Richmond at NC State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Richmond logo Richmond Spiders at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC

 
Spiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 41 (6 - 41 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: NC State -9.5  (SP+ NCST -5)
NCST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
Wolfpack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (95 - 70)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#62)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Richmond's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Richmond at NC State+9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Richmond's Schedule
NC State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 NC State at Virginia+3.5
Sat 9/12 NC State vs Richmond-30.5
Sat 9/19 NC State at Vanderbilt+12
Sat 9/26 NC State vs App State-20.5
Sat 10/3 NC State vs Louisville+1
Sat 10/10 NC State vs Wake Forest-3.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 NC State at Stanford-9.5
Fri 10/30 NC State vs California-9
Fri 11/6 NC State vs Duke-5.5
Sat 11/14 NC State vs Syracuse-17
Sat 11/21 NC State at Florida State+3
Sat 11/28 NC State at North Carolina-5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICH0%60%000%000%410%0%0000
NCST#20 (.28)44% (50)30.244% (64)2.94 (68)14744% (44)2464.69 (8)#102 (.21)39% (39)27.238% (19)40% (55)3.7 (72)53.811.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICH Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NCST Defense1327.22139.2%3.71.2 - - - - - 43%56%38%40%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICH Defense141410%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NCST Offense1330.235.343.8%4.691203931472464.547%51%44%44%16%.28

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Richmond10:000NAN%0%0000000100
NC State1329:5620.441%50%5.553.811.25.11.5127.9
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICH Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NCST Defense1343% (6)38% (19) - - - - .12 (80)2.87 (64)65% (25)8% (109)1.09 (124)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICH Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NCST Offense1347% (86)44% (64)32.5147.14.527 (40).19 (33)2.94 (68)73% (61)10% (98)1.1 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICH Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NCST Defense1356% (134)40% (55) - - - - - - 9 (75).3 (90)1.7 (117)35% (21)31% (91).38 (111)7% (46)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICH Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NCST Offense1351% (49)44% (44)21.531.8245.77.711.426 (33)10 (119).39 (25)1.6 (33)31% (65)32% (49).4 (32)6% (51)2.1 (53)

Richmond's Power Ratings
Richmond's Power Rating: NR
Richmond's Offense Rating: NR
Richmond's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Richmond's 2026 Expected Record: -
Richmond's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Richmond's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Richmond's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Richmond:    NC State: 9.66

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Richmond:    NC State: 4.8




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 9.66  #27
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.15  #21
NC State's Defense Rating: 13.63  #42
2026 Talent Rating: 830.00  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #39
NC State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #55
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #45
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Richmond Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Richmond's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 31
Richmond 21

Projected Total Points: 52
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201309/07NC State23Richmond21NC State -23Richmond0
200409/04NC State42Richmond0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State200 Overs
Richmond010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) RICH at (#27) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatRICHNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #27
SP+SP+NR #55
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #42
Blue ChipsBC%NR #39
Richmond on Offense
CategoryCat
RICH OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #39
ExplosiveExpNR #134
PPAPPANR #102
PowerPwrNR #42
SP+SP+NR #64
Pts POPPONR #72
HavocHavNR #86
Richmond Run Game
CategoryCat
RICH OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #19
Run ExplRExpNR #124
PPAExpNR #80
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #64
Stuff RateStuffNR #65
TackleTak - NR
Richmond Pass Game
CategoryCat
RICH OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #55
Pass ExplPExlNR #117
PPAExpNR #90
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #109
DB HavocDBNR #46
NC State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatNCST OffRICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #50NR
ExplosiveExp #13NR
PPAPPA #20NR
PowerPwr #21NR
SP+SP+ #45NR
Pts POPPO #8NR
HavocHav #74NR
NC State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
NCST OffRICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #64NR
Run ExplRExp #19NR
PPAExp #33NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #68NR
Stuff RateStuff #112NR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatNCST OffRICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #44NR
Pass ExplPExl #33NR
PPAExp #25NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #98NR
DB HavocDB #51NR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

RICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
RICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aidan Steinfeldt52805.67

View Richmond's Full Roster

RICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Krystian Williams (Tr)40001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Krystian Williams (Tr)40001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Krystian Williams (Tr)40001

NCST's OC Kurt Roper (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey27339769%31052597.8
Will Wilson3560%16013.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Scott10659545.669
Davion Gause (Tr)6125834.225
CJ Bailey8921562.430
Will Wilson43146103.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow (Tr)62815813.175
Davion Dozier (Tr)20448522.468
Teddy Hoffmann25349314.055
Keenan Jackson28281210.033

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC D. J. Eliot (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Asaad Brown Jr.640002
King Mack (Tr)581113
Ronnie Royal III492001
Jackson Vick452006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harvey Dyson III3110701
Chase Bond116220
Joseph Adedire62100
King Mack (Tr)581113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Vick452006
Brian Nelson II291006
King Mack (Tr)581113