UC Davis at SMU - 2026 Matchup Preview
UC Davis logo UC Davis Aggies at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Gerald J. Ford Stadium - University Park, TX

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 70 (10 - 70 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: SMU -14  (SP+ SMU -13)
SMU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
Mustangs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (38 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UC Davis's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 UC Davis at SMU+14

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UC Davis's Schedule
SMU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/7 SMU at Florida State-1.5
Sat 9/12 SMU vs UC Davis-35
Sat 9/19 SMU at Louisville+1.5
Sat 9/26 SMU vs Missouri State-31
Sat 10/3 SMU vs Boston College-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 SMU vs Virginia-6
Fri 10/23 SMU vs California-13.5
Fri 10/30 SMU at Syracuse-16.5
Fri 11/6 SMU vs Virginia Tech-16
Sat 11/14 SMU vs Wake Forest-8
Sat 11/21 SMU at Notre Dame+17.5
Sat 11/28 SMU at Stanford-14

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%100%000%000%700%0%0000
SMU#30 (.23)43% (64)32.242% (93)2.9 (75)13444% (39)2833.89 (53)#9 (.03)40% (52)20.538% (18)43% (90)2.79 (12)70.81.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
SMU Defense1320.519.240.2%2.792.2 - - - - - 43%55%38%43%19%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Defense170700%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
SMU Offense1332.23642.6%3.891.5214171342834.443%55%42%44%17%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UC Davis10:000NAN%0%0000000100
SMU1326:5220.741%67%770.81.52.26.32.8327.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Offense10%0%000000%0%0
SMU Defense1343% (8)38% (18) - - - - -.08 (5)2.76 (46)59% (8)10% (45)0.78 (4)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
SMU Offense1343% (119)42% (93)30.8133.94.425 (70).11 (70)2.9 (75)79% (19)10% (74)1 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
SMU Defense1355% (130)43% (90) - - - - - - 18 (6).19 (42)1.5 (32)32% (57)33% (109).29 (68)8% (7)1.9 (44)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
SMU Offense1355% (20)44% (39)23.535.4283.1812.126 (14)13 (108).4 (23)1.6 (37)32% (72)32% (47).39 (37)7% (114)2.1 (34)

UC Davis's Power Ratings
UC Davis's Power Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UC Davis's 2026 Expected Record: -
UC Davis's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    SMU: 14.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    SMU: 13.4




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 14.17  #26
SMU's Offense Rating: 15.10  #33
SMU's Defense Rating: 10.16  #27
2026 Talent Rating: 758.00  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #42
SMU's 2026 Expected Record: 8.7 - 4.3
SMU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #23
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #22
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


UC Davis Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 70 PPG
Defense on Road: 70

UC Davis's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 41
UC Davis 27

Projected Total Points: 67
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU000 Overs
UC Davis000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#NR) UCD at (#26) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCDSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #26
SP+SP+NR #23
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #63
Blue ChipsBC%NR #42
UC Davis on Offense
CategoryCat
UCD OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #52
ExplosiveExpNR #27
PPAPPANR #9
PowerPwrNR #27
SP+SP+NR #25
Pts POPPONR #12
HavocHavNR #15
UC Davis Run Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #18
Run ExplRExpNR #4
PPAExpNR #5
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #46
Stuff RateStuffNR #23
TackleTak - NR
UC Davis Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #90
Pass ExplPExlNR #32
PPAExpNR #42
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #45
DB HavocDBNR #7
SMU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatSMU OffUCD Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #64NR
ExplosiveExp #15NR
PPAPPA #30NR
PowerPwr #33NR
SP+SP+ #22NR
Pts POPPO #53NR
HavocHav #99NR
SMU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCD Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #93NR
Run ExplRExp #56NR
PPAExp #70NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #75NR
Stuff RateStuff #82NR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatSMU OffUCD Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #39NR
Pass ExplPExl #37NR
PPAExp #23NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #74NR
DB HavocDB #114NR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

UCD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCD's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UC Davis's Full Roster

UCD's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Batson150010
Nate Rutchena111000
Marquis Bell30000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Batson150010
Nate Rutchena111000
Marquis Bell30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Batson150010
Nate Rutchena111000
Marquis Bell30000

SMU's OC Rob Likens (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings30045466%364126138.0
Charlie Fiser44100%30007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)233952134.133
Derrick McFall3518945.448
Dramekco Green259013.615
Kevin Jennings705440.826
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Yamir Knight54637511.861
Yannick Smith (Tr)44583513.359
Jalen Cooper19321216.975
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)3424517.242

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Booker693142
Alex Kilgore604002
Jarvis Lee Jr.5512442
Terry Webb467624
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terry Webb467624
Marques White (Tr)4311531
Jarvis Lee Jr.5512442
Ira Singleton (Tr)173360
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Miyazono445208
Marcellus Barnes Jr.322006
Terry Webb467624