San Diego State at UCLA - 2026 Matchup Preview
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San Diego State Aztecs at UCLA Bruins

UCLA logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA

 
Aztecs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 2.7 (#26)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: San Diego State -1.5  (SP+ SDSU -15.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 24 - UCLA: 22 (46)
SDSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SDSU Travel: 113 miles
Bruins (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 6.3 (#68)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
San Diego State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5San Diego State vs Portland State-30.5
Sat 9/12San Diego State at UCLA-1.5
Sat 9/19San Diego State vs James Madison-4
Sat 9/26San Diego State at Toledo-1
Sat 10/3San Diego State vs Texas State-7.5
Sat 10/10San Diego State at Oregon State-15
Sat 10/17San Diego State vs Fresno State-10
Sat 10/24San Diego State at Colorado State-15.5
Sat 10/31San Diego State vs Washington State-11
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/14San Diego State vs Utah State-14.5
Fri 11/20San Diego State at Boise State-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
UCLA's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5UCLA at California+2.5
Sat 9/12UCLA vs San Diego State+1.5
Sat 9/19UCLA vs Purdue-8.5
Sat 9/26UCLA at Maryland+1.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10UCLA at Oregon+25.5
Sat 10/17UCLA vs Wisconsin-5.5
Sat 10/24UCLA vs Michigan State-6
Sat 10/31UCLA vs Nevada-22
Sat 11/7UCLA at Minnesota+5.5
Sat 11/14UCLA vs Illinois+7.5
Sat 11/21UCLA at Michigan+18.5
Sat 11/28UCLA vs USC+15

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#93 (.13)42% (76)26.446% (40)3.34 (10)19936% (121)1583.51 (90)#4 (-.01)35% (10)15.438% (24)33% (4)2.42 (3)55.91.21.4
UCLA#96 (.12)42% (75)18.245% (54)3.06 (47)14040% (95)1802.98 (124)#122 (.25)50% (135)33.453% (135)48% (127)4.61 (133)65.51.10.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1326.418.241.8%3.511.2183561991584.861%37%46%36%13%.13
UCLA Defense1233.434.750.3%4.610.8 - - - - - 54%45%53%48%12%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1315.418.335.1%2.421.4 - - - - - 48%50%38%33%15%-.01
UCLA Offense1218.219.541.9%2.981.1173201401804.547%51%45%40%16%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1330:1717.931%52%6.255.91.21.44.82.5531.7
UCLA1229:1117.337%48%7.565.51.10.83.30.8026.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1361% (9)46% (40)41.8198.94.825 (70).17 (43)3.34 (10)80% (16)7% (22)0.9 (94)
UCLA Defense1254% (116)53% (135) - - - - .23 (131)3.32 (128)79% (116)7% (132)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1348% (46)38% (24) - - - - .06 (43)3.04 (99)63% (15)8% (113)0.96 (70)
UCLA Offense1247% (88)45% (54)31.3139.64.58 (107).21 (20)3.06 (47)65% (109)9% (65)1.05 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1337% (128)36% (121)12.822.3157.97.112.410 (106)10 (7).09 (127)1.7 (20)30% (41)20% (136).04 (132)6% (48)1.9 (88)
UCLA Defense1245% (23)48% (127) - - - - - - 4 (132).33 (105)1.4 (15)26% (135)40% (135).45 (130)5% (95)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1350% (90)33% (4) - - - - - - 15 (55)-.04 (2)1.4 (16)35% (17)23% (6).06 (3)7% (22)1.8 (14)
UCLA Offense1251% (47)40% (95)19.130.1180.369.515 (75)7 (60).09 (126)1.3 (136)32% (75)32% (50).28 (80)7% (95)1.9 (100)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 7.62  #47
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 11.66  #80
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 9.04  #30
2026 Talent Rating: 702.00  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
San Diego State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 2.7
San Diego State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7  #43
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #28

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 673.75
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 7.62   UCLA: 5.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 6.7   UCLA: -8.7




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 5.705  #23
UCLA's Offense Rating: 21.68  #16
UCLA's Defense Rating: 11.57  #38
2026 Talent Rating: 1000.00  #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #47
UCLA's 2026 Expected Record: 5.7 - 6.3
UCLA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #98
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #94

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 24
UCLA 22


Projected Total Points: 46
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09San Diego State10UCLA35UCLA -13UCLA49.0Under
201909/07UCLA14San Diego State23UCLA -7.5San Diego State44.5Under
200909/05UCLA33San Diego State14
200509/03San Diego State21UCLA44
200410/02UCLA33San Diego State10
200309/27UCLA20San Diego State10
200209/28San Diego State7UCLA43
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA610 Overs
San Diego State112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 40 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams4 - 32 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#47) SDSU at (#23) UCLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUUCLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #47 #23
SP+SP+ #43 #98
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #75 #13
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #47
San Diego State Notes
(3/8) Vibes: Lewis era rising, NIL funding is up
(3/1) QB Denegal back but he ain't it. Depth overtake?
(3/1) RB Sutton great (1.3K) very good depth. Strong
(3/1) WR 3 portals, Napier good/back, have options
(3/1) OL 6 portals, 5 fair to good starters, have depth
(3/1) DL has avg prod but good rotation of 6 exp'd guys
(3/1) LB replacing nearly all from a great Def LY
(3/1) DBs 7 portals, some really prod FCS adds.
(3/1) New DC Sumler (DB LY) has big shoes to fill
San Diego State Injury Report
UCLA Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Up big w/ Chesney, NIL funding, hope
(2/4) New staff w Chesney. Good OC/DC combo
(2/4) QB Iamaleava was OK in bad spot. Have depth
(2/4) RB Knight (JMU) big add. Have depth options
(2/4) WR all portals but exp'd, productive & older unit
(2/4) OL has lots of exp @ G5 level. Veteran unit
(2/4) DL lots of portals, DEs from JMU, DT looks ?
(2/4) LBs again veteran portals. 7 with good exp
(2/4) CBs look really good, S has good options
(2/4) UCLA is Chesney's version of Cig plan. Promising
UCLA Injury Report
San Diego State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUCLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #76 #135
ExplosiveExp #112 #6
PPAPPA #93 #122
PowerPwr #80 #38
SP+SP+ #90 #94
Pts POPPO #90 #133
HavocHav #25 #130
San Diego State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUCLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #40 #135
Run ExplRExp #94 #30
PPAExp #43 #131
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #10 #128
Stuff RateStuff #14 #129
TackleTak - NR
San Diego State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #121 #127
Pass ExplPExl #20 #15
PPAExp #127 #105
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #22 #132
DB HavocDB #48 #95
UCLA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUCLA OffSDSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #75 #10
ExplosiveExp #120 #23
PPAPPA #96 #4
PowerPwr #16 #30
SP+SP+ #105 #28
Pts POPPO #124 #3
HavocHav #76 #78
UCLA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UCLA OffSDSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #54 #24
Run ExplRExp #33 #70
PPAExp #20 #43
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #47 #99
Stuff RateStuff #76 #109
TackleTak - NR
UCLA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUCLA OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #95 #4
Pass ExplPExl #136 #16
PPAExp #126 #2
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #65 #113
DB HavocDB #95 #22
Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
UCLA beat San Diego State in 2023 (35-10)

  
SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Denegal14324459%1810987.4
Bert Emanuel Jr.91656%74004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucky Sutton2531292105.150
Christian Washington9756045.841
Bert Emanuel Jr.3227328.572
Jayden Denegal6710341.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier48632213.280
Aldrich Doe (Tr)37467212.635
Javion Kinnard (Tr)18228112.779
Nathan Acevedo16190011.942

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Demetrius Sumler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Thomeson (Tr)867021
Dalesean Staley701008
Tano Letuli270021
Amari Comier193111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Djibril Abdou Rahman (Tr)51111
Amari Comier193111
Kai Wallin (Tr)172141
Solomon Davis (Tr)61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalesean Staley701008
Brady Nassar140043
Josiah Cox152001

UCLA's OC Dean Kennedy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava20832364%19281376.0
Ty Dieffenbach (Tr)9216257%1305998.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wayne Knight (Tr)207137396.673
Nico Iamaleava11250544.552
Ty Dieffenbach (Tr)6732144.843
Jaivian Thomas8230613.732
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Leland Smith (Tr)43695316.245
Landon Ellis (Tr)36624517.362
Wayne Knight (Tr)4039719.957
Mikey Matthews33348210.537

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Spinogatti (Tr)517163
Samuel Omosigho505203
Tao Johnson (Tr)503004
Jalen Woods475203
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sahir West (Tr)4614774
Aiden Gobaira (Tr)338530
Samuel Omosigho505203
Ryan McCulloch (Tr)113241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Barksdale (Tr)3630112
Rodrick Pleasant362007
Ta'Shawn James (Tr)330005