Bowling Green at Iowa State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Iowa State Cyclones

Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Jack Trice Stadium - Ames, IA

Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Iowa State -22.5 (SP+ ISU -23)
Projected Score: BGSU: 13 - ISU: 36 (49)
ISU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
BGSU Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#49)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
ISU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	Bowling Green at Nebraska	+21.5
Sat 9/19	Bowling Green at Iowa State	+22.5
Sat 9/26	Bowling Green vs South Florida	+18

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Iowa State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State	-31
Sat 9/12	Iowa State at Iowa	+12
Sat 9/19	Iowa State vs Bowling Green	-22.5
Sat 9/26	Iowa State vs Utah	+8
Sat 10/3	Iowa State vs West Virginia	-9.5
Sat 10/10	Iowa State at BYU	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Iowa State at Arizona	+4.5
Sat 10/31	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-12.5
Sat 11/7	Iowa State at Baylor	-0.5
Sat 11/14	Iowa State vs Cincinnati	-7
Sat 11/21	Iowa State at UCF	-0.5
Sat 11/28	Iowa State vs Kansas State	-2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#128 (.02)	36% (128)	20.5	37% (125)	2.88 (78)	156	35% (124)	151	3.19 (118)	#61 (.15)	41% (56)	24.3	39% (40)	42% (68)	3.44 (48)	61	1.2	1.3
ISU	#60 (.19)	45% (43)	27.4	46% (45)	3 (59)	174	44% (43)	221	3.54 (85)	#32 (.09)	39% (43)	20.2	40% (42)	40% (53)	3.06 (20)	40	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	24	35.6%	3.19	1.2	17	307	156	151	4	58%	40%	37%	35%	16%	.02
ISU Defense	12	20.2	18.8	39.4%	3.06	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	40%	40%	17%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	29	40.6%	3.44	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	42%	19%	.15
ISU Offense	12	27.4	32.3	44.7%	3.54	1.2	21	396	174	221	4.4	54%	45%	46%	44%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	31:18	16.6	37%	42%	6.7	61	1.2	1.3	6.2	1.8	1	31
Iowa State	12	31:34	21.1	40%	68%	4.6	40	1.2	1.5	5	1.1	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	58% (15)	37% (125)	39.3	155.5	4	13 (119)	.03 (112)	2.88 (78)	58% (133)	10% (95)	0.95 (76)
ISU Defense	12	47% (42)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.01 (17)	2.79 (49)	70% (56)	10% (65)	0.83 (11)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	53% (105)	39% (40)	-	-	-	-	.06 (48)	2.74 (40)	59% (9)	13% (8)	1.06 (116)
ISU Offense	12	54% (35)	46% (45)	39.8	174.2	4.4	23 (30)	.15 (48)	3 (59)	69% (90)	8% (36)	0.93 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	40% (122)	35% (124)	13.8	23.8	151.3	6.4	10.9	13 (106)	12 (119)	.07 (129)	1.6 (47)	34% (110)	25% (121)	.19 (114)	6% (65)	2.1 (50)
ISU Defense	12	50% (92)	40% (53)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (38)	.24 (67)	1.6 (74)	33% (45)	29% (62)	.23 (47)	7% (28)	1.7 (3)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	46% (34)	42% (68)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.28 (82)	1.6 (95)	33% (49)	31% (86)	.32 (79)	7% (43)	2.1 (85)
ISU Offense	12	45% (101)	44% (43)	17.5	28.8	221.4	7.7	12.7	16 (86)	9 (20)	.29 (52)	1.6 (55)	30% (48)	31% (68)	.21 (100)	6% (81)	2.1 (42)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -13.04 #124
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 2.49 #129
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 20.53 #106
2026 Talent Rating: 560.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Bowling Green's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Bowling Green's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #113
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #83

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 546.62
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.04 Iowa State: 9.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -12.6 Iowa State: 9.9

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.84 #57
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 11.71 #79
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 11.93 #42
2026 Talent Rating: 752.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #103
Iowa State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Iowa State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #33
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #63
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 36
Bowling Green 13

Projected Total Points: 49

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa State	0	0	0 Overs
Bowling Green	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#124) BGSU at (#57) ISU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	ISU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#124	#57
SP+SP+	#113	#33
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#106	#68
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#103

Bowling Green Notes(3/4) Vibes: Hopeful, George popular, can bowl TY
(3/4) QB Novosad a huge get, big talent for MAC QB
(3/4) RB duo of Dendy & Baldwin (FCS) looks decent
(3/4) WR really need FCS portals or depth to hit
(3/4) OL looks rough, only 2 with PT exp. Some depth
(3/4) DL has some exp, has size. DE's can rush some
(3/4) DBs look strong, even better if FCS portals hit
Bowling Green Injury Report

Iowa State Notes(2/17) Vibes: OK for a team w new staff, 70 new players
(2/10) 13 portal starters tops in CFB, 13 exp'd depth too
(2/9) OC Roehl recently NFL, was NDSU's OC for 4 yrs
(2/9) HC Rogers at Wazzu for 1 year, SDSU previously
(2/9) QB Raynor (Ark St) decent, mobile, must limit TOs
(2/9) RBs are pretty green and young. Unclear
(2/9) WR built by 5 portals, most G5. Hayes (Tul) good
(2/9) OL 10 portals. Most exp'd are G5s. TBD
(2/9) Def 24 portals. DBs look good. Need more info
Iowa State Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	ISU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#128	#43
ExplosiveExp	#82	#51
PPAPPA	#128	#32
PowerPwr	#129	#42
SP+SP+	#128	#25
Pts POPPO	#118	#20
HavocHav	#80	#46

Bowling Green Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#125	#42
Run ExplRExp	#76	#11
PPAExp	#112	#17
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#78	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#36
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#124	#53
Pass ExplPExl	#47	#74
PPAExp	#129	#67
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#95	#65
DB HavocDB	#65	#28

Iowa State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#43	#56
ExplosiveExp	#92	#105
PPAPPA	#60	#61
PowerPwr	#79	#106
SP+SP+	#63	#83
Pts POPPO	#85	#48
HavocHav	#54	#12

Iowa State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#45	#40
Run ExplRExp	#82	#116
PPAExp	#48	#48
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#40
Stuff RateStuff	#57	#8
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#43	#68
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#95
PPAExp	#52	#82
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#36	#8
DB HavocDB	#81	#43

Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hunter Najm	33	66	50%	473	5	4	7.2
Austin Novosad (Tr)	1	2	50%	40	0	0	20.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ke'Marion Baldwin (Tr)	159	778	6	4.9	89
Austyn Dendy	108	493	5	4.6	24
Isaiah Dawson (Tr)	11	136	1	12.4	42
Nakai Amachree	7	22	0	3.1	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Dawson (Tr)	42	575	4	13.7	67
Nicholas Sowell	21	247	1	11.8	26
Brennan Ridley	4	110	1	27.5	87
Austyn Dendy	4	64	1	16.0	27

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Brandon Fisher (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kal-El Pascal	80	4	0	5
Armahn Hale (Tr)	44	4	0	1
Preston EstoEsta	29	1	0	1
Dorian Pringle	27	6	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Myles Bradley	20	6	5	7
Eriq George	26	5	4	2
Andrew Hines III	22	4	1	1
Dorian Pringle	27	6	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
JoJo Johnson	22	0	13
Kal-El Pascal	80	4	5
Nick Sawyer (Tr)	3	0	2

ISU's OC Tyler Roehl (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	332	500	66%	3364	19	11	6.7
Zane Flores (Tr)	155	262	59%	1454	3	7	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	154	428	7	2.8	42
Cameron Pettaway (Tr)	72	365	0	5.1	34
Zane Flores (Tr)	52	117	2	2.3	27
Salahadin Allah (Tr)	19	71	0	3.7	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cody Jackson (Tr)	53	799	6	15.1	60
Omari Hayes (Tr)	39	515	1	13.2	42
Tyler Fortenberry (Tr)	32	294	2	9.2	28
Carter Pabst (Tr)	9	168	1	18.7	43

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Sullivan Schlimgen (Tr)	49	2	0	1	0
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Terrell (Tr)	28	12	7	6	1
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)	17	4	3	3	2
Bryson Lamb (Tr)	25	4	2	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3
Seth Johnson (Tr)	7	0	0	1	2