North Texas at Indiana - 2026 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo

North Texas Mean Green at Indiana Hoosiers

Indiana logo
Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 AM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Bloomington, IN

 
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#32)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Indiana -27.5  (SP+ IND -19)
Projected Score: UNT: 18 - IND: 45 (63)
IND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
UNT Travel: 722 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hoosiers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (27 - 2)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 1.1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
North Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5North Texas at Indiana+27.5
Sat 9/12North Texas vs UNLV-5
Sat 9/19North Texas at Texas State-0
Sat 9/26North Texas vs Houston Christian-28
Thu 10/1North Texas at Tulsa-6
Sat 10/10North Texas vs Charlotte-27.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/24North Texas at Navy-2
Thu 10/29North Texas vs Florida Atlantic-15.5
Sat 11/7North Texas vs Rice-21
Sat 11/14North Texas at UTSA-2
Sat 11/21North Texas at Tulane-0.5
Sat 11/28North Texas vs UAB-19.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Indiana's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Indiana vs North Texas-27.5
Sat 9/12Indiana vs Howard-53.5
Sat 9/19Indiana vs Western Kentucky-33.5
Sat 9/26Indiana vs Northwestern-29
Sat 10/3Indiana at Rutgers-25.5
Sat 10/10Indiana at Nebraska-21
Sat 10/17Indiana vs Ohio State-2.5
Sat 10/24Indiana at Michigan-8
Sat 10/31Indiana vs Minnesota-26
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/14Indiana vs USC-12
Sat 11/21Indiana at Washington-6
Sat 11/28Indiana vs Purdue-35.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#2 (.36)51% (3)45.153% (2)3.58 (1)19451% (8)3174.98 (4)#80 (.18)44% (94)26.548% (125)37% (26)4.03 (104)45.51.42
IND#8 (.32)51% (4)41.648% (20)3.23 (19)20956% (2)2285.13 (1)#8 (.03)35% (9)11.732% (4)39% (40)2.07 (1)25.20.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1445.143.751.5%4.981.4265111943175.348%51%53%51%12%.36
IND Defense1611.78.435.1%2.071.8 - - - - - 43%55%32%39%23%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1426.528.343.5%4.032 - - - - - 60%38%48%37%14%.18
IND Offense1641.649.151.1%5.130.5234372092285.556%43%48%56%11%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1428:2225.546%69%5.645.51.425.31.7033.8
Indiana1631:1222.558%50%3.425.20.51.882.8430.9
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1448% (84)53% (2)36.6194.15.349 (1).33 (3)3.58 (1)73% (58)7% (8)1.1 (17)
IND Defense1643% (3)32% (4) - - - - -.09 (3)2.21 (3)58% (6)16% (2)1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1460% (134)48% (125) - - - - .18 (111)3.19 (118)77% (111)9% (80)1.01 (92)
IND Offense1656% (26)48% (20)37.82095.533 (40).19 (32)3.23 (19)69% (87)7% (10)0.88 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1451% (50)51% (8)23.234.1317.39.313.735 (8)9 (20).43 (12)1.6 (63)26% (9)39% (6).44 (22)5% (25)2 (68)
IND Defense1655% (128)39% (40) - - - - - - 18 (12).2 (49)1.5 (59)36% (15)27% (30).27 (63)7% (15)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1438% (2)37% (26) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (55)1.7 (113)29% (116)28% (58).27 (62)4% (126)2 (58)
IND Offense1643% (109)56% (2)17.323.7227.59.613.246 (1)7 (7).52 (5)1.5 (92)25% (4)40% (5).59 (4)5% (23)2.1 (40)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -4.41  #88
North Texas's Offense Rating: 11.49  #82
North Texas's Defense Rating: 20.90  #107
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
North Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
North Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #1
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 572.14
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -4.41   Indiana: 32.345

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 13.8   Indiana: 32.4




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 32.345  #7
Indiana's Offense Rating: 24.22  #9
Indiana's Defense Rating: 1.31  #8
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #29
Indiana's 2026 Expected Record: 10.9 - 1.1
Indiana's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4  #1
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8  #2
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 45
North Texas 18


Projected Total Points: 63
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201410/04Indiana49North Texas24Indiana -13.5Indiana0
201109/24North Texas24Indiana21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana110 Overs
North Texas100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#88) UNT at (#7) IND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNTIND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #88 #7
SP+SP+ #22 #1
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #55
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #29
North Texas Notes
(2/23) Vibes: Uneasy, lost HC & portals to Ok St
(2/23) New era under Brown, DC Powledge not great
(2/23) QB T Jackson (UCF) is interesting, depth is ?
(2/23) RB J White (WVU) over 1.7K but coming off inj
(2/23) WR a patchwork of portals, most exp'd from FCS
(2/23) OL looks rough, only 1 exp'd starter, many ?
(2/23) DL/LB could be OK, some good exp, mixed prod
(2/23) DBs huge ?, very little exp outside 1 FCS CB
North Texas Injury Report
Indiana Notes
(2/14) Vibes: Highest. CFP champs & lookin for more
(2/11) Lost strength coach to Tennessee.
(1/28) Cignetti & Staff are best in CFB after title run
(1/28) QB Hoover great add, durability imp w/ depth ?
(1/28) RB Beebe back from inj, T Richard (BC) added
(1/28) WRs Becker back, Marsh/Preston big portal adds
(1/28) OL great LY, 3 starters back. OT Smith best in CFB?
(1/28) DTs top 2 back, DEs good/portals from K St & ND
(1/28) LB & DBs good but lost stars/leaders. Portals help
(1/28) Roster stabilizing, 17 portals (23 LY, 30 in '24)
Indiana Injury Report
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffIND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #3 #9
ExplosiveExp #32 #108
PPAPPA #2 #8
PowerPwr #82 #8
SP+SP+ #1 #2
Pts POPPO #4 #1
HavocHav #9 #2
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffIND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #4
Run ExplRExp #17 #90
PPAExp #3 #3
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #1 #3
Stuff RateStuff #7 #1
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffIND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #40
Pass ExplPExl #63 #59
PPAExp #12 #49
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #8 #2
DB HavocDB #25 #15
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffUNT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #4 #94
ExplosiveExp #114 #52
PPAPPA #8 #80
PowerPwr #9 #107
SP+SP+ #2 #78
Pts POPPO #1 #104
HavocHav #8 #108
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #20 #125
Run ExplRExp #110 #92
PPAExp #32 #111
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #19 #118
Stuff RateStuff #18 #125
TackleTak - NR
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #2 #26
Pass ExplPExl #92 #113
PPAExp #5 #55
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #10 #80
DB HavocDB #23 #126
Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNT's OC Neal Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tayven Jackson (Tr)20031564%21511086.8
Chaston Ditta (Tr)122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Osho (Tr)11968685.879
Jahiem White (Tr)2413335.532
Jayden Becks218724.116
Tayven Jackson (Tr)548531.625
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
James Tyre (Tr)688321112.242
Grayson O'Bara (Tr)44590213.471
Corri Milliner (Tr)24341314.249
Dalton Carnes780011.421

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Powledge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Alexander (Tr)923100
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Davion Rhodes (Tr)346011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Brayden Knox192100
Aaron Alexander (Tr)923100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Caden Jenkins (Tr)101003
Keshawn Davila (Tr)20002

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover (Tr)27241366%347229138.4
Joshua Burnham (Tr)11100%841084.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard (Tr)14574995.271
Khobie Martin7750666.636
Lee Beebe2720917.724
Sean Cuono21708.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shazz Preston (Tr)43723416.869
Charlie Becker34679420.053
Nick Marsh (Tr)59662611.248
Turbo Richard (Tr)3021327.149

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy10315845
Isaiah Jones7815732
Jamari Sharpe495005
Amare Ferrell482006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy10315845
Isaiah Jones7815732
Tyrique Tucker3812632
Mario Landino327524
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Ferrell482006
Rolijah Hardy10315845
Jamari Sharpe495005