Iowa State at BYU - 2026 Matchup Preview

Iowa State Cyclones at BYU Cougars

Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
LaVell Edwards Stadium - Provo, UT (Big 12)

Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (22 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#49)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)

ISU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: BYU -12.5 (SP+ BYU -6)
Projected Score: ISU: 19 - BYU: 31 (50)
BYU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
ISU Travel: 944 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (84 - 45)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#11)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 6) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State	-31
Sat 9/12	Iowa State at Iowa	+12
Sat 9/19	Iowa State vs Bowling Green	-22.5
Sat 9/26	Iowa State vs Utah	+8
Sat 10/3	Iowa State vs West Virginia	-9.5
Sat 10/10	Iowa State at BYU	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Iowa State at Arizona	+4.5
Sat 10/31	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-12.5
Sat 11/7	Iowa State at Baylor	-0.5
Sat 11/14	Iowa State vs Cincinnati	-7
Sat 11/21	Iowa State at UCF	-0.5
Sat 11/28	Iowa State vs Kansas State	-2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

BYU's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	BYU vs Utah Tech	-40.5
Sat 9/12	BYU vs Arizona	-10.5
Sat 9/19	BYU at Colorado State	-25.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	BYU at TCU	-5.5
Sat 10/10	BYU vs Iowa State	-12.5
Sat 10/17	BYU vs Notre Dame	+7
Sat 10/24	BYU at UCF	-10.5
Sat 10/31	BYU vs Arizona State	-13.5
Sat 11/7	BYU at Utah	+3.5
Sat 11/14	BYU vs Baylor	-15.5
Sat 11/21	BYU at Kansas	-11
Sat 11/28	BYU vs Cincinnati	-17

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#60 (.19)	45% (43)	27.4	46% (45)	3 (59)	174	44% (43)	221	3.54 (85)	#32 (.09)	39% (43)	20.2	40% (42)	40% (53)	3.06 (20)	40	1.2	1.5
BYU	#34 (.22)	46% (33)	31.4	47% (32)	3 (58)	179	44% (48)	221	4.03 (39)	#31 (.09)	39% (37)	19.1	39% (33)	40% (59)	3.29 (35)	45.4	1.1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	12	27.4	22.2	44.7%	3.54	1.2	21	396	174	221	4.4	54%	45%	46%	44%	15%	.19
BYU Defense	14	19.1	13.7	39.1%	3.29	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	40%	16%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	12	20.2	21.6	39.4%	3.06	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	40%	40%	17%	.09
BYU Offense	14	31.4	40.5	45.5%	4.03	1.1	22	400	179	221	4.8	53%	45%	47%	44%	14%	.22

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	12	31:34	21.1	40%	68%	4.6	40	1.2	1.5	5	1.1	1	29.9
BYU	14	32:42	21.9	41%	58%	5.4	45.4	1.1	1.7	5.3	2.1	4	28.8

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	12	54% (35)	46% (45)	39.8	174.2	4.4	23 (30)	.15 (48)	3 (59)	69% (90)	8% (36)	0.93 (82)
BYU Defense	14	47% (33)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.06 (45)	2.83 (54)	75% (96)	10% (70)	0.96 (71)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	12	47% (42)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.01 (17)	2.79 (49)	70% (56)	10% (65)	0.83 (11)
BYU Offense	14	53% (37)	47% (32)	37.7	179.1	4.8	33 (16)	.2 (26)	3 (58)	82% (5)	8% (27)	0.95 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	12	45% (101)	44% (43)	17.5	28.8	221.4	7.7	12.7	16 (86)	9 (20)	.29 (52)	1.6 (55)	30% (48)	31% (68)	.21 (100)	6% (81)	2.1 (42)
BYU Defense	14	52% (107)	40% (59)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (12)	.18 (37)	1.5 (23)	34% (36)	26% (22)	.16 (16)	6% (52)	1.9 (24)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	12	50% (92)	40% (53)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (38)	.24 (67)	1.6 (74)	33% (45)	29% (62)	.23 (47)	7% (28)	1.7 (3)
BYU Offense	14	45% (102)	44% (48)	18.4	28.8	221.1	7.7	12.1	15 (86)	7 (20)	.28 (54)	1.5 (94)	30% (40)	30% (76)	.34 (54)	6% (65)	2.1 (47)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 4.78 #57
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 11.71 #79
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 11.93 #42
2026 Talent Rating: 752.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Iowa State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Iowa State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #33
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #63
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 4.78 BYU: 19.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 9.9 BYU: 15.9

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 19.635 #20
BYU's Offense Rating: 19.78 #23
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.41 #17
2026 Talent Rating: 834.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #36
BYU's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
BYU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #18
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #24
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #22

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Iowa State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 31
Iowa State 19

Projected Total Points: 50

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Iowa State	27	BYU	41	Iowa State -2.5	BYU	48.5	Over
2023	11/11	BYU	13	Iowa State	45	Iowa State -7.5	Iowa State	40.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	1	1	2 Overs
Iowa State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#57) ISU at (#20) BYU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	BYU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#57	#20
SP+SP+	#33	#18
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#68	#51
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#36

Iowa State Notes(2/17) Vibes: OK for a team w new staff, 70 new players
(2/10) 13 portal starters tops in CFB, 13 exp'd depth too
(2/9) OC Roehl recently NFL, was NDSU's OC for 4 yrs
(2/9) HC Rogers at Wazzu for 1 year, SDSU previously
(2/9) QB Raynor (Ark St) decent, mobile, must limit TOs
(2/9) RBs are pretty green and young. Unclear
(2/9) WR built by 5 portals, most G5. Hayes (Tul) good
(2/9) OL 10 portals. Most exp'd are G5s. TBD
(2/9) Def 24 portals. DBs look good. Need more info
Iowa State Injury Report

BYU Notes(2/14) Vibes: High, B12 race, WR now huge concern
(2/13) Lead WR Parker Kingston kicked off team (legal)
(2/10) 17 back w starting exp, most in CFB, 6 exp depth
(2/2) HC Sitake renaissance last two years, great job
(1/29) New DC Poppinga (STC in '25) in for Jay Hill (UM)
(1/29) QB Bachmeier back, good Fr yr. Lyons big croot
(1/29) RB LJ Martin is a load, gets 90% of carries. Depth?
(1/29) WR Kingston back, big return. Must find depth
(1/29) OL 3 starters back, 2/3 portal adds starters.
(1/29) DL decent, returns 2-3 starters. Depth has options
(1/29) LBs have exp, 2 starters + portal Uluave (Cal) big
(1/29) DBs look really good. Pass Def was good LY
BYU Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	BYU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#43	#37
ExplosiveExp	#92	#54
PPAPPA	#60	#31
PowerPwr	#79	#17
SP+SP+	#63	#22
Pts POPPO	#85	#35
HavocHav	#54	#65

Iowa State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#45	#33
Run ExplRExp	#82	#71
PPAExp	#48	#45
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#57	#38
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#43	#59
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#23
PPAExp	#52	#37
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#36	#70
DB HavocDB	#81	#52

BYU on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#33	#43
ExplosiveExp	#106	#51
PPAPPA	#34	#32
PowerPwr	#23	#42
SP+SP+	#24	#25
Pts POPPO	#39	#20
HavocHav	#43	#46

BYU Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#42
Run ExplRExp	#77	#11
PPAExp	#26	#17
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#58	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#36
TackleTak	-	NR

BYU Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#53
Pass ExplPExl	#94	#74
PPAExp	#54	#67
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#27	#65
DB HavocDB	#65	#28

Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Iowa State last year (41-27)
Iowa State beat BYU in 2023 (45-13)

ISU's OC Tyler Roehl (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	332	500	66%	3364	19	11	6.7
Zane Flores (Tr)	155	262	59%	1454	3	7	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	154	428	7	2.8	42
Cameron Pettaway (Tr)	72	365	0	5.1	34
Zane Flores (Tr)	52	117	2	2.3	27
Salahadin Allah (Tr)	19	71	0	3.7	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cody Jackson (Tr)	53	799	6	15.1	60
Omari Hayes (Tr)	39	515	1	13.2	42
Tyler Fortenberry (Tr)	32	294	2	9.2	28
Carter Pabst (Tr)	9	168	1	18.7	43

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Sullivan Schlimgen (Tr)	49	2	0	1	0
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Terrell (Tr)	28	12	7	6	1
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)	17	4	3	3	2
Bryson Lamb (Tr)	25	4	2	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3
Seth Johnson (Tr)	7	0	0	1	2

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bear Bachmeier	251	387	65%	3033	15	7	7.8
Treyson Bourguet	1	2	50%	8	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	236	1305	12	5.5	49
Bear Bachmeier	147	527	11	3.6	22
Jovesa Damuni	19	111	1	5.8	19
Cody Hagen	9	93	2	10.3	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	36	255	0	7.1	26
Walker Lyons (Tr)	20	223	2	11.2	26
Jojo Phillips	14	161	0	11.5	21
Cody Hagen	12	97	0	8.1	24

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Kelly Poppinga (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cade Uluave (Tr)	97	12	3	4	4
Faletau Satuala	79	8	1	1	4
Isaiah Glasker	63	9	3	9	1
Siale Esera	44	3	1	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cade Uluave (Tr)	97	12	3	4	4
Bodie Schoonover	33	5	3	3	3
Isaiah Glasker	63	9	3	9	1
Anisi Purcell	11	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Evan Johnson	42	2	1	0	7
Therrian Alexander	31	3	1	2	5
Cade Uluave (Tr)	97	12	3	4	4