Stanford at California - 2026 Matchup Preview

Stanford Cardinal at California Golden Bears

Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
California Memorial Stadium - Berkeley, CA (ACC)

Cardinal (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tavita Pritchard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (13 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#88)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)

STAN 3rd straight Road Game
Our Line: California -10.5 (SP+ CAL -9)
Projected Score: STAN: 19 - CAL: 30 (49)
CAL Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
STAN Travel: 31 miles

Golden Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tosh Lupoi (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
STAN Players
CAL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	Stanford vs Hawai'i	+1
Fri 9/4	Stanford vs Miami	+26.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Stanford at Duke	+14.5
Sat 9/26	Stanford vs Georgia Tech	+11
Sat 10/3	Stanford at Wake Forest	+15
Sat 10/10	Stanford at Notre Dame	+34
Sat 10/17	Stanford vs Elon	-18.5
Fri 10/23	Stanford vs NC State	+10.5
Sat 10/31	Stanford at Louisville	+20
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Stanford at Virginia Tech	+7
Sat 11/21	Stanford at California	+10.5
Sat 11/28	Stanford vs SMU	+16.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

California's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	California vs UCLA	-2.5
Sat 9/12	California at Syracuse	-5.5
Sat 9/19	California vs Wagner	-26.5
Fri 9/25	California vs Clemson	+5.5
Sat 10/3	California at UNLV	+1.5
Sat 10/10	California vs Virginia Tech	-6
Sat 10/17	California vs Wake Forest	+2
Fri 10/23	California at SMU	+13.5
Fri 10/30	California at NC State	+8
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	California at Virginia	+10.5
Sat 11/21	California vs Stanford	-10.5
Sat 11/28	California vs Pittsburgh	+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	#120 (.06)	36% (127)	18.8	37% (126)	2.63 (121)	86	37% (117)	222	3.02 (122)	#73 (.17)	42% (80)	29.2	42% (70)	43% (84)	3.46 (51)	54.1	1.4	1.1
CAL	#98 (.12)	41% (95)	25.3	38% (119)	2.64 (120)	83	43% (57)	275	3.7 (66)	#71 (.17)	42% (79)	27.2	47% (118)	38% (34)	3.69 (71)	64.6	1.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	12	18.8	12.5	36.3%	3.02	1.4	17	308	86	222	2.6	46%	51%	37%	37%	17%	.06
CAL Defense	13	27.2	24.3	42.3%	3.69	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	47%	38%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	12	29.2	32.3	42.5%	3.46	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	42%	43%	15%	.17
CAL Offense	13	25.3	27.2	40.6%	3.7	1.2	20	358	83	275	2.8	39%	60%	38%	43%	16%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	12	29:49	17.4	38%	58%	6	54.1	1.4	1.1	4.9	1.9	1	25.4
California	13	30:14	19.9	40%	52%	7.8	64.6	1.2	1.1	4.6	1.5	0	27.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	12	46% (99)	37% (126)	32.3	85.5	2.6	8 (119)	-.03 (131)	2.63 (121)	82% (6)	10% (84)	0.75 (134)
CAL Defense	13	46% (27)	47% (118)	-	-	-	-	.21 (122)	3.32 (129)	85% (131)	8% (116)	0.98 (82)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	12	42% (2)	42% (70)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (11)	2.88 (69)	74% (89)	9% (99)	0.88 (25)
CAL Offense	13	39% (131)	38% (119)	29.6	82.5	2.8	21 (78)	-.04 (133)	2.64 (120)	70% (81)	10% (74)	0.89 (102)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	12	51% (46)	37% (117)	18.7	32.6	222	6.8	11.9	14 (106)	12 (60)	.2 (98)	1.5 (65)	33% (92)	25% (123)	.19 (113)	7% (117)	2 (82)
CAL Defense	13	51% (101)	38% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.14 (23)	1.4 (10)	32% (64)	26% (23)	.16 (15)	7% (22)	1.7 (9)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	12	57% (135)	43% (84)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.34 (110)	1.6 (84)	33% (39)	34% (117)	.35 (95)	6% (73)	2 (48)
CAL Offense	13	60% (6)	43% (57)	24.8	38.8	275.3	7.1	11.1	20 (61)	10 (119)	.23 (78)	1.5 (108)	32% (77)	33% (32)	.36 (49)	7% (105)	1.9 (113)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: 2.25 #71
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.32 #93
Stanford's Defense Rating: 12.07 #43
2026 Talent Rating: 894.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Stanford's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8 #112
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #117
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: 2.25 California: 5.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -11.8 California: -3.2

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 5.52 #41
California's Offense Rating: 17.12 #36
California's Defense Rating: 12.88 #49
2026 Talent Rating: 910.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #47
California's 2026 Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
California's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #80
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #77
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #72

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Stanford's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
California 30
Stanford 19

Projected Total Points: 49

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Stanford	31	California	10	California -4.5	Stanford	47.5	Under
2024	11/23	California	24	Stanford	21	California -15	Stanford	53.5	Under
2023	11/18	Stanford	15	California	27	California -6.5	California	52.5	Under
2022	11/19	California	27	Stanford	20	California -5	California	46.0	Over
2021	11/20	Stanford	11	California	41	California -2.5	California	46.0	Over
2020	11/27	California	23	Stanford	24	Stanford -2	California	51.0	Under
2019	11/23	Stanford	20	California	24	California -1	California	41.5	Over
2018	12/01	California	13	Stanford	23	Stanford -3	Stanford	46.5	Under
2017	11/18	Stanford	17	California	14	Stanford -14	California	56.5	Under
2016	11/19	California	31	Stanford	45	Stanford -11	Stanford	60.5	Over
2015	11/21	Stanford	35	California	22	Stanford -12.5	Stanford	63.0	Under
2014	11/22	California	17	Stanford	38	Stanford -6.5	Stanford	0
2013	11/23	Stanford	63	California	13	Stanford -28.5	Stanford	0
2012	10/20	California	3	Stanford	21
2011	11/19	Stanford	31	California	28
2010	11/20	California	14	Stanford	48
2009	11/21	Stanford	28	California	34
2008	11/22	California	37	Stanford	16
2007	12/01	Stanford	20	California	13
2006	12/02	California	26	Stanford	17
2005	11/19	Stanford	3	California	27
2004	11/20	California	41	Stanford	6
2003	11/22	Stanford	16	California	28
2001	11/17	Stanford	35	California	28
2000	11/17	California	30	Stanford	36

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
California	11	6	4 Overs
Stanford	14	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	5 - 8	3 - 2	2 - 6
Road Teams	13 - 12	8 - 5	6 - 2	2 - 3

(#71) STAN at (#41) CAL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STAN	CAL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#71	#41
SP+SP+	#112	#80
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#36	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	#39	#47

Stanford Notes(2/17) Vibes: Low, love GM Luck but no NIL/portals
(2/24) HC Pritchard was OC w Shaw when era fell off
(2/7) Def should improve, but this Offense is ass
(2/6) OC Heffernan (UVA OL) 1st time calling plays
(2/6) Who is QB? Rizk (UCF), Warren (UM) have exp
(2/6) RB Ford back, huge retain. Depth has some talent
(2/6) WR not great. Can Nico Brown (Yale) boost unit?
(2/6) OL a disaster LY. Most back, can they improve?
(2/6) Front 7 has some nice parts, LB Rose a great one
(2/6) Secondary should improve, decent CB duo
Stanford Injury Report

California Notes(3/3) Vibes: Excited, Lupoi era, JKS back, great portal
(3/3) DL 8 portals, lots of mild exp but big potential
(2/6) QB retaining JKS a tremedous boost to Lupoi era
(2/6) RB 3 portals all w 440+ yds LY. Who emerges?
(2/6) WR 2 big portals Hendricks+Strong, v good TEs
(2/6) OL has lots of ?, 5 portals most w meh grades
(2/6) LB also a ?, 3 portals, exp but not much prod
(2/6) CB talented portal adds but very limited exp
(2/6) New staff w/ Lupoi. Hands full w Def roster
(2/6) S most settled pos on Def. Good adds/options
(2/6) OOC vs UCLA, @ UNLV is ambitious
California Injury Report

Stanford on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	CAL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#127	#79
ExplosiveExp	#103	#31
PPAPPA	#120	#71
PowerPwr	#93	#49
SP+SP+	#117	#72
Pts POPPO	#122	#71
HavocHav	#105	#80

Stanford Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#126	#118
Run ExplRExp	#134	#82
PPAExp	#131	#122
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#121	#129
Stuff RateStuff	#63	#134
TackleTak	-	NR

Stanford Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#117	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#65	#10
PPAExp	#98	#23
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#84	#116
DB HavocDB	#117	#22

California on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	CAL Off	STAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#95	#80
ExplosiveExp	#65	#94
PPAPPA	#98	#73
PowerPwr	#36	#43
SP+SP+	#77	#78
Pts POPPO	#66	#51
HavocHav	#91	#94

California Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	CAL Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#119	#70
Run ExplRExp	#102	#25
PPAExp	#133	#11
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#120	#69
Stuff RateStuff	#58	#90
TackleTak	-	NR

California Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	CAL Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#57	#84
Pass ExplPExl	#108	#84
PPAExp	#78	#110
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#74	#99
DB HavocDB	#105	#73

Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Stanford beat California last year (31-10)
California beat Stanford in 2024 (24-21)
California beat Stanford in 2023 (27-15)

STAN's OC Terry Heffernan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Charlie Mirer	2	3	67%	22	1	0	7.3
Micah Ford	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Ford	145	643	4	4.4	75
Sedrick Irvin	41	118	1	2.9	15
Tuna Altahir	15	55	0	3.7	9
Caleb Hampton	11	29	0	2.6	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nico Brown (Tr)	71	1085	11	15.3	64
Caden High	37	414	1	11.2	34
Micah Ford	11	119	0	10.8	54
Benjamin Blackburn	9	109	1	12.1	26

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Kris Richard (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matt Rose	106	8	3	3	3
Scotty Edwards	54	4	3	1	1
Jahsiah Galvan	50	2	0	1	2
Jaivion Green	38	3	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matt Rose	106	8	3	3	3
Ernest Cooper	23	5	3	0	1
Scotty Edwards	54	4	3	1	1
Zach Johnson	28	3	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaivion Green	38	3	0	1	6
Brandon Nicholson	27	1	1	0	6
Matt Rose	106	8	3	3	3

CAL's OC Jordan Somerville (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele	315	491	64%	3446	18	9	7.0
Jackson Brousseau (Tr)	128	201	64%	1354	9	3	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashten Emory (Tr)	119	569	4	4.8	56
Adam Mohammed (Tr)	106	523	5	4.9	25
Carter Vargas (Tr)	67	445	5	6.6	50
Byron Cardwell	48	267	1	5.6	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Hendricks (Tr)	71	1037	7	14.6	67
Ian Strong (Tr)	52	762	5	14.7	45
Dorian Thomas (Tr)	56	560	4	10.0	34
Mason Mini	35	387	4	11.1	51

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Michael Hutchings (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Sidney	47	5	1	1	3
Aiden Manutai	44	2	0	1	2
Aaron Hampton	41	1	1	0	0
Jasiah Wagoner	28	1	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Wayne	26	5	3	5	0
Joshua Pierce (Tr)	14	2	2	1	0
Cameron Sidney	47	5	1	1	3
Aaron Hampton	41	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Derek Wilkins	12	0	0	1	8
Cameron Sidney	47	5	1	1	3
Isaiah Crosby	24	1	0	0	3