Boston College at SMU - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Gerald J. Ford Stadium - University Park, TX

Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SMU 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 5th straight game
BC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: SMU -18.5 (SP+ SMU -22)
Projected Score: BC: 19 - SMU: 38 (57)
SMU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
BC Travel: 1541 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Mustangs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (38 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
SMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Boston College at Cincinnati	+10.5
Fri 9/11	Boston College vs Rutgers	+1
Sat 9/19	Boston College vs Maine	-19
Sat 9/26	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+0
Sat 10/3	Boston College at SMU	+18.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	+10
Sat 10/24	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+14
Sat 10/31	Boston College at Duke	+11.5
Sat 11/7	Boston College vs Florida State	+10
Sat 11/14	Boston College at Notre Dame	+34
Sat 11/21	Boston College vs Syracuse	-5.5
Sat 11/28	Boston College at Miami	+30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

SMU's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/7	SMU at Florida State	-1.5
Sat 9/12	SMU vs UC Davis	-35
Sat 9/19	SMU at Louisville	+1.5
Sat 9/26	SMU vs Missouri State	-31
Sat 10/3	SMU vs Boston College	-18.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	SMU vs Virginia	-6
Fri 10/23	SMU vs California	-13.5
Fri 10/30	SMU at Syracuse	-16.5
Fri 11/6	SMU vs Virginia Tech	-16
Sat 11/14	SMU vs Wake Forest	-8
Sat 11/21	SMU at Notre Dame	+17.5
Sat 11/28	SMU at Stanford	-14

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#79 (.16)	42% (66)	25.4	42% (92)	2.75 (106)	104	44% (50)	280	3.39 (99)	#115 (.23)	43% (82)	32.8	44% (86)	42% (72)	3.82 (83)	49.7	1.8	1
SMU	#30 (.23)	43% (64)	32.2	42% (93)	2.9 (75)	134	44% (39)	283	3.89 (53)	#9 (.03)	40% (52)	20.5	38% (18)	43% (90)	2.79 (12)	70.8	1.5	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	12	25.4	25	42.4%	3.39	1.8	21	384	104	280	3.3	40%	58%	42%	44%	17%	.16
SMU Defense	13	20.5	19.2	40.2%	2.79	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	55%	38%	43%	19%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	12	32.8	34	42.6%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	44%	42%	12%	.23
SMU Offense	13	32.2	36	42.6%	3.89	1.5	21	417	134	283	4.4	43%	55%	42%	44%	17%	.23

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	12	29:16	20.8	39%	52%	5.9	49.7	1.8	1	3.8	1.3	1	27.6
SMU	13	26:52	20.7	41%	67%	7	70.8	1.5	2.2	6.3	2.8	3	27.6

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	12	40% (128)	42% (92)	31.3	104	3.3	16 (88)	.05 (104)	2.75 (106)	80% (14)	10% (84)	0.89 (106)
SMU Defense	13	43% (8)	38% (18)	-	-	-	-	-.08 (5)	2.76 (46)	59% (8)	10% (45)	0.78 (4)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	12	50% (70)	44% (86)	-	-	-	-	.12 (83)	2.79 (51)	70% (61)	7% (127)	1.04 (106)
SMU Offense	13	43% (119)	42% (93)	30.8	133.9	4.4	25 (70)	.11 (70)	2.9 (75)	79% (19)	10% (74)	1 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	12	58% (9)	44% (50)	23.9	37.8	280.2	7.4	11.7	20 (42)	12 (60)	.25 (66)	1.4 (125)	31% (63)	31% (54)	.32 (63)	7% (99)	1.9 (91)
SMU Defense	13	55% (130)	43% (90)	-	-	-	-	-	-	18 (6)	.19 (42)	1.5 (32)	32% (57)	33% (109)	.29 (68)	8% (7)	1.9 (44)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	12	47% (57)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.39 (121)	1.7 (127)	29% (117)	33% (106)	.36 (99)	5% (102)	2 (75)
SMU Offense	13	55% (20)	44% (39)	23.5	35.4	283.1	8	12.1	26 (14)	13 (108)	.4 (23)	1.6 (37)	32% (72)	32% (47)	.39 (37)	7% (114)	2.1 (34)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -0.65 #62
Boston College's Offense Rating: 9.76 #72
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.41 #58
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Boston College's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Boston College's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #107

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -0.65 SMU: 14.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -8.5 SMU: 13.4

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 14.17 #26
SMU's Offense Rating: 15.10 #33
SMU's Defense Rating: 10.16 #27
2026 Talent Rating: 758.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #42
SMU's 2026 Expected Record: 8.7 - 4.3
SMU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4 #23
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #22
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 38
Boston College 19

Projected Total Points: 57

SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Boston College	13	SMU	45	SMU -10.5	SMU	54.5	Over
2024	11/16	SMU	38	Boston College	28	SMU -19	Boston College	54.5	Over
2023	12/28	Boston College	23	SMU	14	SMU -13.5	Boston College	49.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
SMU	2	1	2 Overs
Boston College	1	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0

(#62) BC at (#26) SMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	SMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#62	#26
SP+SP+	#97	#23
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#49	#63
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#42

Boston College Injury Report

SMU Injury Report

Boston College on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	SMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#66	#52
ExplosiveExp	#93	#27
PPAPPA	#79	#9
PowerPwr	#72	#27
SP+SP+	#97	#25
Pts POPPO	#99	#12
HavocHav	#92	#15

Boston College Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	SMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#92	#18
Run ExplRExp	#106	#4
PPAExp	#104	#5
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#106	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#55	#23
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	SMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#90
Pass ExplPExl	#125	#32
PPAExp	#66	#42
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#84	#45
DB HavocDB	#99	#7

SMU on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	SMU Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#64	#82
ExplosiveExp	#15	#127
PPAPPA	#30	#115
PowerPwr	#33	#58
SP+SP+	#22	#107
Pts POPPO	#53	#83
HavocHav	#99	#126

SMU Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	SMU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#93	#86
Run ExplRExp	#56	#106
PPAExp	#70	#83
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#75	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#82	#43
TackleTak	-	NR

SMU Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	SMU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#39	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#37	#127
PPAExp	#23	#121
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#74	#127
DB HavocDB	#114	#102

Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Boston College last year (45-13)
SMU beat Boston College in 2024 (38-28)
Boston College beat SMU in 2023 (23-14)

BC's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)	228	1325	16	5.8	95
Jordan Mcdonald	94	397	4	4.2	17
Nolan Ray (Tr)	67	289	2	4.3	53
Bo MacCormack III	15	43	1	2.9	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaelan Chudzinski	24	313	4	13.0	45
Dawson Pough	13	197	1	15.2	52
Javarius Green (Tr)	13	150	0	11.5	39
Jaedn Skeete	13	140	3	10.8	22

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Ted Roof (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	93	3	0	3	0
Anthony Palano (Tr)	65	1	1	4	2
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Isaiah Farris	28	0	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Ballard (Tr)	13	3	2	0	0
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Kemori Dixon	4	1	1	0	0
Justin Medlock (Tr)	25	1	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	PD
Isaiah Farris	28	6
Syair Torrence	5	3
Ashton Cunningham	13	3

SMU's OC Rob Likens (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kevin Jennings	300	454	66%	3641	26	13	8.0
Charlie Fiser	4	4	100%	30	0	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)	233	952	13	4.1	33
Derrick McFall	35	189	4	5.4	48
Dramekco Green	25	90	1	3.6	15
Kevin Jennings	70	54	4	0.8	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Yamir Knight	54	637	5	11.8	61
Yannick Smith (Tr)	44	583	5	13.3	59
Jalen Cooper	19	321	2	16.9	75
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)	34	245	1	7.2	42

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Booker	69	3	1	4	2
Alex Kilgore	60	4	0	0	2
Jarvis Lee Jr.	55	12	4	4	2
Terry Webb	46	7	6	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Terry Webb	46	7	6	2	4
Marques White (Tr)	43	11	5	3	1
Jarvis Lee Jr.	55	12	4	4	2
Ira Singleton (Tr)	17	3	3	6	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Miyazono	44	5	2	0	8
Marcellus Barnes Jr.	32	2	0	0	6
Terry Webb	46	7	6	2	4