North Texas at Navy - 2026 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo   North Texas Mean Green at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD  (American Athletic)

 
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#24)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
UNT coming off BYE
NAVY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -1.5  (SP+ UNT -7.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 34 - NAVY: 32 (66)
UNT Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UNT Travel: 1217 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (26 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 4 (#48)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
North Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Texas at Indiana+28.5
Sat 9/12 North Texas vs UNLV-5
Sat 9/19 North Texas at Texas State-0.5
Sat 9/26 North Texas vs Houston Christian-27.5
Thu 10/1 North Texas at Tulsa-8
Sat 10/10 North Texas vs Charlotte-27.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 North Texas at Navy-1.5
Thu 10/29 North Texas vs Florida Atlantic-15
Sat 11/7 North Texas vs Rice-20.5
Sat 11/14 North Texas at UTSA-1.5
Sat 11/21 North Texas at Tulane-0
Sat 11/28 North Texas vs UAB-22

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Navy's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Navy vs Towson-24
Sat 9/12 Navy at Florida Atlantic-6
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/25 Navy at UAB-13.5
Sat 10/3 Navy at Air Force-5.5
Sat 10/10 Navy vs Tulsa-9
Sat 10/17 Navy at UTSA+2.5
Sat 10/24 Navy vs North Texas+1.5
Sat 10/31 Navy at Notre Dame+29
Sat 11/7 Navy vs Temple-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Navy vs Memphis+3
Sat 11/28 Navy at Charlotte-18.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#2 (.36)51% (3)45.153% (2)3.58 (1)19451% (8)3174.98 (4)#80 (.18)44% (94)26.548% (125)37% (26)4.03 (104)45.51.42
NAVY#16 (.3)49% (9)31.552% (4)3.45 (5)28642% (58)1304.23 (28)#103 (.21)41% (57)2539% (26)44% (102)4.2 (115)48.31.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1445.143.751.5%4.981.4265111943175.348%51%53%51%12%.36
NAVY Defense132524.240.7%4.21.2 - - - - - 52%46%39%44%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1426.528.343.5%4.032 - - - - - 60%38%48%37%14%.18
NAVY Offense1331.53849%4.231.1204162861305.875%23%52%42%9%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1428:2225.546%69%5.645.51.425.31.7033.8
Navy1332:3620.452%68%5.748.31.11.24.52.1131.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1448% (84)53% (2)36.6194.15.349 (1).33 (3)3.58 (1)73% (58)7% (8)1.1 (17)
NAVY Defense1352% (97)39% (26) - - - - .11 (76)2.85 (59)76% (103)8% (111)1.06 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1460% (134)48% (125) - - - - .18 (111)3.19 (118)77% (111)9% (80)1.01 (92)
NAVY Offense1375% (3)52% (4)49.4286.15.841 (4).28 (6)3.45 (5)81% (13)7% (11)1.06 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1451% (50)51% (8)23.234.1317.39.313.735 (8)9 (20).43 (12)1.6 (63)26% (9)39% (6).44 (22)5% (25)2 (68)
NAVY Defense1346% (43)44% (102) - - - - - - 7 (100).37 (119)1.6 (104)31% (75)29% (71).3 (71)4% (129)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1438% (2)37% (26) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (55)1.7 (113)29% (116)28% (58).27 (62)4% (126)2 (58)
NAVY Offense1323% (134)42% (58)8.2141309.315.912 (106)6 (20).46 (9)2 (3)23% (1)34% (27).52 (8)2% (2)2.3 (6)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.53  #89
North Texas's Offense Rating: 10.67  #85
North Texas's Defense Rating: 21.20  #107
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #87
North Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
North Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #1
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.53   Navy: 2.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 13.8   Navy: 6.2




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.795  #90
Navy's Offense Rating: 11.21  #79
Navy's Defense Rating: 21.82  #114
2026 Talent Rating: 138.00  #137
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Navy's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 4.0
Navy's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #46
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #26
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 34
Navy 32

Projected Total Points: 66
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01North Texas31Navy17North Texas -6.5North Texas68.5Under
202310/07Navy27North Texas24Navy -6.5North Texas60.5Under
200711/10North Texas62Navy74
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy200 Overs
North Texas122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#89) UNT at (#90) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNTNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #89 #90
SP+SP+ #22 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #137
Blue ChipsBC% #87 #103
North Texas Notes
(2/23) Vibes: Uneasy, lost HC & portals to Ok St
(2/23) New era under Brown, DC Powledge not great
(2/23) QB T Jackson (UCF) is interesting, depth is ?
(2/23) RB J White (WVU) over 1.7K but coming off inj
(2/23) WR a patchwork of portals, most exp'd from FCS
(2/23) OL looks rough, only 1 exp'd starter, many ?
(2/23) DL/LB could be OK, some good exp, mixed prod
(2/23) DBs huge ?, very little exp outside 1 FCS CB
North Texas Injury Report
Navy Notes
(2/10) DC PJ Volker left to coach Ravens DBs
Navy Injury Report
North Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #3 #57
ExplosiveExp #32 #115
PPAPPA #2 #103
PowerPwr #85 #114
SP+SP+ #1 #72
Pts POPPO #4 #115
HavocHav #9 #124
North Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #26
Run ExplRExp #17 #114
PPAExp #3 #76
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #1 #59
Stuff RateStuff #7 #80
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UNT OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #102
Pass ExplPExl #63 #104
PPAExp #12 #119
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #8 #111
DB HavocDB #25 #129
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffUNT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #9 #94
ExplosiveExp #71 #52
PPAPPA #16 #80
PowerPwr #79 #107
SP+SP+ #26 #78
Pts POPPO #28 #104
HavocHav #3 #108
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #125
Run ExplRExp #32 #92
PPAExp #6 #111
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #5 #118
Stuff RateStuff #1 #125
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #26
Pass ExplPExl #3 #113
PPAExp #9 #55
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #80
DB HavocDB #2 #126
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Navy last year (31-17)
Navy beat North Texas in 2023 (27-24)

  
UNT's OC Neal Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tayven Jackson (Tr)20031564%21511086.8
Chaston Ditta (Tr)122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Osho (Tr)11968685.879
Jahiem White (Tr)2413335.532
Jayden Becks218724.116
Tayven Jackson (Tr)548531.625
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
James Tyre (Tr)688321112.242
Grayson O'Bara (Tr)44590213.471
Corri Milliner (Tr)24341314.249
Dalton Carnes780011.421

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Powledge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Alexander (Tr)923100
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Davion Rhodes (Tr)346011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Brayden Knox192100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Caden Jenkins (Tr)101003
Keshawn Davila (Tr)20002

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Jackson Gutierrez030%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braxton Woodson4441469.474
Jackson Gutierrez2817206.123
Charles Robinson103303.37
Vic Listorti31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Hutchison5134326.863
Joshua Guerin360020.035
Jake Norris123023.023
Charles Robinson221010.511

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Vacant (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Giuseppe Sessi811000
Coleman Cauley783030
Phillip Hamilton490002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Moutome428423
Griffen Willis487331
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Marcus Bleazard112100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Julian Moutome428423
Phillip Hamilton490002