LSU at Kentucky - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Commonwealth Stadium - Lexington, KY

Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 5.3 (#58)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK is playing their 6th straight game
LSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: LSU -12 (SP+ LSU -8.5)
Projected Score: LSU: 29 - UK: 17 (46)
LSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
LSU Travel: 649 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Will Stein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	LSU vs Clemson	-11
Sat 9/12	LSU vs Louisiana Tech	-25.5
Sat 9/19	LSU at Ole Miss	+6
Sat 9/26	LSU vs Texas A&M	+3.5
Sat 10/3	LSU vs McNeese	-40.5
Sat 10/10	LSU at Kentucky	-12
Sat 10/17	LSU vs Mississippi State	-13
Sat 10/24	LSU at Auburn	-2
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	LSU vs Alabama	-2
Sat 11/14	LSU vs Texas	+2
Sat 11/21	LSU at Tennessee	+1
Sat 11/28	LSU at Arkansas	-11

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Kentucky's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-26
Sat 9/12	Kentucky vs Alabama	+12.5
Sat 9/19	Kentucky at Texas A&M	+23
Sat 9/26	Kentucky vs South Alabama	-17
Sat 10/3	Kentucky at South Carolina	+9
Sat 10/10	Kentucky vs LSU	+12
Sat 10/17	Kentucky at Oklahoma	+20
Sat 10/24	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	+11.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Kentucky at Tennessee	+15.5
Sat 11/14	Kentucky vs Florida	+4
Sat 11/21	Kentucky at Missouri	+17
Sat 11/28	Kentucky vs Louisville	+5.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	#121 (.06)	39% (108)	22.8	37% (122)	2.46 (132)	105	41% (84)	230	3.35 (104)	#28 (.08)	39% (30)	19.8	39% (34)	39% (44)	3.25 (32)	59.3	1.1	1.6
UK	#115 (.08)	42% (81)	23	45% (53)	3.05 (51)	139	40% (96)	202	3.84 (57)	#85 (.18)	44% (97)	26.4	44% (84)	45% (112)	3.98 (99)	41	1.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	13	22.8	16.4	38.9%	3.35	1.1	19	334	105	230	3.7	42%	56%	37%	41%	18%	.06
UK Defense	12	26.4	22.6	43.7%	3.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	45%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	13	19.8	20.4	38.8%	3.25	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	39%	39%	17%	.08
UK Offense	12	23	31.7	41.6%	3.84	1.8	20	341	139	202	3.9	51%	47%	45%	40%	18%	.08

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	13	30:15	18.8	37%	62%	7	59.3	1.1	1.6	5.2	2.1	2	29.8
Kentucky	12	30:38	19.7	40%	52%	4.9	41	1.8	1.2	5.8	2.1	0	29.6

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	13	42% (122)	37% (122)	28.6	104.8	3.7	10 (107)	.01 (121)	2.46 (132)	64% (115)	11% (116)	0.92 (87)
UK Defense	12	52% (94)	44% (84)	-	-	-	-	.09 (63)	2.89 (71)	68% (44)	10% (57)	0.9 (41)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	13	48% (43)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	.01 (18)	2.59 (15)	64% (18)	9% (93)	0.9 (40)
UK Offense	12	51% (52)	45% (53)	35.9	139.3	3.9	19 (70)	.06 (98)	3.05 (51)	70% (84)	11% (111)	0.82 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	13	56% (14)	41% (84)	22.4	34.1	229.5	6.7	10.3	20 (50)	7 (60)	.18 (105)	1.4 (109)	36% (129)	31% (69)	.23 (96)	7% (99)	1.9 (96)
UK Defense	12	46% (37)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.31 (99)	1.5 (64)	30% (91)	31% (85)	.31 (76)	5% (110)	2 (53)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	13	51% (105)	39% (44)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (22)	.18 (39)	1.6 (71)	34% (29)	29% (60)	.22 (37)	8% (11)	1.9 (46)
UK Offense	12	47% (85)	40% (96)	19.1	30.6	201.9	6.6	10.6	15 (128)	14 (60)	.19 (101)	1.6 (59)	31% (62)	26% (113)	.02 (134)	7% (95)	1.7 (131)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 24.08 #11
LSU's Offense Rating: 21.13 #13
LSU's Defense Rating: 2.05 #7
2026 Talent Rating: 1054.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #4
LSU's 2026 Expected Record: 7.7 - 5.3
LSU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #32
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #75
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 24.08 Kentucky: 5.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 10.3 Kentucky: 1.8

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 5.19 #51
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 13.98 #42
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 15.40 #57
2026 Talent Rating: 826.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kentucky's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #66
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 29
Kentucky 17

Projected Total Points: 46

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	10/09	Kentucky	42	LSU	21	Kentucky -2	Kentucky	50.5	Over
2014	10/18	LSU	41	Kentucky	3	LSU -11	LSU	0
2011	10/01	LSU	35	Kentucky	7
2007	10/13	Kentucky	43	LSU	37
2006	10/14	LSU	49	Kentucky	0
2002	11/09	Kentucky	30	LSU	33
2001	10/13	Kentucky	25	LSU	29
2000	10/13	LSU	34	Kentucky	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	2	1	1 Overs
LSU	6	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 2	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 6	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#11) LSU at (#51) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LSU	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#11	#51
SP+SP+	#32	#66
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#6	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	#4	#23

LSU Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

LSU on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#108	#97
ExplosiveExp	#91	#57
PPAPPA	#121	#85
PowerPwr	#13	#57
SP+SP+	#75	#48
Pts POPPO	#104	#99
HavocHav	#113	#93

LSU Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#122	#84
Run ExplRExp	#87	#41
PPAExp	#121	#63
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#132	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#133	#53
TackleTak	-	NR

LSU Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#84	#112
Pass ExplPExl	#109	#64
PPAExp	#105	#99
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#116	#57
DB HavocDB	#99	#110

Kentucky on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	LSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#81	#30
ExplosiveExp	#128	#60
PPAPPA	#115	#28
PowerPwr	#42	#7
SP+SP+	#80	#11
Pts POPPO	#57	#32
HavocHav	#110	#40

Kentucky Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#53	#34
Run ExplRExp	#124	#40
PPAExp	#98	#18
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#15
Stuff RateStuff	#51	#9
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#96	#44
Pass ExplPExl	#59	#71
PPAExp	#101	#39
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#111	#93
DB HavocDB	#95	#11

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LSU's OC Charlie Weis Jr (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)	145	239	61%	1628	10	3	6.8
Husan Longstreet (Tr)	13	15	87%	103	1	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trey Holly	162	830	9	5.1	80
Caden Durham	111	505	3	4.5	51
Harlem Berry	104	491	2	4.7	43
Sam Leavitt (Tr)	73	306	5	4.2	52

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Harris (Tr)	49	963	12	19.7	78
Tre' Brown III (Tr)	38	762	4	20.1	98
Jayce Brown (Tr)	41	712	5	17.4	78
Trey'Dez Green	33	433	7	13.1	42

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Benefield (Tr)	105	9	0	1	3
TJ Dottery (Tr)	98	6	2	1	2
Davhon Keys	89	4	1	6	2
Tamarcus Cooley	70	2	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)	45	13	9	13	1
Stephiylan Green (Tr)	18	3	3	1	1
Jordan Ross (Tr)	24	4	2	2	2
Dylan Carpenter	9	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
P.J. Woodland	38	2	1	2	8
Ty Benefield (Tr)	105	9	0	1	3
DJ Pickett	35	3	2	0	3

UK's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	20	26	77%	196	0	0	7.5
JacQai Long (Tr)	6	18	33%	31	0	0	1.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jason Patterson	57	225	1	3.9	29
CJ Baxter Jr.	54	196	0	3.6	18
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	7	84	1	12.0	34
Jovantae Barnes (Tr)	19	45	1	2.4	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Willie Rodriguez	23	310	1	13.5	53
Josh Kattus	17	195	2	11.5	34
Xavier Daisy (Tr)	18	177	1	9.8	21
DJ Miller	13	175	2	13.5	56

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Bryant	76	2	0	0	1
Jordan Castell (Tr)	54	0	0	2	0
Grant Godfrey	34	2	1	1	0
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2
Tavion Gadson	28	4	3	3	0
Lorenzo Cowan	13	5	3	0	0
Jamarrion Harkless (Tr)	13	2	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Terhyon Nichols	18	1	0	2	4
Grant Grayton	16	0	0	0	3
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2