Rice24North Texas30Rice -1.5North Texas55.0Under
202011/21North Texas27Rice17North Texas -2.5North Texas65.5Under
201911/23Rice20North Texas14North Texas -6.5Rice55.0Under
201810/27North Texas41Rice17North Texas -30Rice58.0Push
201711/25Rice14North Texas30North Texas -12.5North Texas62.5Under
201609/24Rice35North Texas42Rice -7.5North Texas55.0Over
201509/19North Texas24Rice38Rice -6Rice54.0Over
201410/25Rice41North Texas21Rice -13Rice0
201310/31North Texas28Rice16North Texas -2.5North Texas0
201009/11North Texas31Rice32
200809/27Rice77North Texas20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas863 Overs
Rice555 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 64 - 73 - 41 - 3
Road Teams6 - 77 - 43 - 14 - 3

(#117) RICE at (#89) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatRICEUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #117 #89
SP+SP+ #120 #22
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #102 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #87 #87
Rice Notes
(1/29) Staff year 2, unique Gun Option offense
(1/29) QB Brown (UCF) better runner than pass, good fit
(1/29) RB Jackson good LY, 3 RB needed, some depth
(1/29) WR rebuild, Mosey (HC) good add. Must block/run
(1/29) OL 2 FT starters, 2 PT. Has pieces if depth can fill
(1/29) DL lost best DE/DT. Some exp to build on
(1/29) LBs are the size of DBs. Huge ? that lacks answers
(1/29) DBs went heavy in portal, some decent options
(1/29) Def Succ #s LY misleading, torched by big plays
Rice Injury Report
North Texas Notes
(2/23) Vibes: Uneasy, lost HC & portals to Ok St
(2/23) New era under Brown, DC Powledge not great
(2/23) QB T Jackson (UCF) is interesting, depth is ?
(2/23) RB J White (WVU) over 1.7K but coming off inj
(2/23) WR a patchwork of portals, most exp'd from FCS
(2/23) OL looks rough, only 1 exp'd starter, many ?
(2/23) DL/LB could be OK, some good exp, mixed prod
(2/23) DBs huge ?, very little exp outside 1 FCS CB
North Texas Injury Report
Rice on Offense
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #122 #94
ExplosiveExp #115 #52
PPAPPA #122 #80
PowerPwr #120 #107
SP+SP+ #119 #78
Pts POPPO #114 #104
HavocHav #109 #108
Rice Run Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #125
Run ExplRExp #53 #92
PPAExp #102 #111
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #114 #118
Stuff RateStuff #102 #125
TackleTak - NR
Rice Pass Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #132 #26
Pass ExplPExl #28 #113
PPAExp #122 #55
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #134 #80
DB HavocDB #7 #126
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffRICE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #3 #49
ExplosiveExp #32 #136
PPAPPA #2 #120
PowerPwr #85 #109
SP+SP+ #1 #112
Pts POPPO #4 #73
HavocHav #9 #110
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffRICE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #55
Run ExplRExp #17 #132
PPAExp #3 #103
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #1 #98
Stuff RateStuff #7 #93
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUNT OffRICE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #46
Pass ExplPExl #63 #134
PPAExp #12 #117
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #8 #106
DB HavocDB #25 #102
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Rice last year (56-24)

  
RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Patrick Crayton Jr.71547%73124.9
Lucas Scheerhorn91369%40003.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson18088964.973
DAndre Hardeman Jr.7630224.036
Tyvonn Byars3419315.732
Jacurri Brown (Tr)1614228.960
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Max Mosey (Tr)5049009.846
Payton Matthews493023.354
Quinton Jackson474118.575
Tyvonn Byars253026.543

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
AJ Brown (Tr)530000
Jo Chavez402011
Austin Harnetiaux (Tr)372002
Chibby Nwajuaku253220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chibby Nwajuaku253220
Joseph Mutombo122211
Cooper King82100
Daveon Hook163100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tariq Watson120012
Austin Harnetiaux (Tr)372002
Jerrick Harper231002

UNT's OC Neal Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tayven Jackson (Tr)20031564%21511086.8
Chaston Ditta (Tr)122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Osho (Tr)11968685.879
Jahiem White (Tr)2413335.532
Jayden Becks218724.116
Tayven Jackson (Tr)548531.625
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
James Tyre (Tr)688321112.242
Grayson O'Bara (Tr)44590213.471
Corri Milliner (Tr)24341314.249
Dalton Carnes780011.421

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Powledge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Alexander (Tr)923100
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Davion Rhodes (Tr)346011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Brayden Knox192100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Caden Jenkins (Tr)101003
Keshawn Davila (Tr)20002