Alabama at LSU - 2026 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Tiger Stadium - Baton Rouge, LA

 
Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (20 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#10)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA coming off BYE
LSU coming off BYE
Our Line: LSU -2  (SP+ ALA -4.5)

Projected Score: ALA: 22 - LSU: 24 (46)
LSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
ALA Travel: 288 miles
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 5.3 (#58)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Alabama vs East Carolina-18.5
Sat 9/12 Alabama at Kentucky-12.5
Sat 9/19 Alabama vs Florida State-12.5
Sat 9/26 Alabama vs South Carolina-11
Sat 10/3 Alabama at Mississippi State-9
Sat 10/10 Alabama vs Georgia+6.5
Sat 10/17 Alabama at Tennessee+0.5
Sat 10/24 Alabama vs Texas A&M+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Alabama at LSU+2
Sat 11/14 Alabama at Vanderbilt+1.5
Sat 11/21 Alabama vs Chattanooga-41.5
Sat 11/28 Alabama vs Auburn-7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
LSU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 LSU vs Clemson-11
Sat 9/12 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-25.5
Sat 9/19 LSU at Ole Miss+6
Sat 9/26 LSU vs Texas A&M+3.5
Sat 10/3 LSU vs McNeese-40.5
Sat 10/10 LSU at Kentucky-12
Sat 10/17 LSU vs Mississippi State-13
Sat 10/24 LSU at Auburn-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 LSU vs Alabama-2
Sat 11/14 LSU vs Texas+2
Sat 11/21 LSU at Tennessee+1
Sat 11/28 LSU at Arkansas-11

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#48 (.2)43% (62)29.540% (103)2.73 (109)10445% (33)2644.04 (38)#27 (.08)38% (23)19.239% (31)38% (33)3.65 (66)39.40.91.3
LSU#121 (.06)39% (108)22.837% (122)2.46 (132)10541% (84)2303.35 (104)#28 (.08)39% (30)19.839% (34)39% (44)3.25 (32)59.31.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.342.7%4.040.9203681042643.443%56%40%45%14%.2
LSU Defense1319.816.938.8%3.251.6 - - - - - 48%51%39%39%17%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.737.9%3.651.3 - - - - - 50%48%39%38%18%.08
LSU Offense1322.825.738.9%3.351.1193341052303.742%56%37%41%18%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1531:3420.342%61%4.539.40.91.35.72.2330.3
LSU1330:1518.837%62%759.31.11.65.22.1229.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1543% (118)40% (103)31104.23.421 (99).02 (115)2.73 (109)67% (100)8% (33)0.83 (122)
LSU Defense1348% (43)39% (34) - - - - .01 (18)2.59 (15)64% (18)9% (93)0.9 (40)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1550% (74)39% (31) - - - - .1 (66)2.81 (53)75% (101)11% (19)1 (91)
LSU Offense1342% (122)37% (122)28.6104.83.710 (107).01 (121)2.46 (132)64% (115)11% (116)0.92 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1556% (15)45% (33)22.934.9263.57.611.532 (2)5 (3).35 (37)1.6 (54)30% (49)33% (30).4 (29)5% (42)2 (72)
LSU Defense1351% (105)39% (44) - - - - - - 17 (22).18 (39)1.6 (71)34% (29)29% (60).22 (37)8% (11)1.9 (46)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1548% (60)38% (33) - - - - - - 11 (31).11 (17)1.5 (50)35% (19)28% (46).25 (53)6% (47)2 (72)
LSU Offense1356% (14)41% (84)22.434.1229.56.710.320 (50)7 (60).18 (105)1.4 (109)36% (129)31% (69).23 (96)7% (99)1.9 (96)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 20.70  #13
Alabama's Offense Rating: 18.92  #18
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.22  #13
2026 Talent Rating: 1016.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Alabama's 2026 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #20
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #36
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 20.70   LSU: 19.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 14.8   LSU: 10.3




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 19.69  #11
LSU's Offense Rating: 21.13  #13
LSU's Defense Rating: 2.05  #7
2026 Talent Rating: 1054.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 71  #4
LSU's 2026 Expected Record: 7.7 - 5.3
LSU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #32
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #75
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 24
Alabama 22


Projected Total Points: 46
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Alabama20LSU9Alabama -10.5Alabama49.5Under
202411/09LSU13Alabama42Alabama -2.5Alabama57.5Under
202311/04Alabama42LSU28Alabama -3Alabama61.5Over
202211/05LSU32Alabama31Alabama -13.5LSU56.5Over
202111/06Alabama20LSU14Alabama -29.5LSU66.5Under
202012/05LSU17Alabama55Alabama -29Alabama64.5Over
201911/09Alabama41LSU46Alabama -5LSU65.5Over
201811/03LSU0Alabama29Alabama -14Alabama51.5Under
201711/04Alabama24LSU10Alabama -20.5LSU45.5Under
201611/05LSU0Alabama10Alabama -7Alabama46.0Under
201511/07Alabama30LSU16Alabama -7Alabama47.0Under
201411/08LSU13Alabama20Alabama -6Alabama0
201311/09Alabama38LSU17Alabama -9.5Alabama0
201211/03LSU17Alabama21
201111/05Alabama6LSU9
201101/09LSU0Alabama21
201011/06LSU24Alabama21
200911/07Alabama24LSU15
200811/08LSU21Alabama27
200711/03Alabama34LSU41
200611/11LSU28Alabama14
200511/12Alabama13LSU16
200411/13LSU26Alabama10
200311/15Alabama3LSU27
200111/03Alabama21LSU35
200011/03LSU30Alabama28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1144 Overs
Alabama1597 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 84 - 31 - 5
Road Teams14 - 128 - 55 - 13 - 4

(#13) ALA at (#11) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALALSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #13 #11
SP+SP+ #20 #32
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #11 #6
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #4
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #62 #30
ExplosiveExp #50 #60
PPAPPA #48 #28
PowerPwr #18 #7
SP+SP+ #36 #11
Pts POPPO #38 #32
HavocHav #39 #40
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #34
Run ExplRExp #122 #40
PPAExp #115 #18
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #109 #15
Stuff RateStuff #109 #9
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #44
Pass ExplPExl #54 #71
PPAExp #37 #39
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #33 #93
DB HavocDB #42 #11
LSU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #108 #23
ExplosiveExp #91 #61
PPAPPA #121 #27
PowerPwr #13 #13
SP+SP+ #75 #11
Pts POPPO #104 #66
HavocHav #113 #26
LSU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #122 #31
Run ExplRExp #87 #91
PPAExp #121 #66
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #132 #53
Stuff RateStuff #133 #66
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #84 #33
Pass ExplPExl #109 #50
PPAExp #105 #17
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #19
DB HavocDB #99 #47
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Down to Average P4

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (20-9)
Alabama beat LSU in 2024 (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)

  
ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Mack243275%228207.1
Keelon Russell111573%143209.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hill7528463.830
Kevin Riley5922423.822
AK Dear1914037.456
Austin Mack92212.420
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams49689414.175
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853
Noah Rogers (Tr)31413213.348
Daniel Hill2820317.341

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard745218
Caleb Woodson (Tr)573011
Keon Sabb523213
Yhonzae Pierre5215881
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre5215881
Devan Thompkins (Tr)307312
Brayson Hubbard745218
Keon Sabb523213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard745218
Zabien Brown393006
Dijon Lee Jr.325005

LSU's OC Charlie Weis Jr (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)14523961%16281036.8
Husan Longstreet (Tr)131587%103106.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trey Holly16283095.180
Caden Durham11150534.551
Harlem Berry10449124.743
Sam Leavitt (Tr)7330654.252
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Harris (Tr)499631219.778
Tre' Brown III (Tr)38762420.198
Jayce Brown (Tr)41712517.478
Trey'Dez Green33433713.142

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield (Tr)1059013
TJ Dottery (Tr)986212
Davhon Keys894162
Tamarcus Cooley702012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)45139131
Stephiylan Green (Tr)183311
Jordan Ross (Tr)244222
Dylan Carpenter93200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
P.J. Woodland382128
Ty Benefield (Tr)1059013
DJ Pickett353203