Miami at Stanford - 2026 Matchup Preview
Miami logo Miami Hurricanes at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Friday, September 4th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Stanford Stadium - Stanford, CA

 
Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (35 - 19)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Miami -26  (SP+ MIAMI -32.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 37 - STAN: 11 (47)
MIAMI Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%
MIAMI Travel: 2566 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tavita Pritchard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Miami at Stanford-26
Thu 9/10 Miami vs Florida A&M-47
Fri 9/18 Miami at Wake Forest-15
Sat 9/26 Miami vs Central Michigan-35.5
Sat 10/3 Miami at Clemson-12
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Miami vs Florida State-18
Sat 10/24 Miami vs Pittsburgh-17.5
Sat 10/31 Miami at North Carolina-22
Sat 11/7 Miami at Notre Dame+6
Sat 11/14 Miami vs Duke-21.5
Fri 11/20 Miami vs Virginia Tech-28
Sat 11/28 Miami vs Boston College-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Stanford's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Stanford vs Hawai'i-3
Fri 9/4 Stanford vs Miami+26
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Stanford at Duke+11.5
Sat 9/26 Stanford vs Georgia Tech+9.5
Sat 10/3 Stanford at Wake Forest+13.5
Sat 10/10 Stanford at Notre Dame+34
Sat 10/17 Stanford vs Elon-18.5
Fri 10/23 Stanford vs NC State+9.5
Sat 10/31 Stanford at Louisville+18
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Stanford at Virginia Tech+5.5
Sat 11/21 Stanford at California+8
Sat 11/28 Stanford vs SMU+14

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#35 (.22)46% (23)30.945% (58)3.13 (35)14549% (10)2394.36 (24)#14 (.05)37% (15)14.836% (10)38% (28)2.51 (5)53.50.91.6
STAN#120 (.06)36% (127)18.837% (126)2.63 (121)8637% (117)2223.02 (122)#73 (.17)42% (80)29.242% (70)43% (84)3.46 (51)54.11.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1630.92646.4%4.360.9213841452394.350%48%45%49%12%.22
STAN Defense1229.22642.5%3.461.1 - - - - - 42%57%42%43%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1614.81536.6%2.511.6 - - - - - 43%55%36%38%19%.05
STAN Offense1218.825.236.3%3.021.417308862222.646%51%37%37%17%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1631:3520.948%67%6.653.50.91.662.9330.2
Stanford1229:4917.438%58%654.11.41.14.91.9125.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1650% (62)45% (58)33.9144.94.326 (40).09 (76)3.13 (35)83% (4)6% (4)0.8 (128)
STAN Defense1242% (2)42% (70) - - - - -.02 (11)2.88 (69)74% (89)9% (99)0.88 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1643% (4)36% (10) - - - - .01 (16)2.58 (14)73% (80)12% (15)1.01 (94)
STAN Offense1246% (99)37% (126)32.385.52.68 (119)-.03 (131)2.63 (121)82% (6)10% (84)0.75 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1648% (79)49% (10)2129238.78.211.431 (61)11 (108).43 (13)1.5 (88)26% (8)32% (44).37 (42)6% (65)2.1 (59)
STAN Defense1257% (135)43% (84) - - - - - - 3 (132).34 (110)1.6 (84)33% (39)34% (117).35 (95)6% (73)2 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1655% (131)38% (28) - - - - - - 16 (55).13 (21)1.5 (29)36% (13)28% (50).21 (29)7% (15)1.9 (29)
STAN Offense1251% (46)37% (117)18.732.62226.811.914 (106)12 (60).2 (98)1.5 (65)33% (92)25% (123).19 (113)7% (117)2 (82)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 26.01  #5
Miami's Offense Rating: 22.96  #9
Miami's Defense Rating: 1.95  #6
2026 Talent Rating: 1036.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 55%  #9
Miami's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7  #9
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #22
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 26.01   Stanford: -2.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 20.7   Stanford: -11.8




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -2.475  #58
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.06  #77
Stanford's Defense Rating: 12.21  #35
2026 Talent Rating: 866.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #42
Stanford's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Stanford's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8  #112
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4  #117
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Miami's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 37
Stanford 11

Projected Total Points: 47
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Miami42Stanford7Miami -28.5Miami45.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford001 Overs
Miami110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#5) MIAMI at (#58) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMISTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #5 #58
SP+SP+ #9 #112
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #7 #32
Blue ChipsBC% #9 #42
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #23 #80
ExplosiveExp #126 #94
PPAPPA #35 #73
PowerPwr #9 #35
SP+SP+ #22 #78
Pts POPPO #24 #51
HavocHav #13 #94
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffSTAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #58 #70
Run ExplRExp #128 #25
PPAExp #76 #11
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #35 #69
Stuff RateStuff #16 #90
TackleTak - NR
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #10 #84
Pass ExplPExl #88 #84
PPAExp #13 #110
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #4 #99
DB HavocDB #65 #73
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatSTAN OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #127 #15
ExplosiveExp #103 #81
PPAPPA #120 #14
PowerPwr #77 #6
SP+SP+ #117 #7
Pts POPPO #122 #5
HavocHav #105 #13
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
STAN OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #126 #10
Run ExplRExp #134 #94
PPAExp #131 #16
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #121 #14
Stuff RateStuff #63 #49
TackleTak - NR
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatSTAN OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #117 #28
Pass ExplPExl #65 #29
PPAExp #98 #21
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #84 #15
DB HavocDB #117 #15
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Miami beat Stanford last year (42-7)

  
MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah33450067%39733467.9
Malachi Toney4757%822011.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.2161192125.557
CharMar Brown12246073.813
Girard Pringle Jr.6237546.038
Malachi Toney2311314.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney10912111011.161
Vandrevious Jacobs32548417.174
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446
Elija Lofton2321839.529

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure843216
Omar Thornton (Tr)828211
Zechariah Poyser683115
Xavier Lucas452118
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.2299132
Ahmad Moten319540
Marquise Lightfoot256361
Armondo Blount173361
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Lucas452118
OJ Frederique Jr.190007
Mohamed Toure843216

STAN's OC Terry Heffernan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Ford010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford14564344.475
Sedrick Irvin4111812.915
Caleb Hampton112902.68
Caden High2-50-2.52
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden High37414111.234
Micah Ford11119010.854
Benjamin Blackburn9109112.126
Marcus Brown128617.221

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Kris Richard (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose1068333
Scotty Edwards544311
Jahsiah Galvan502012
Jaivion Green383016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ernest Cooper235301
Matt Rose1068333
Scotty Edwards544311
Tevarua Tafiti327261
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Nicholson271106
Jaivion Green383016
Matt Rose1068333