Virginia Tech at SMU - 2026 Matchup Preview
Virginia Tech logo Virginia Tech Hokies at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Friday, November 6th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Gerald J. Ford Stadium - University Park, TX

 
Hokies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VT coming off BYE
SMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: SMU -16  (SP+ SMU -24)

Projected Score: VT: 18 - SMU: 34 (51)
SMU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
VT Travel: 973 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (38 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia Tech's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Virginia Tech vs VMI-21.5
Sat 9/12 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-3.5
Sat 9/19 Virginia Tech at Maryland+6.5
Sat 9/26 Virginia Tech at Boston College-0
Fri 10/2 Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh+7.5
Sat 10/10 Virginia Tech at California+5
Sat 10/17 Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech+6.5
Sat 10/24 Virginia Tech at Clemson+13.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/6 Virginia Tech at SMU+16
Sat 11/14 Virginia Tech vs Stanford-5.5
Fri 11/20 Virginia Tech at Miami+28
Sat 11/28 Virginia Tech vs Virginia+8

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
SMU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/7 SMU at Florida State-1.5
Sat 9/12 SMU vs UC Davis-35
Sat 9/19 SMU at Louisville+1.5
Sat 9/26 SMU vs Missouri State-31
Sat 10/3 SMU vs Boston College-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 SMU vs Virginia-6
Fri 10/23 SMU vs California-13.5
Fri 10/30 SMU at Syracuse-16.5
Fri 11/6 SMU vs Virginia Tech-16
Sat 11/14 SMU vs Wake Forest-8
Sat 11/21 SMU at Notre Dame+17.5
Sat 11/28 SMU at Stanford-14

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#70 (.17)42% (84)21.448% (24)3.33 (12)18334% (131)1663.68 (70)#131 (.28)46% (123)30.245% (101)47% (123)4.34 (126)64.31.30.5
SMU#30 (.23)43% (64)32.242% (93)2.9 (75)13444% (39)2833.89 (53)#9 (.03)40% (52)20.538% (18)43% (90)2.79 (12)70.81.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Offense1221.41641.6%3.681.319350183166555%43%48%34%17%.17
SMU Defense1320.519.240.2%2.792.2 - - - - - 43%55%38%43%19%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Defense1230.229.345.6%4.340.5 - - - - - 52%46%45%47%13%.28
SMU Offense1332.23642.6%3.891.5214171342834.443%55%42%44%17%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia Tech1229:1318.939%48%7.264.31.30.54.91.6026.8
SMU1326:5220.741%67%770.81.52.26.32.8327.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Offense1255% (27)48% (24)36.9183.2513 (107).2 (27)3.33 (12)70% (81)10% (95)0.97 (64)
SMU Defense1343% (8)38% (18) - - - - -.08 (5)2.76 (46)59% (8)10% (45)0.78 (4)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Defense1252% (95)45% (101) - - - - .18 (110)3.01 (95)80% (122)9% (103)0.98 (78)
SMU Offense1343% (119)42% (93)30.8133.94.425 (70).11 (70)2.9 (75)79% (19)10% (74)1 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Offense1243% (110)34% (131)1526.6166.36.311.117 (61)9 (60).15 (113)1.7 (21)33% (95)26% (110).33 (58)7% (95)2.1 (37)
SMU Defense1355% (130)43% (90) - - - - - - 18 (6).19 (42)1.5 (32)32% (57)33% (109).29 (68)8% (7)1.9 (44)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Defense1246% (41)47% (123) - - - - - - 4 (100).42 (129)1.5 (57)28% (118)34% (121).51 (135)5% (118)2.1 (99)
SMU Offense1355% (20)44% (39)23.535.4283.1812.126 (14)13 (108).4 (23)1.6 (37)32% (72)32% (47).39 (37)7% (114)2.1 (34)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 6.02  #38
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 15.48  #31
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 14.46  #50
2026 Talent Rating: 968.00  #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #54
Virginia Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Virginia Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1  #105
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #109
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 6.02   SMU: 14.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -10.1   SMU: 13.4




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 14.17  #26
SMU's Offense Rating: 15.10  #33
SMU's Defense Rating: 10.16  #27
2026 Talent Rating: 758.00  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #42
SMU's 2026 Expected Record: 8.7 - 4.3
SMU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #23
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #22
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 34
Virginia Tech 18


Projected Total Points: 51
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU000 Overs
Virginia Tech000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#38) VT at (#26) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVTSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #38 #26
SP+SP+ #105 #23
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #18 #63
Blue ChipsBC% #54 #42
Virginia Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #84 #52
ExplosiveExp #67 #27
PPAPPA #70 #9
PowerPwr #31 #27
SP+SP+ #109 #25
Pts POPPO #70 #12
HavocHav #94 #15
Virginia Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #24 #18
Run ExplRExp #64 #4
PPAExp #27 #5
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #12 #46
Stuff RateStuff #17 #23
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #131 #90
Pass ExplPExl #21 #32
PPAExp #113 #42
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #95 #45
DB HavocDB #95 #7
SMU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatSMU OffVT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #64 #123
ExplosiveExp #15 #67
PPAPPA #30 #131
PowerPwr #33 #50
SP+SP+ #22 #96
Pts POPPO #53 #126
HavocHav #99 #116
SMU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
SMU OffVT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #93 #101
Run ExplRExp #56 #78
PPAExp #70 #110
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #75 #95
Stuff RateStuff #82 #107
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatSMU OffVT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #39 #123
Pass ExplPExl #37 #57
PPAExp #23 #129
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #74 #103
DB HavocDB #114 #118
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
VT's OC Ty Howle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Grunkemeyer (Tr)12317869%1339847.5
Que'Sean Brown (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis (Tr)15876364.876
Marcellous Hawkins11874916.340
Jeffrey Overton Jr.2514615.838
Luke Reynolds (Tr)226013.026
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown (Tr)63842513.469
Ayden Greene31516316.667
Marlion Jackson (Tr)20370218.552
Luke Reynolds (Tr)2625709.922

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Brent Pry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaquez White (Tr)6741111
Kaleb Spencer679101
Cam Chadwick (Tr)663124
Kemari Copeland488510
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kemari Copeland488510
Elhadj Fall254320
Jason Abbey172200
Jaquez White (Tr)6741111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaquez White (Tr)6741111
Thomas Williams321006
Isaiah Brown-Murray392005

SMU's OC Rob Likens (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings30045466%364126138.0
Charlie Fiser44100%30007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)233952134.133
Derrick McFall3518945.448
Dramekco Green259013.615
Kevin Jennings705440.826
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Yamir Knight54637511.861
Yannick Smith (Tr)44583513.359
Jalen Cooper19321216.975
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)3424517.242

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Booker693142
Alex Kilgore604002
Jarvis Lee Jr.5512442
Terry Webb467624
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terry Webb467624
Marques White (Tr)4311531
Jarvis Lee Jr.5512442
Ira Singleton (Tr)173360
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Miyazono445208
Marcellus Barnes Jr.322006
Terry Webb467624