NC State at Stanford - 2026 Matchup Preview
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NC State Wolfpack at Stanford Cardinal

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Friday, October 23rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Stanford Stadium - Stanford, CA  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (95 - 70)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (23 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#32)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
STAN 2nd straight Home Game
NCST coming off BYE
STAN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: NC State -10.5  (SP+ NCST -16.5)
Projected Score: NCST: 33 - STAN: 22 (55)
NCST Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NCST Travel: 2390 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tavita Pritchard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#88)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
NC State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 NC State vs Virginia+5
Sat 9/12 NC State vs Richmond-32
Sat 9/19 NC State at Vanderbilt+10
Sat 9/26 NC State vs App State-21.5
Sat 10/3 NC State vs Louisville+2
Sat 10/10 NC State vs Wake Forest-3.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 NC State at Stanford-10.5
Fri 10/30 NC State vs California-8
Fri 11/6 NC State vs Duke-4
Sat 11/14 NC State vs Syracuse-15.5
Sat 11/21 NC State at Florida State+2
Sat 11/28 NC State at North Carolina-6.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Stanford's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Stanford vs Hawai'i+1
Fri 9/4 Stanford vs Miami+26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Stanford at Duke+14.5
Sat 9/26 Stanford vs Georgia Tech+11
Sat 10/3 Stanford at Wake Forest+15
Sat 10/10 Stanford at Notre Dame+34
Sat 10/17 Stanford vs Elon-18.5
Fri 10/23 Stanford vs NC State+10.5
Sat 10/31 Stanford at Louisville+20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Stanford at Virginia Tech+7
Sat 11/21 Stanford at California+10.5
Sat 11/28 Stanford vs SMU+16.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#20 (.28)44% (50)30.244% (64)2.94 (68)14744% (44)2464.69 (8)#102 (.21)39% (39)27.238% (19)40% (55)3.7 (72)53.811.2
STAN#120 (.06)36% (127)18.837% (126)2.63 (121)8637% (117)2223.02 (122)#73 (.17)42% (80)29.242% (70)43% (84)3.46 (51)54.11.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1330.22343.8%4.691203931472464.547%51%44%44%16%.28
STAN Defense1229.22642.5%3.461.1 - - - - - 42%57%42%43%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1327.239.839.2%3.71.2 - - - - - 43%56%38%40%15%.21
STAN Offense1218.825.236.3%3.021.417308862222.646%51%37%37%17%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1329:5620.441%50%5.553.811.25.11.5127.9
Stanford1229:4917.438%58%654.11.41.14.91.9125.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1347% (86)44% (64)32.5147.14.527 (40).19 (33)2.94 (68)73% (61)10% (98)1.1 (19)
STAN Defense1242% (2)42% (70) - - - - -.02 (11)2.88 (69)74% (89)9% (99)0.88 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1343% (6)38% (19) - - - - .12 (80)2.87 (64)65% (25)8% (109)1.09 (124)
STAN Offense1246% (99)37% (126)32.385.52.68 (119)-.03 (131)2.63 (121)82% (6)10% (84)0.75 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1351% (49)44% (44)21.531.8245.77.711.426 (33)10 (119).39 (25)1.6 (33)31% (65)32% (49).4 (32)6% (51)2.1 (53)
STAN Defense1257% (135)43% (84) - - - - - - 3 (132).34 (110)1.6 (84)33% (39)34% (117).35 (95)6% (73)2 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1356% (134)40% (55) - - - - - - 9 (75).3 (90)1.7 (117)35% (21)31% (91).38 (111)7% (46)2.1 (83)
STAN Offense1251% (46)37% (117)18.732.62226.811.914 (106)12 (60).2 (98)1.5 (65)33% (92)25% (123).19 (113)7% (117)2 (82)

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 12.07  #30
NC State's Offense Rating: 20.62  #21
NC State's Defense Rating: 13.55  #51
2026 Talent Rating: 918.00  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #57
NC State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
NC State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #55
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #45
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 12.07   Stanford: -2.275

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 4.8   Stanford: -11.8




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -2.275  #71
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.32  #93
Stanford's Defense Rating: 12.07  #43
2026 Talent Rating: 894.00  #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #39
Stanford's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8  #112
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4  #117
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9


NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

NC State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 33
Stanford 22

Projected Total Points: 55
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02NC State59Stanford28NC State -10NC State46.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford001 Overs
NC State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#30) NCST at (#71) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTSTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #30 #71
SP+SP+ #55 #112
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #30 #36
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #39
NC State Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Unclear. Good but Doeren era feels stale
(2/6) QB Bailey back is big, depth behind him is ?
(2/6) RB Scott (#2 LY) back after good Fr yr, depth ?
(2/6) WR sneaky good portal class of 5, esp Snow (Buf)
(2/6) OL returns 4 w starting exp, 2 portals. Decent
(2/6) DT has some exp, DE/LB has more but not sold
(2/6) DBs have options, CB has more ?, S looks good
NC State Injury Report
Stanford Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Low, love GM Luck but no NIL/portals
(2/24) HC Pritchard was OC w Shaw when era fell off
(2/7) Def should improve, but this Offense is ass
(2/6) OC Heffernan (UVA OL) 1st time calling plays
(2/6) Who is QB? Rizk (UCF), Warren (UM) have exp
(2/6) RB Ford back, huge retain. Depth has some talent
(2/6) WR not great. Can Nico Brown (Yale) boost unit?
(2/6) OL a disaster LY. Most back, can they improve?
(2/6) Front 7 has some nice parts, LB Rose a great one
(2/6) Secondary should improve, decent CB duo
Stanford Injury Report
NC State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
NCST OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #50 #80
ExplosiveExp #13 #94
PPAPPA #20 #73
PowerPwr #21 #43
SP+SP+ #45 #78
Pts POPPO #8 #51
HavocHav #74 #94
NC State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
NCST OffSTAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #64 #70
Run ExplRExp #19 #25
PPAExp #33 #11
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #68 #69
Stuff RateStuff #112 #90
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
NCST OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #44 #84
Pass ExplPExl #33 #84
PPAExp #25 #110
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #98 #99
DB HavocDB #51 #73
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatSTAN OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #127 #39
ExplosiveExp #103 #134
PPAPPA #120 #102
PowerPwr #93 #51
SP+SP+ #117 #64
Pts POPPO #122 #72
HavocHav #105 #86
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
STAN OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #126 #19
Run ExplRExp #134 #124
PPAExp #131 #80
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #121 #64
Stuff RateStuff #63 #65
TackleTak - NR
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatSTAN OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #117 #55
Pass ExplPExl #65 #117
PPAExp #98 #90
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #84 #109
DB HavocDB #117 #46
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
NC State beat Stanford in 2024 (59-28)

  
NCST's OC Kurt Roper (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey27339769%31052597.8
Will Wilson3560%16013.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Scott10659545.669
Davion Gause (Tr)6125834.225
CJ Bailey8921562.430
Will Wilson43146103.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow (Tr)62815813.175
Davion Dozier (Tr)20448522.468
Tyran Warren (Tr)24442418.474
Teddy Hoffmann25349314.055

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC D. J. Eliot (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Asaad Brown Jr.640002
King Mack (Tr)581113
Ronnie Royal III492001
Jackson Vick452006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harvey Dyson III3110701
Chase Bond116220
Joseph Adedire62100
King Mack (Tr)581113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Nelson II291006
Jackson Vick452006
King Mack (Tr)581113

STAN's OC Terry Heffernan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Charlie Mirer2367%22107.3
Micah Ford010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford14564344.475
Sedrick Irvin4111812.915
Tuna Altahir155503.79
Caleb Hampton112902.68
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nico Brown (Tr)7110851115.364
Caden High37414111.234
Micah Ford11119010.854
Benjamin Blackburn9109112.126

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Kris Richard (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose1068333
Scotty Edwards544311
Jahsiah Galvan502012
Jaivion Green383016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose1068333
Ernest Cooper235301
Scotty Edwards544311
Zach Johnson283221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green383016
Brandon Nicholson271106
Matt Rose1068333