San Diego State at Colorado State - 2026 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo   San Diego State Aztecs at Colorado State Rams  Colorado State logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Canvas Stadium - Fort Collins, CO  (Pac-12)

 
Aztecs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 3.7 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 6)
SDSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -11  (SP+ SDSU -22.5)

Projected Score: SDSU: 28 - CSU: 17 (44)
SDSU Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
SDSU Travel: 855 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jim Mora (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#68)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
San Diego State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 San Diego State vs Portland State-24
Sat 9/12 San Diego State at UCLA+4
Sat 9/19 San Diego State vs James Madison-1
Sat 9/26 San Diego State at Toledo+3
Sat 10/3 San Diego State vs Texas State-3
Sat 10/10 San Diego State at Oregon State-13
Sat 10/17 San Diego State vs Fresno State-7
Sat 10/24 San Diego State at Colorado State-11
Sat 10/31 San Diego State vs Washington State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 San Diego State vs Utah State-10.5
Fri 11/20 San Diego State at Boise State+5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Colorado State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Colorado State vs Wyoming-1
Sat 9/12 Colorado State vs Southern Utah-10.5
Sat 9/19 Colorado State vs BYU+26.5
Sat 9/26 Colorado State at UTSA+13.5
Sat 10/3 Colorado State vs Oregon State-4.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15 Colorado State at Texas State+15.5
Sat 10/24 Colorado State vs San Diego State+11
Sat 10/31 Colorado State at Utah State+8
Sat 11/7 Colorado State vs Boise State+13.5
Sat 11/14 Colorado State at Washington State+15
Sat 11/21 Colorado State at Fresno State+11.5
Sat 11/28 Colorado State vs TBD-10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#93 (.13)42% (76)26.446% (40)3.34 (10)19936% (121)1583.51 (90)#4 (-.01)35% (10)15.438% (24)33% (4)2.42 (3)55.91.21.4
CSU#95 (.13)40% (98)18.544% (66)2.97 (63)10838% (110)2163.52 (87)#117 (.24)45% (118)30.846% (106)46% (116)4.03 (103)56.31.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1326.418.241.8%3.511.2183561991584.861%37%46%36%13%.13
CSU Defense1230.827.145.3%4.031.3 - - - - - 57%42%46%46%13%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1315.418.335.1%2.421.4 - - - - - 48%50%38%33%15%-.01
CSU Offense1218.519.940.3%3.521.7183241082163.645%54%44%38%19%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1330:1717.931%52%6.255.91.21.44.82.5531.7
Colorado State1226:5018.333%47%5.856.31.71.33.81.3126
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1361% (9)46% (40)41.8198.94.825 (70).17 (43)3.34 (10)80% (16)7% (22)0.9 (94)
CSU Defense1257% (131)46% (106) - - - - .17 (105)3.26 (123)77% (109)7% (129)0.94 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1348% (46)38% (24) - - - - .06 (43)3.04 (99)63% (15)8% (113)0.96 (70)
CSU Offense1245% (107)44% (66)30.3108.33.613 (70).09 (79)2.97 (63)59% (132)12% (121)0.9 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1337% (128)36% (121)12.822.3157.97.112.410 (106)10 (7).09 (127)1.7 (20)30% (41)20% (136).04 (132)6% (48)1.9 (88)
CSU Defense1242% (7)46% (116) - - - - - - 8 (31).38 (120)1.7 (123)27% (129)35% (125).34 (94)6% (57)1.9 (31)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1350% (90)33% (4) - - - - - - 15 (55)-.04 (2)1.4 (16)35% (17)23% (6).06 (3)7% (22)1.8 (14)
CSU Offense1254% (29)38% (110)20.332.8215.96.610.715 (103)12 (7).2 (97)1.5 (91)35% (126)28% (87).25 (89)7% (110)2 (85)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -5.94  #84
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 5.01  #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.95  #63
2026 Talent Rating: 552.00  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #99
San Diego State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.3 - 3.7
San Diego State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7  #43
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #28

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -5.94   Colorado State: -10.62

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 6.7   Colorado State: -15.6




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -10.62  #100
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 6.87  #94
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.51  #111
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #59
Colorado State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Colorado State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6  #124
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #120
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #105

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 28
Colorado State 17


Projected Total Points: 44
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/03San Diego State45Colorado State24San Diego State -4.5San Diego State40.5Over
202311/11Colorado State22San Diego State19Colorado State -3.5San Diego State46.5Under
202012/05San Diego State29Colorado State17San Diego State -7.5San Diego State45.0Over
201910/05Colorado State10San Diego State24San Diego State -7.5San Diego State49.0Under
201611/26San Diego State31Colorado State63San Diego State -12.5Colorado State53.5Over
201510/31Colorado State17San Diego State41San Diego State -2San Diego State52.0Over
201210/13San Diego State38Colorado State14
201111/12Colorado State15San Diego State18
201011/06San Diego State24Colorado State19
200910/24Colorado State28San Diego State42
200810/25San Diego State34Colorado State38
200710/06Colorado State20San Diego State24
200612/02San Diego State17Colorado State6
200511/12Colorado State10San Diego State30
200410/16San Diego State17Colorado State21
200311/15Colorado State21San Diego State6
200109/22Colorado State7San Diego State14
200010/27San Diego State22Colorado State34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State614 Overs
San Diego State1252 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 112 - 42 - 20 - 2
Road Teams11 - 74 - 22 - 02 - 2

(#84) SDSU at (#100) CSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUCSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #84 #100
SP+SP+ #43 #124
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #99 #78
Blue ChipsBC% #99 #59
San Diego State Notes
(2/2) Lewis era growing & SDSU is spending NIL $
San Diego State Injury Report
Colorado State Notes
(2/4) New staff under Mora, OC Tracy was PGC (UConn)
(2/4) QB1 Curry (PT LY) vs Farrar (UConn transfer)
(2/4) RB could get huge boost if D. Robinson is healthy
(2/4) WR has 4 guys with exp but none very productive
(2/4) OL huge ? only 4 have any exp, 5 portal adds
(2/4) DL took 5 portals, run def grades are awful
(2/4) LBs decent unit. Diomande (UConn) huge add
(2/4) DBs 5 portals, decent parts to work with
(2/4) Roster TO w 37 portals in/38 out + 22 croots
Colorado State Injury Report
San Diego State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffCSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #76 #118
ExplosiveExp #112 #77
PPAPPA #93 #117
PowerPwr #106 #111
SP+SP+ #90 #105
Pts POPPO #90 #103
HavocHav #25 #116
San Diego State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffCSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #40 #106
Run ExplRExp #94 #59
PPAExp #43 #105
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #10 #123
Stuff RateStuff #14 #121
TackleTak - NR
San Diego State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffCSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #121 #116
Pass ExplPExl #20 #123
PPAExp #127 #120
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #22 #129
DB HavocDB #48 #57
Colorado State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatCSU OffSDSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #98 #10
ExplosiveExp #98 #23
PPAPPA #95 #4
PowerPwr #94 #63
SP+SP+ #120 #28
Pts POPPO #87 #3
HavocHav #125 #78
Colorado State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffSDSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #24
Run ExplRExp #96 #70
PPAExp #79 #43
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #63 #99
Stuff RateStuff #76 #109
TackleTak - NR
Colorado State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatCSU OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #4
Pass ExplPExl #91 #16
PPAExp #97 #2
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #121 #113
DB HavocDB #110 #22
Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Colorado State last year (45-24)
Colorado State beat San Diego State in 2023 (22-19)

  
SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Denegal14324459%1810987.4
Bert Emanuel Jr.91656%74004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucky Sutton2531292105.150
Christian Washington9756045.841
Bert Emanuel Jr.3227328.572
Jayden Denegal6710341.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier48632213.280
Javion Kinnard (Tr)18228112.779
Nathan Acevedo16190011.942
Jacob Bostick11157314.335

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Demetrius Sumler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Thomeson (Tr)867021
Dalesean Staley701008
Tano Letuli270021
Malachi Finau181030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Djibril Abdou Rahman (Tr)51111
Kai Wallin (Tr)172141
Solomon Davis (Tr)61100
Malik Gucake103110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalesean Staley701008
Brady Nassar140043
Jalen Thomeson (Tr)867021

CSU's OC Pryce Tracy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darius Curry7010765%740576.9
Ksaan Farrar (Tr)111861%84004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Brown3226228.249
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman2313816.017
Terrence Smith Jr. (Tr)147515.421
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tommy Maher32358011.235
Javonte Vereen (Tr)21305514.550
Lavon Brown22244011.131
Jordan Mosley (Tr)8168121.075

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)1168551
Jace Bellah581020
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)521002
Jaseim Mitchell293110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)1168551
Stephon Wright (Tr)284232
Robby Harrison (Tr)162110
DeAndre Gill122120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Blocker230013
AJ Noland190042
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)521002